Crêpes au ฿rrrr 🥞

Friendly little coral fish appears to "smile" for the camera.

Vous êtes des menteurs mgl ça a jamais couté 5€ un grec c’était 6€50

Puisqu'on en est aux stats (attention c'est effrayant) : Spoiler : à la fin de son mandat, Trump pourrait être direct responsable de 3 à 25 millions de victimes. Data Sources : (The Lancet, IFPRI, CGDev, FAO, UCLA) Prompt: "Si on compte la suppression des aides aux pays en voie de développement + la crise alimentaire qui pourrait résulter d'une pénurie d'engrais à cause de la guerre en Iran, fais moi une projection du nombre de victimes pour ces deux décisions politiques de Trump" Réponse + limites : - Ce qui est solide : la partie USAID. Le Lancet (juin 2025, 133 pays, peer-reviewed) projette 9,4 à 14,4 millions de morts supplémentaires d'ici 2030 si les coupes sont maintenues. Le Center for Global Development arrive à 500 000 à 1,6 million par an selon le niveau réel des coupes. Ces chiffres sont robustes méthodologiquement. - Ce qui est plus spéculatif : le canal fertilisants. L'IFPRI et la FAO documentent bien l'ampleur du choc (30 à 36% du commerce mondial d'urée bloqué), et l'analogie avec la crise Ukraine 2022 est légitime — mais il n'existe pas encore de modèle publié avec la même rigueur que The Lancet sur ce canal précis. Les 1 à 5 millions supplémentaires dans le scénario central sont une extrapolation raisonnée, pas une certitude. - Le point le plus contre-intuitif : les deux chocs se renforcent mutuellement sur les mêmes populations. L'Afrique subsaharienne perd simultanément son filet USAID (nourriture d'urgence, santé) et son accès aux engrais. Sans tampon institutionnel, une perturbation qui aurait été absorbable dans l'un ou l'autre cas devient une crise structurelle dans les deux cas combinés — c'est ça, le vrai risque systémique.

Trump is seeking to pay for his new $1.5 trillion military budget by cutting the following: $510 million - Grants for farmers and agricultural research $82 million - Loans for rural small businesses (Fully eliminated) $61 million - Support for farmers and food markets (Fully eliminated) $240 million - School meals and food education for children abroad (Fully eliminated) $659 million - Community building grants $47 million - Support for minority-owned businesses (Fully eliminated) $449 million - Economic development grants for communities $1.6 billion - Weather forecasting, fisheries, and coastal protection (NOAA) $993 million - Scientific research and technology standards $150 million - Support for American exports and trade $2.2 billion - Broadband and internet access programs $8.5 billion - Funding for public schools $1.5 billion - Vocational training and adult education (Fully eliminated) $2.7 billion - College access and higher education support $15.2 billion - Roads, bridges, and infrastructure projects $1.1 billion - Home energy efficiency and clean energy programs (Fully eliminated) $1.1 billion - Scientific research funding $386 million - Environmental cleanup programs $150 million - Cutting-edge clean energy research $4 billion - Help paying home heating and cooling bills for low-income families (Fully eliminated) $768 million - Refugee resettlement assistance $819 million - Care and shelter for migrant children $775 million - Local anti-poverty programs (Fully eliminated) $5 billion - Public health programs, mental health services, and disease prevention $5 billion - Medical research (NIH) $129 million - Healthcare quality and safety research $356 million - Emergency preparedness and disaster response $1.3 billion - FEMA community disaster preparedness grants $707 million - Cybersecurity protection for critical infrastructure $52 million - Airport and transportation security $40 million - Protection against chemical and biological weapons threats $53 million - Funding for homeland security operations $3.3 billion - Community development block grants for local neighborhoods (Fully eliminated) $1.3 billion - Affordable housing construction grants (Fully eliminated) $393 million - Programs to reduce homelessness $529 million - Housing assistance for people living with HIV/AIDS (Fully eliminated) $489 million - Housing and services for Native American communities $50 million - Grants to help communities build more housing (Fully eliminated) $60 million - Enforcement of fair housing and anti-discrimination laws $58 million - Homebuyer and renter counseling services (Fully eliminated) $45 million - Renewable energy development programs (Fully eliminated) $1.7 billion - Grants for local law enforcement and public safety $20 million - Civil rights mediation and legal access programs (Fully eliminated) $1.6 billion - Job training for at-risk youth (Fully eliminated) $395 million - Jobs program for low-income seniors (Fully eliminated) $234 million - Worker safety and labor protection programs $101 million - Enforcement of equal pay and workplace anti-discrimination laws $46 million - Programs to combat child labor and forced labor abroad $2 billion - International humanitarian aid $1.2 billion - Food aid for hungry families abroad (Fully eliminated) $4.3 billion - Global health and disease prevention programs $2.7 billion - Funding for the United Nations and international partnerships $642 million - International economic and treasury programs $315 million - Democracy and anti-corruption programs abroad $486 million - Grants for public transit projects $4.2 billion - Electric vehicle charging infrastructure $372 million - Airline service for rural and small communities $145 million - Grants for sustainable and equitable infrastructure $204 million - Loans and investment for underserved communities $1.4 billion - IRS taxpayer services and enforcement $100 million - Air pollution monitoring and reduction programs (Fully eliminated) $1 billion - EPA grants to states for environmental protection $2.5 billion - Clean drinking water and wastewater infrastructure funds $90 million - Grants to reduce diesel pollution (Fully eliminated) $3.4 billion - NASA space and earth science research $297 million - NASA technology innovation programs $1.1 billion - International Space Station operations $143 million - STEM education programs $309 million - Small business development and entrepreneurship programs $170 million - Small Business Administration operations $158 million - Loans for small businesses