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Cold Horizons

@Cold_horizons

Strategic intelligence on the shifts that matter. Defense, Politics, and Global Economics. 🌐 Read the latest👇

Katılım Eylül 2022
76 Takip Edilen6 Takipçiler
Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@varrock Elite human capital will always generate some friction as they move in. That being said Canada totally dropped the ball when they opened the door to everyone without vetting
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varrock
varrock@varrock·
Brampton went from 90% white to 20% white in just 20 years. It's a majority South Asian (India, Pakistan, Bangladesh) city now. As expected, there is trash everywhere, more car crashes, mortgage fraud, strained social services, etc... Soon all of Canada will be like this.
varrock tweet media
Tablesalt 🇨🇦🇺🇸@Tablesalt13

New: Brampton, Canada which has the highest foreign born population in the Western world at 59.1% - now has the highest insurance rates in Canada - mortgage delinquencies up 10x in 6 years -a car accident rate 5x the national average -Fire deaths 3x higher per capita

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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@yonann Dave is giving perfectly reasonable advice, if you listen to the whole call he tells the caller to move somewhere more affordable and earn a bit of money. The idea that the state needs to take care of all this is wrong.
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Yonan
Yonan@yonann·
Dave Ramsey tells a 64 year old on disability making $27,000 a year to find extra income Caller: "I get Social Security disability. I’m 64. It’s $27,000 a year. My rent is about $1,700 a month, and I have this $9,000 credit card debt, which I pay faithfully" Dave: "Come up with a self employed idea you can do with your limitations, as long as it makes you $1,000 or more a month"
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@IterIntellectus Zero reason to take that kind of risk. Safety first. There’s a lot of things people used to do since the beginning of time that we no longer do.
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vittorio
vittorio@IterIntellectus·
cosleeping is how every human has always slept since the beginning of time is good for the mom and best for the baby. as long as you are healthy, is the best way to sleep with your child a SIDS campaign suppressed it by putting smokers, drunks, drug users, obese parents, and people who pass out on sofas in with healthy and normal parents and calling all of it unsafe. SIDS itself is a diagnosis of exclusion. on careful autopsy it mostly turns out to be suffocation, overlay, smothering, sometimes worse (basically parents killing their kids) for normal healthy parents the benefits of cosleeping far outweigh the risks. they always have.
Bella🥰😍@Bella__Bahby

