DoubleD

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DoubleD

DoubleD

@DFin24

Two steps forward, two steps back. Trying to trade these trying times.

Katılım Ocak 2019
217 Takip Edilen121 Takipçiler
Adam Jester
Adam Jester@adamfjester·
When will @CNBC send Kernan to Fox News, where he clearly wants to be. A lot of us watch CNBC to escape partisan hackery. Watching @PeteButtigieg detonate him with simple math right now is satisfying, but also shouldn't be necessary in order to get the news of the day.
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💕 Brittany Belle 💕
💕 Brittany Belle 💕@BrittanyinTexas·
These are heavy times for everyone. @theliamnissan account is gone, and a lot of people are going to miss him. I know I will. 😢 Peace, brother.✌️
💕 Brittany Belle 💕 tweet media
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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
@lvronxiv @2Hugh2Mungus Maybe 2017. That's when they fixed the Panamera design. It went from hunchback to perfection.
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Woah! Mungus
Woah! Mungus@2Hugh2Mungus·
Obsessed with this era
Woah! Mungus tweet mediaWoah! Mungus tweet mediaWoah! Mungus tweet mediaWoah! Mungus tweet media
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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
@2Hugh2Mungus Audi - fuck yes. Audi cooked. Benz - excellent lines, the front isn't ideal. BMW - clean but what a boring front. Meh overall.
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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
That's why we were supposed to have the separation of powers, the three branches! Somehow 1 branch has decided to let the ship sink and to go down with it. Meanwhile the fourth estate has decided to tamp down alarm and "trust the process." The powers that be are failing us and I am baffled as to why!
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Demetri Kofinas
Demetri Kofinas@kofinas·
Trump is a predatory capitalist who exploited America's legal system, its ethical norms, liquid capital markets, and its people's appetite for spectacle to acquire financial and later political power. What he's beginning to confront is that the world of nation-states is anarchic, that there are a handful of actors that really matter, and only so many people you can burn before no one wants to transact with you anymore. Lashing out in order to force a resolution is a strategy that has worked for Trump in his career in real estate, as a media personality, and during his political rise because he wasn't inhibited by the same social norms and reputational concerns of the counterparties he transacted with and because his unscrupulous lawyers and easy access to credit could help paper over most of his problems. The problems Trump now confronts, however, have no basis in law. His adversaries, therefore, cannot be procedurally encumbered with discovery requests and depositions that drag the conflict out for years. Unlike his career in business, he cannot simply declare bankruptcy and move on. This is scary because it means that Trump finds himself in a corner with no acceptable off-ramps. Because of how powerful America is, and because he is its president, the damage he may be willing to cause to Iran, its people, and the world before he finally comes to terms with his predicament will weigh on this country for many years to come.
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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
@Sergio_GS @KutarkV @aakashgupta What is the contract in Italy? Is it a year long or how long is it? You’re the second person to mention it and there are no contracts for Netflix in the US which is why I ask.
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Sergio Ruocco
Sergio Ruocco@Sergio_GS·
@KutarkV @aakashgupta Price is fixed at contract start. Price raises can be for NEW contracts. Is your salary going up whenever you want? No. Same for Netflix.
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Aakash Gupta
Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta·
The math Italy just handed Netflix is terrifying for every subscription company on Earth. 5.4 million Italian subscribers. Up to €500 per Premium user, €250 per Standard user. Netflix launched in Italy at €11.99/month in 2015 and hiked four times to €19.99 by 2024. The court said every single increase was illegal because the contract never stated a justified reason for any of them. The total refund exposure is somewhere in the hundreds of millions of euros. For a single country with ~2% of Netflix's 325 million global subscribers. Here's what nobody is pricing in: Germany and Spain have already filed identical challenges using the same EU Directive from 1993. Berlin and Cologne courts already ruled that generic price-change clauses are void. Italy just gave every consumer group in Europe a finished legal template. Netflix hiked prices globally on March 26. Six days later, this ruling dropped. The company is now simultaneously raising prices worldwide while a court in its fourth-largest European market ordered it to roll prices back to 2015 levels. The real exposure here isn't Italy. Netflix can absorb hundreds of millions. The real exposure is the legal principle: telling customers "we're raising your price, you can cancel if you don't like it" is not consent under EU law. That logic applies to every subscription service operating in Europe. Every SaaS company. Every streaming platform. Every telecom. The freedom to cancel is not the freedom to agree. That one sentence just repriced the entire European subscription economy.
Pubity@pubity

Italy has declared that Netflix's recent price hikes from 2017 to 2024 were illegal and enacted without proper warning for customers. Netflix not only has to reduce its price in Italy, but pay customers back every cent they overpaid.

