Paper market has control of gold and silver prices for a couple days, that won't last long because the drivers of gold bull are getting much stronger rapidly.
Gold miners also look like they’re getting close to nibble territory again. No reco. Does feel like a pretty good spot for gold to retest 4000, though. Always better to wish you had bought more
@Scott_Reardon_ Scott i see your oil ratio call is gettin rockin'
impressive stuff.
still think gold miners can make new highs? or is that toast (was a great call too)
thanks!
@DBclouds99 Not sure. I'm not betting on a higher gold price right now. Gold is so expensive compared to pretty much every other commodity that I'd rather bet on those.
@DBclouds99 Hi Dan, we'll see how the oil stuff plays out. Certainly some interesting possibilities here.
I'm waiting to get back into the gold miners because any sustained higher energy prices just crushes their margins. Am hoping in a year or two, the damage is done and can buy.
The tell will be what the CoT shows tomorrow. If institutions were buying and retail selling (either gold or silver) that would be a positive development. If Smart Money continues to sell dollar as they have the past three weeks, that also would be a good sign. If they weren't buying gold and silver, that would be a bad sign.
Longer-term, we are in a secular bull market in commodities and precious metals, so hard to see precious metals not going much higher. How can the U.S. fiscal situation withstand stronger dollar and positive real interest rates? It can't. Fed may ultimately have to implement yield-curve control, at which point real assets will be the place to be.
@RelSentTech ok rya, what you thinking with the Gold? toast for a while? or retail dumping it all, and 'tutions picking it up? (been reading CBs dumping to fund themselves so i think gold is screwed for a while(?)) thanks as always
$SILVER
To those in the thread saying the breakdown has failed: take another look. It is holding so far.
I’ll go out on a limb here - and obviously, as always, I can, will, and have been wrong - but my primary remains that the low gets set in the first hour or two of trading, when a lot of people unfortunately panic-sell, and then we likely get a rebound from there. But that would still be a bounce, not a trend change. I am still expecting 72 or lower by quarter-end, which in this case also means month-end.