Peter Wolf

13.2K posts

Peter Wolf

Peter Wolf

@Da___Wolf

Some knowledge of some things. BSc, MSc. Interests include Renewable Energy, Politics, War.

Katılım Şubat 2020
78 Takip Edilen345 Takipçiler
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
Tesla Q1 sales. With partial data in, prediction of 290-300k sales in Q1. Significantly below most predictions. Q1 2025 was 336681. A 17% drop (in line with US & Europe, with China a lot worse) gets 279k. Some rebound. Full year prediction is 1.35m, down from 1.63m.
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Lakota Ma'am
Lakota Ma'am@Blacknatwatch·
@front_ukrainian How does a robot change a barrel or clear a jam? They don't. These systems are inherently limited by using weapons that are designed for humans.
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🪖MilitaryNewsUA🇺🇦
🪖MilitaryNewsUA🇺🇦@front_ukrainian·
❗️Ground-based robotic systems this year could replace up to a third of 🇺🇦Ukrainian infantry on the line of combat contact — commander of the 3rd Army Corps Andriy Biletskyi “If we move in the direction of technological innovation, then this year, I am convinced, it will be possible to remove up to 30% of infantrymen from the line of combat contact, and in the near future — up to 80%.”
🪖MilitaryNewsUA🇺🇦 tweet media
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@DavidCarbutt_ Meanwhile, with more difficult roads, we are safer. The basic point is that to become a better driver than an average American on American roads is much easier than becoming a better driver than an average Brit on British roads.
Peter Wolf tweet media
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David Carbutt
David Carbutt@DavidCarbutt_·
you can take out insurance at 50% discount, if you use FSD while driving a Tesla. Thats a hard fact. Why would Lemonade, a 3rd party take that huge risk if FSD wasn’t water safer than humans, and trending way safer.
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf

@DavidCarbutt_ Absolutely no evidence of that with Tesla's. Most dangerous car brand in the US. We are a fundamentally harder driving location than the US, by far. Narrower, winding streets and a lot more pedestrians who cross roads without looking properly. And we are better drivers.

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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@DavidCarbutt_ Why is a US insurance company basing valuations on its interpretation of Tesla statistics (and possibly using this as loss leading advertising) relevant to much more complex UK roads?
Peter Wolf tweet media
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Andrew Perpetua
Andrew Perpetua@AndrewPerpetua·
Helicopters are flying artillery pieces. If a 2A65 Msta-B crew lost their gun and tried running away and got killed nobody would blink. But a helicopter pilot gets killed and people shed a tear. There is no difference. Morally or legally.
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Alien Contention
Alien Contention@AlienContention·
@Da___Wolf @DavidCarbutt_ I’d rather not be hit by a vehicle under any circumstances 😂 Older generations do tend to be more resistant to technological change. Strap up though- big changes will be happening everywhere… Fast - Constant Change in every sector! 🤖
Tesla@Tesla

In Q1 this year, a Tesla using Autopilot technology experienced one accident per 7.63 million miles driven, while the US average was more than 11x higher → tesla.com/VehicleSafetyR…

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David Carbutt
David Carbutt@DavidCarbutt_·
Cmon uk, don’t let the EU get FSD before the UK.
Tesla Europe, Middle East & Africa@teslaeurope

Together with RDW, we have officially completed the final vehicle testing phase for Full Self-Driving (Supervised) and have submitted all documentation required for the UN R-171 approval + Article 39 exemptions. The RDW team is now reviewing the documentation and test results package internally. They have communicated the expected approval for Netherlands date of 4/10, shifting from 3/20 previously and we look forward to successful completion of this cooperation.  Following the Netherlands’ approval, European countries will be able to recognize this approval nationally. We are anticipating a possible EU-wide approval during the summer. Over the past 18 months, this approval has involved a series of intense documentation, development, testing, research & audits. Including but certainly not limited to: – 1,600,000+ km of FSD (Supervised) testing on EU roads – 13,000+ customer sales ride-alongs – 4,500+ track test scenario executions – Thousands of pages of written documentation for 400+ compliance requirements – Dozens of research studies into safety performance/results We're extremely proud of the work conducted with the RDW team up until this point. We very much look forward to the approval in April, and sharing FSD (Supervised) with our patient EU customers!

