James Dalton
3.5K posts
James Dalton
@DTownsDogs
33 yo male seeking casual fantasy football encounters. #Dynasty league player and 5-time champ (‘15, ‘16, ‘21, ‘22, ‘23).
Miami, FL Katılım Mayıs 2016
890 Takip Edilen150 Takipçiler
My Model isn't loving the 2026 WR class.
Interestingly, it has KC over both Lemon and Tate!
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James Dalton retweetledi
For those who have subscribed to our WR model, they are already know.
But imagine if you drafted all the guys that hit on both lists (ours and Fantasy Points) and passed on the ones that missed both lists:
Our WR Score is in parentheses (100):
Our model
90+ = 97th percentile
80+ = 93rd percentile
70+ = 84th percentile
60+ = 60th percentile
47.70 - lowest recorded score
Their above 90%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (90.10)
Marquise Brown (79.38)
CeeDee Lamb (92.80)
Rashod Bateman (66.79)
Jerry Jeudy (89.20)
Treylon Burks (66.52)
Emeka Egbuka (87.40)
Justin Jefferson (100.00)
Their below 90%:
Jordan Addison (89.20)
N'Keal Harry (62.47)
Calvin Ridley (78.40)
Jahan Dotson (74.06)
Xavier Worthy (69.55)
DJ Moore (63.10) *
Quentin Johnston (60.40)
Brandon Aiyuk (82.00)
Xavier Legette (50.10)
Zay Flowers (63.63)
Kadarius Toney (56.80)
Jalen Reagor (60.48)
Brian Thomas Jr. (60.85)
Ricky Pearsall (54.02)
Matthew Golden (64.90)
Ryan Heath@RyanJ_Heath
The back end of Round 1 of the NFL Draft is where WRs lacking elite analytical profiles go to ruin dreams and get people fired. Since 2017, eight WRs have been selected between picks 15 and 32 with a 90th-percentile or better production score in my model: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Marquise Brown CeeDee Lamb Rashod Bateman Jerry Jeudy Treylon Burks Emeka Egbuka Justin Jefferson Not all hits, but plenty of good players and three confirmed elites in that cohort. Not bad! But what about guys drafted between picks 15 and 32 with BELOW a 90th percentile production score? In order of production score: Jordan Addison N'Keal Harry Calvin Ridley Jahan Dotson Xavier Worthy DJ Moore Quentin Johnston Brandon Aiyuk Xavier Legette Zay Flowers Kadarius Toney Jalen Reagor Brian Thomas Jr. Ricky Pearsall Matthew Golden There are some good players here, but not a single superstar, and several outright busts. My thought would be that this is the area where "toolsy" players and "speedy deep threats" who lack proven production are often pulled up, or good-but-needy teams (somewhat understandably) make reaches to try to maximize their contention windows. It's also where our expectations often run high due to "elite landing spots" and "Round 1 draft capital", with the prospect profile getting lost. I call this the Crest of Disappointment. Denzel Boston, K.C. Concepcion, and Omar Cooper all now project to be drafted near this range. That doesn't mean they're all going to bust, but it does mean you should ask yourself about the reasons they're getting this level of draft capital. Is it for Calvin Ridley reasons, or Jalen Reagor reasons? Where their production scores would fit in on the above list: Boston: between Xavier Worthy and DJ Moore Concepcion and Cooper: between DJ Moore and Quentin Johnston
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Free month subscription (to access my rookie models and all other content/tools) for the first two people to guess who this prospect is based off their comps:
Dataroma@ffdataroma
Another cool update/feature added to the rookie models on my website. Each player now has their top 5 historical comps listed when you click their name (dating back to 2017). These comps are based on physical traits (weight, 40 time, etc), play style metrics (MTF, YAC, explosives, etc), and then efficiency (YPRR, YPT, YACo, etc) + production (dominator rating, raw prod. stats, etc.) at the college level. Check out KC Concepcion's comps here. Full rookie models with comps for RB, WR, and TE are up on the site now. Link in replies below⬇️
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Which WRs saw the most volume from heavy personnel groupings?
[Expected Fantasy Points/G from 1- and 2-WR sets]
1. Zay Flowers - 8.2
2. DK Metcalf - 8.1
3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba - 7.5
4. Drake London - 7.4
5. Michael Wilson - 6.1
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@RyanJ_Heath @FantasyPtsData Forgive me but, is this individual playing on Sunday or no? 😅
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The Patriots' defense against inside (A/B gap) runs in...
Six games without Milton Williams:
- 4.94 YPC (Worst in the NFL)
- 32.5% stuff rate (Worst by a full 10%)
14 games with Williams:
- 3.05 YPC (Best of the past FIVE YEARS)
- 49.0% stuff rate (3rd-best)
@FantasyPtsData
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James Dalton retweetledi
In Joe Brady's first press conference as the Bills HC he stated that the Bills downfield passing attack must improve
Can Keon Coleman evolve into that X field stretcher WR or will they add to it?
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Everyone is talking about McDaniel and Herbert but McDaniel and the Chargers social team is going to be electric
Los Angeles Chargers@chargers
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@LedyardNFLDraft How crazy would it be for him to bring Greg Roman with him? 👀
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Ravens hiring someone in Harbaugh circle to replace Harbaugh
I really like Minter as a defensive mind, schemer, teacher. He's so good.
One of the biggest questions in his interviews has been who his OC will be? How does he see offensive football? Excited to find out
Baltimore Ravens@Ravens
Your next coach of the Baltimore Ravens. We have agreed to terms with Jesse Minter to be our head coach!
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Assistant Coaching Hire we should have paid more attention to in 2025
The Seahawks hired Andrew Janocko to be their QB Coach
His QBs had the following Deep Throw Rate Ranks
2024: Saints (Carr/Rattler/Haener) 12.7% 9th
2023: Bears (Fields) 12.3% 8th
2022: Bears (Fields) 14.9% 2nd
2021: Vikings (Cousins) 12.9% 5th
Seahawks were 2nd in the NFL in Passer Rating on Deep throws in 2025
Data via @FantasyPtsData
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I have tried and failed for a decade to capture this view in #Pittsburgh, and this morning I was finally able to. In this scene, the Duquesne Incline passes above the train tracks right as a Norfolk Southern train was going underneath it. Can't believe my luck that it worked out.
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Stefon Diggs ran less routes than Mack Hollins and Kayshon Boutte in Week 12
He ran the same amount of routes as TreVeyon Henderson
Data via @FantasyPtsData
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Fantasy football strength of schedule charts for every position in Weeks 11-14 *and* the fantasy playoffs if you're trying to get ahead of your stupid idiot leaguemates
Blue = good, easy on-paper matchup
Red = bad, hard on-paper matchup
🧵🧵🧵 🫨🧵🧵🧵
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What NFL teams are using the most play-action and pre-snap shift/motion?
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Can you imagine the state of Carolina Panthers fandom had MeowMix returned as planned?
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“Our proud nation will do fantasy football waivers on Tuesdays.”
“But waivers on Wednesdays would make way more sense since they’d allow everyone to actually get a full feel for the week’s injury concerns.”
“And yet we won’t.”
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