above

@HayekAndKeynes wow an actual nuanced view of the situation, crazy how rare those are on this site

My base case last week was a Trump withdrawal, with the rest of the world stepping in to stabilize. This was the best possible path out of this situation in my humble opinion. It does look like Trump tested that path. He signaled a pullback while implicitly expecting NATO and a broader coalition to secure the strait. They utterly failed to deliver. The UK was one of the few willing to actually engage militarily. Parts of Eastern Europe showed some willingness, but with limited capacity. Core Western/Central Europe leaned the other direction—more open to negotiated access (including tolerating things like Iranian-imposed tolls) rather than using force. This left Trump quite frustrated and forced to go it alone. There was no coalition of the willing. Only the fears of the timid. Iran, for its part, has played this stage tactically well. By selectively allowing passage for “neutral” vessels, they’ve created an off-ramp that reduces urgency for collective action. Countries were heavily incentivized. That weakened coalition formation. So now the decision set narrows: either force the issue and reopen Hormuz, escalate kinetically on the way out. Both paths carry the same underlying risk: short-term disruptions morph into a structurally longer outages if strikes extend to Iranian supply or spill over into broader Gulf infrastructure via retaliation. I hoped deeply (maybe even to the point of delusion) we could avoid that path. There is still time for a deal but I don’t think Trump will just walk away at this point. TACO is a funny little phrase designed to irritate Trump but any serious observer should recognize there has been very little sign of cowardice in his second administration. He is focused on bringing his vision of the world to life.

@squatsons iran slowing missle launchers and letting more ships through the strait, seems like they're losing leverage to me

Can someone inform Trump that 48 hours from April 4th would be the 6th, or Monday. We love shifting goal posts.

BREAKING: Iran has conceded that they will not acquire a nuke, per Fox News.

🚨NEW: Trump states a time.

@DeItaone just casually threatening massive destruction like it's the season premiere of a mid abc show

Trump on Iran deadline: ‘Tuesday, 8:00 P.M. Eastern Time!’

the only body count that irgc is racking up is in the streets of LA

y'all need to chill with the fairy tales of how 'fanatical' the irgc are, this is clearly haram x.com/nypost/status/…

@_m0stardently dr wendy carr, the woman that you are

never forget what david fincher took from us. DAVID FINCHER I WILL FIND YOU.

after the 32nd threat, the market is becoming ok with 50/50 chance of total destruction flat open incoming

i will never forgive netflix for cancelling mindhunter and replacing it with endless slop x.com/_m0stardently/…

JUST IN: Houston has informed the Artemis II crew their toilet is now repaired & “go for all types of uses"

BREAKING: Reuters also reports that second US F-15 pilot has been rescued

This counts as a body

BREAKING: FOX: Second U.S. F15E crew member rescued and safe after complex rescue operation that began Friday morning.

Catholic

she wanna substack on my pnl til she citrini x.com/Nexuist/status…

@Nexuist she wanna substack on my pnl till she citrini

Да.