Jefferson D - A Life In Commodities

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Jefferson D - A Life In Commodities

Jefferson D - A Life In Commodities

@CommodEXPERT

Veteran of commodity trading houses. 40+ years across the globe.

Singapore / Guernsey / NYC Katılım Ekim 2025
75 Takip Edilen143 Takipçiler
Plank
Plank@PlankReturns·
Remember when Kenny Lay used to do Friday night roll call on Twitter? Miss that guy. I was very sad when I learned of his passing. May he rest in peace.
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Jefferson D - A Life In Commodities
Just called the FCC because my best friend in the entire world illegally operates a HAM radio without a license. I take this very seriously.
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Kyle Mitchell
Kyle Mitchell@opinioncasino·
Porter has had enough!
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ASU Frat Leader
ASU Frat Leader@psychochud·
@CommodEXPERT Thoughts on how I should position myself in the weather derivatives and black pepper futures markets?
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Jefferson D - A Life In Commodities
Here’s how we’re positioned. (1/8) Trade: HH–TTF–JKM LNG arb with shipping. A 5+ leg synthetic that decides whether US cargoes route to Europe or Asia.
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Jefferson D - A Life In Commodities
Paper-vs-physical gap may be widest in commodities. That’s why it’s a merchant trade, not an arb-desk trade. Other less complex positions: - Dalian <> CBOT crush (ZS/ZM/ZL vs A/M/Y) - Clean dark spread (EUA vs UKA) - Wheat ladder (ZW/KE/MWE) (8/8)
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Jefferson D - A Life In Commodities
Take-or-pay. Liquefaction toll is sunk. Spread can go negative and offtakers still lift. Shutting a train down costs more than running it at a loss. Breaks the “don’t put on the trade” rule that works in paper markets. (7/8)
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