The sweetest memory of motherhood

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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@pablogguz_ Spain’s whole economic growth narrative for the last few years is fake. This tracks.
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
4/4 With Black women significantly out-earning Black men, the birth rate will only fall more. Black elites should be concerned at this drop in political influence. Read more about what I think should be done here: coldhorizons.substack.com/p/african-amer…
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
3/4 Since 2020, however, the African American population has declined. The total fertility rate among African Americans is well below the replacement rate, below that of both Whites and Hispanics. Additionally, the disparity in income between Black men and Black women is growing.
Cold Horizons tweet media
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
1/4 Black political power is declining. Since 2020-2021, the height of the Black population in the USA. Coinciding with this, 2021 was the peak of Black political influence. Joe Biden was elected largely due to a very high turnout amongst African Americans.
Cold Horizons tweet media
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@Fair_and_Biased @benshapiro Ben understands the danger of the woke right and woke left. I think he’s unable to fully voice his thoughts without loosing his entire audience but the man is trying.
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Jackie Chea ⚖️
Jackie Chea ⚖️@Fair_and_Biased·
.@benshapiro’s show opener today is spot on: He says that America is dividing into two new parties. The battle is btw the “American Exceptionalists” & the “Bipartisan Grievance Party.” American Exceptionalists: “America is awesome. We have historically been awesome, and we will be awesome again if we do the hard things that we must do.” Grievance Party: “America is not awesome, was never awesome, and will only be awesome if we fundamentally rewrite the American bargain and also retreat from the world for our great sins.” He says this battle will define our future as Americans.
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@agraybee We need to simply end the practice. Pay employees a market wage and charge appropriately.
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
James Fishback apparently has only $28k in his campaign account. Turns out groypers are too broke to support their champion. Might also have something to do with the fact that most of his supporters are in the third world.
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@avidseries Slop gets pushed so much by these accounts. All we can do is keep calling these folks out as much as possible I guess.
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@constans Absolutely, this is just market forces clearing away loss making institutions. As population decline sets in we’re going to see a lot more of this.
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@captgouda24 lol AI means that indias service sector is finished. No need to outsource to Chennai when Claude does a way better job. That plus brain drain means that India is cooked.
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Nicholas Decker
Nicholas Decker@captgouda24·
It is not inevitable that India be poor. Its people are certainly capable of being extremely productive. Indian immigrants to the United States and elsewhere have been very successful. India’s government has been stable since independence, and largely democratic throughout. While their growth rate has picked up, they have not had the booming success of China. India was socialist for a long time; but then, so was China. Why isn’t India a developed country yet? To suggest a monocausal explanation would be an exercise in arrogance. India has many problems, and there is no one simple trick to growth. Nevertheless, I hold that much of India’s stagnation is due to its judicial system. Its slowness and inefficiency has far reaching consequences, making it impossible to efficiently run a business. The facts are simple. There are at least 50 million cases pending — nobody knows how many for sure. The Supreme Court has 69,000 piled up, waiting for resolution. Of these, 18,000 have been pending for more than thirty years. Every family has a horror story. I have a friend whose dad, near the beginning of his career, was named in a suit involving a bank. Growing up, every few years his dad would be called to appear in court. My friend is 40 now. His dad has retired. The suit remains ongoing. The Indian government estimated that, at current capacity, it would take 324 years to clear all of the cases. That was in 2018. Since then the number of pending cases has doubled. India has one of the lowest ratios of judges to population in the world, with 21 judges for every million people. Surprisingly, this is an improvement over the past — in 2002 the ratio was 10 for every million. The EU average is 200 per million, and the US 150 per million. One reads with grim amusement concern that a low number of judges — say, 100 per million — will endanger the rule of law in Ireland or Denmark. If that is what it takes to endanger, then rule of law in India is positively extinct. Nobody knows the average time it takes a court case to be resolved for sure, but it is somewhere around five years for it to be resolved by the high courts (the second tier of courts) and 13 years for the Supreme Court. 40,000 new civil suits are filed every day, covering everything from land disputes to layoffs to bankruptcy. 66% of all pending civil cases involve claims and counterclaims over who owns what land. The upshot of this is that firms cannot resolve disputes through the courts. They must instead turn to extrajudicial methods, and the most common of them is keeping the business in the family. In the late 2000s a team of researchers – Bloom, Eifert, Mahajan, McKenzie, and Roberts – conducted a randomized controlled trial on management quality in Indian textile mills. Prior work by Bloom and Van Reenen had shown that family run firms in the West, in particular those run by an eldest son, were poorly run compared to professionalized businesses. We would not be able to tell in India, however. Of the 126 firms they surveyed — a comprehensive census of the firms in the towns near in and around Mumbai — every single one of them was family run. The single strongest predictor of firm size was not productivity, revenue, or profitability. It was simply the number of male family members in the family. These are not simple mom-and-pop shops either, with but a few employees. As Bloom et al write, “These firms are also complex organizations, with a median of two plants per firm (plus a head office in Mumbai) and four reporting levels from the shop floor to the managing director. In all the firms, the managing director was the largest shareholder, and all directors were family members. Two firms were publicly quoted on the Mumbai Stock Exchange, although more than 50% of the equity in each was held by the managing family.” (p. 9) The experiment by Bloom et al was to test how much management mattered by randomly assigning some firms to receive management training. They found that a firm receiving the management training increased their annual profits by 17%, or almost $300,000 a year. Since these are extremely simple interventions — things such as “write down what types of yarn you have and how much” and “have a schedule for repairing machines”, one wonders why the companies never adopted them on their own. You can read the rest here: nicholasdecker.substack.com/p/whats-the-ma…
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@tomhfh Truly sad that degrowth policies from both labor and the tories have gotten the UK to this point. Not a single party willing to end the triple lock though. It’s actually over.
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Tom Harwood
Tom Harwood@tomhfh·
"Over half of us think Britain is as rich as, or richer, than the United States." Mass delusion on an unprecedented scale. Or maybe half the country believes the US is stuck in 2008 too (it isn't).
Tom Harwood tweet media
Kristian Niemietz@K_Niemietz

"Nearly half of British voters think that we are as rich, or richer, than Switzerland. Over half think we are as rich or richer than Australia, Singapore, or Germany. [...] [O]ver half of us think Britain is as rich as, or richer, than the United States."

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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@MargBarAhmdinjd That could be it! It’s just surprising compared to the other red states. Utah I would’ve thought would be super low. Florida probably just because everyone moves there from different states.
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
Why does Texas have such a low rate of divorce compared to say Florida or Alabama? A lot of red states have super high rates but then you have TX and GA that don't. Then you have WA and OR that are high on the blue side, but the Northeast is pretty low.
Cold Horizons tweet media
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
Its amazing how passive china has been throughout the Iran war. You would think that having so much of their oil and shipping in peril would make them at least send over some of their shiny new warships. But instead they just wait around for other countries to do anything.
Cold Horizons tweet media
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@johnarnold China will continue to do absolutely zero outside of its immediate zone of control in the south china sea. They do not have the power projection ability to do anything in the straight of hormuz.
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John Arnold
John Arnold@johnarnold·
So what happens when a Chinese ship is trying to exit the Strait? The US is going to block it? The Chinese will allow that to happen?
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Cold Horizons
Cold Horizons@Cold_horizons·
@avidseries I’ll keep saying it, tactical victory, strategic defeat. We just wasted a ton of military equipment accelerating IRGC hardliners path to power by removing the old guard.
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i/o
i/o@avidseries·
Cue the repliers who think that decimating another nation militarily, even though it hasn't led to achieving the only two strategic goals that matter — regime change and the end of Iran's nuke program — means you've "won". If the current situation is the ultimate outcome, the Iranian regime will, of course, have won, because it (and its high-grade uranium) will have survived. And, most importantly, it will have learned exactly how to fight the US in the future. But my guess is that the current situation won't be the ultimate outcome because there's no way that Trump can sell it as a win except to the most retarded of his supporters. What happens next is anyone's guess, but a continued battering of Iranian military, security and military-related manufacturing infrastructure could still produce an actual victory if the Iranian people become willing to rise up and shed the amount of blood that it would take to overthrow an increasingly weakened state.
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion

America is the first country in over two centuries to lose a war to Iran, thanks to Trump

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