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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
@phl43 Every time these morons miscalculate how something will go, they rapidly move on to another misinterpretation of how the world works. Never any realization, or growth, just an endless stream of stupidity.
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Philippe Lemoine
Philippe Lemoine@phl43·
The US has almost no economic relations with Russia and never did, which is actually part of how we ended up in this situation in the first place if you ask me, whereas Russia has major trade relations with China. If the US had wanted to bring Russia on its side in the dispute with China, it could only have done so through Europe, which used to have large economic relations with Russia. But Russia still wouldn't have joined a crusade against China, that boat has already sailed and, for the reason I just noted, it would have required the US to cooperate with Europe, which is the opposite of what you're fantasizing about. These people have basically no idea how the world actually works. The window to bring Russia into the West has long closed, it will be a long time before it opens again and, when it does, the US will only be able to do it with Europe.
Roman Helmet Guy@romanhelmetguy

I’ve warned Europeans about this before, but if the US stops seeing Europe as a partner to help contain China, it will go looking for a different partner to support. Maybe a large country that borders China, with nukes and oil. The worst case for Europe isn’t merely a neutral US.

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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
Can America use a bit more socialism? Yep. But socialism as a whole is far more prone to corruption b/c someone still has to run the organization, and when they're corrupt, they're impossible to displace. In capitalism, shitty incumbents can at least be ousted via competition, even if it's difficult. Remember, just because it's for the common good instead of for profit, doesn't mean the people who gain power won't steal from it and degrade it anyway. If there's no straightforward means of enrichment, greed finds another way.
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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
@micah_erfan “I used to do drugs. I still do, but I used to, too.”
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Micah
Micah@micah_erfan·
Here is a picture of you publicly supporting Trump *in 2015.*
Micah tweet media
Matt Van Swol@mattvanswol

One year ago, I publicly came out in support of President Trump. I had absolutely no idea how severe the backlash would be. The Left tried to destroy everything good in my life. My job. My family. Our safety. We lost more friends than I ever could have imagined. Politics is so tribal, and it can be that way on BOTH the Left and Right. But something interesting I noticed... ...is that my Right-leaning friends were my friends even when I was liberal, and they stayed consistently my friends when I moved to the Right. My liberal friends, on the other hand, pretty much all abandoned us, except for a small few. There’s a specific kind of grief that comes from realizing people didn’t just disagree with you… ...they re-categorized you as "unsafe" Someone once told me that, in person. "We don't feel safe with you." Like you became a different species overnight. Like everything you’d ever done for them, every memory, every “I’ve got you!” suddenly didn’t count for anything at all.. The noise online is one thing, I've learned to tune almost all of the hate out. Even de*th threats rarely bother me now, as insane as that is. The hardest part... Watching my wife jump every time the camera notifications went off. Watching my kids live under a microscope they didn’t choose. Doing the math in my head about safety and work and whether I’d just completely destroyed the stability of our home because I spoke honestly. I didn’t feel brave. I felt sick, I felt like I did something wrong and was being punished for it. It still feels that way, a lot of the time... my wife and I are still shunned from many friend groups we once had. I think that's when I finally learned what "tribal" meant... a real willingness to punish, to exile, and make an example out of someone to "teach them a lesson." The funny thing is... my right-leaning friends didn’t “welcome me” when I changed, they just NEVER LEFT. We disagreed, for sure. But they never tried to take my livelihood, never tried to scare my family, and never tried to turn my kids into collateral damage. I think, especially in that way in particular, the Right does far, far better than the Left. There’s a difference between disagreement and dehumanization. There's a difference between: a) “I think you’re wrong” and b) “you’re dangerous, and your family deserves suffering.” That’s a social enforcement system, something I was inside of and didn't know I was in, until I broke out of it. There's a reason the Left does it... it works. …and that’s the irony, specifically on the Left A movement that prides itself on tolerance only applies it to people who already agree with them. And once you see that, you can’t unsee it. I think one year out... I'm still in a weird stage of grief. For the friendships we lost, the community we once had, the old way of life where we didn't have to think about safety very much at all, and where my kids didn't have to go through life inheriting the consequences of adults who they themselves couldn’t handle disagreement. But, even through all that... Life is better now than it was a year ago. We went to church for the first time ever, with our kids. We found a new community of friends. We got closer with the friends who stuck around. We got the chance to be wrong, and learn. We got room... to grow. Room to be imperfect. Room to disagree. Room to be wrong. It's not necessarily easier, but it has made life more clear, and I’d rather be condemned for my convictions than rewarded for my compliance. One year out... I do not regret supporting President Trump. I regret not supporting him sooner.

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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
I retract my initial statement. But "zero reason to think so" is a stretch, given the physical demonstration of semen displacement. As a "monogamous" species, humans still some rape and are promiscuous, as I'm sure other apes are too. The increased specialization for more promiscuous apes indicates a stronger selection pressure, but doesn't preclude "monogamous" features from serving this purpose.
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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
I disagree but I could see how 2 imagined futures about "the alternative" can diverge so much. What I wonder is, from your perspective, is this presidency going better than Biden's did?
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PokerCaddie
PokerCaddie@Choppodong1·
@NateSilver538 He was better than the alternative. He was a four year stop-gap to what becomes hopefully two better choices. Still not optimistic about that though.
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Nate Silver
Nate Silver@NateSilver538·
Trump's approval rating just fell below 40 percent in our tracking for the first time. And his net approval rating is now -17.4, also a new low and down about 5 points over the past several weeks.
Nate Silver tweet media
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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
@Evolving_Moloch @justalexoki After reading that it sounds like it is true but it developed in our evolutionary ancestors rather than in Homo sapiens. So it’s not because humans raped so much or were super promiscuous, but rather because our primate ancestors were.
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sonch
sonch@soncharm·
@foster_type I’ve long thought that given Ukraine’s drone success there’s gotta be some ‘business-deal’ type way to get Trump interested in ‘switching sides’ to being structurally pro-Ukraine..alas clearly hasn’t happened yet
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Foster
Foster@foster_type·
Folks, The White House's structurally anti-Ukraine position is having operational and strategic level effects on its war in Iran.
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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
He knows not to trust those who aren't "absolutely loyal" to him. That's all he knows. Nothing else. It's not much, but again, the blame goes further than Bibi. He trusts those dipshits and I they fucked him and I don't think it's due to sheer incompetence.
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Deborah J. Hankinson🦉
Deborah J. Hankinson🦉@daijumao·
@DFin24 @SheMovedToYork @slantchev Saying “Trump knows better” actually IS defending him. He doesn’t know jack 💩 if he’s willing to let his unofficial unappointed un-clearanced son in law run the show & overrule the advice of whatever experts are still left that might have given him reliable information.
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Branislav Slantchev
Branislav Slantchev@slantchev·
This leak isn’t accidental. Everyone is distancing themselves from the war. Soon it will be some disembodied participant in a Signal chat that turns out to have launched it. I can’t help but wonder if there’s a more embarrassing excuse that “Netanyahu misled Trump” — we’re talking about the President of country with the world’s premier military and intelligence capabilities being led by the nose like some clueless toddler when he has at his disposal all the fucking information and assessments he needs.
Daily Mail@DailyMail

JD Vance in tense call with Benjamin Netanyahu as he rips Israel's PM for selling 'easy' Iran war to Trump trib.al/B80u2UK

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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
You think I'm defending him? Gross. Of course he's the real culprit, this doesn't happen without him in office! What I object to is the characterization that Bibi alone convinced feeble-minded Trump to do this. W&K had a hand in it too, not b/c they're morons, but b/c it's in their personal interest - the instability will create opportunities for themselves and their rich "friends".
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Susan, J.D.
Susan, J.D.@SheMovedToYork·
@DFin24 @slantchev Trump is the biggest dipshit if he fell for it. You people will never ever blame Trump for his own stupidity and incompetence. Always looking for scapegoats when the real culprit is right there!
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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
@wontbeurdrug Hey, if this is about the DJ equipment, fuck the haters and block them all. It’s awesome and fun in its own right. People who hate on you pursuing what you love can fuck all the way off.
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electra
electra@wontbeurdrug·
I learned it’s better to keep good things to yourself
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DoubleD
DoubleD@DFin24·
@allgarbled When you're unsatisfied with your sleep and you can't tell why, you rely on scores to help you track the results of your attempts at a solution. When you know what works, it's easy to know you deviated. When you don't know what works, haven't found it, you rely on an app.
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gabe
gabe@allgarbled·
Sometimes I try to think about how dissociated from my own life and physical experience I would have to be in order to need to check a “sleep score” every morning to see how I slept. But I can never really imagine it.
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