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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@DavidCarbutt_ Absolutely no evidence of that with Tesla's. Most dangerous car brand in the US. We are a fundamentally harder driving location than the US, by far. Narrower, winding streets and a lot more pedestrians who cross roads without looking properly. And we are better drivers.
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David Carbutt
David Carbutt@DavidCarbutt_·
@Da___Wolf in 10 years time, the tech will be so good you’ll be 100X less likely of being hit. don’t you want you family to be 100X safer on or near the road?
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@sox_83 @DavidCarbutt_ FSD struggles with rain. It's why the cybercab trials are in Austin. You want that in Britain?
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Simon
Simon@sox_83·
@DavidCarbutt_ I can’t see us getting it. Shame really. Would have been nice. (Hope to be proved wrong)
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@HBM_afc It's ridiculous. Even if England start with a more defensive player, if they go 1-0 down and are chasing an equaliser the team needs match winners on the bench able to come on and change the game.
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HBM
HBM@HBM_afc·
No Trent for the World Cup would be immeasurably stupid, even if you think Reece James is a better full back. You’ve got a guy who can do things on the ball that nobody else can. In a tournament so often decided by the aliens of this world, leaving that at home is criminal.
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kennice
kennice@kennydojo·
@Da___Wolf @ettingermentum Well, OK. But I'm saying prosecuting Trump for J6 would have eliminated Trump from the field. We don't know who the GOP would have gone with against Harris. Someone as reckless as he is? I doubt it.
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ettingermentum
ettingermentum@ettingermentum·
Joe Biden will be looked upon poorly because he failed at stopping Trump’s return, which was the core project of his administration
Bobby Fakename, Esq.@BobFakeNameEsq

I have long maintained that Biden will be viewed favorably by history 1) because he was a very good president and 2) he will look even better when viewed between the disaster of 2 Trump presidencies. It’s already playing out. I will be vindicated sooner than expected ❤️

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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@henrywinter He left Liverpool with them Champions. One year later and they might not make the Champions League. A lot of that is because he isn't there.
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Henry Winter
Henry Winter@henrywinter·
Trent Alexander-Arnold plays right-back for Real Madrid. Started home and away against Manchester City. He won the Premier League and Champions League at right-back with Liverpool. He’s used to dealing with pressure. He’s taken a decisive tournament penalty. He’s played in the World Cup before. He has occasional defensive deficiencies but he brings a long-range passing skill that few possess. Are England that blessed at right-back that they don’t need Alexander-Arnold? That he isn’t amongst the best 30 outfield players available to Thomas Tuchel?
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@Rebel44CZ Almost certain thay at some point terrorists will attack uses FPV's. Think destruction of white house type attack. Wouldn't be hard, the drones could be launched from anywhere within D. C with a wave of hundreds using fibre optics. And there's many way softer targets.
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Jakub Janovsky
Jakub Janovsky@Rebel44CZ·
For armies that dont face major conventional war threats and are focused on counter-insurgency, attack helicopters might still make a lot of sense. But if your primary threat is Russian or Chinese conventional military, I would focus my investments elsewhere.
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Jakub Janovsky
Jakub Janovsky@Rebel44CZ·
I wouldn't say that helicopters are obsolete, but I also wouldn't go running to spend a limited budget on buying new attack helicopters. I would prefer instead buying more F-35s (which dont cost all that much more than AH-64s while being much more survivable).
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@Rebel44CZ Taiwan is an interesting case. They need to build what's effectively a nuclear deterrence without nukes. Specifically they need the ability to wreck Chinese shipping and ports if they get attacked.
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@BenGrahamUK Because they sold to companies that ended up leveraging debt on the company. The company basis is completely solid. But debt based ownership is a business model that fails over and over again.
Peter Wolf tweet media
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Ben Graham
Ben Graham@BenGrahamUK·
NCP has gone into administration. They’ve been running car parks since 1931, and somehow ended up £305m in debt. Surely the maintenance for a car park is simple: ticket machines, barriers, lights, and occasional cleaning. How can a business model literally based on people paying to park go bankrupt?
Ben Graham tweet media
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@Rebel44CZ Oops it's 5000 (not 500) short range FPV's. Missed a zero.
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@Rebel44CZ $35m buys a hell of a lot of drone based alternatives. 5 Bayraktar TB2's ($3m each) - 15m 10 Flamingo FP5's ($500k each) - 5m 30 shark surveillance drones ($350k per base versions and 150k per 2 spares) - 5m 100 FP1/2's ($50k each) - $5m 500 short range FPV's ($1k each) - $5m.
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@Rebel44CZ I haven't included soldier costs. But the heli needs support crew as well. The exact breakdown isn't important. It's just indicative. Point is that for the price of one helicopter it's possible to equip enough firepower and surveillance to annihilate a battalion.
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@Rebel44CZ Helicopters (especially attack helicopters) are a gigantic waste of money now. Too easily hit.
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Decoding Fox News
Decoding Fox News@DecodingFoxNews·
One of the dumbest Trump failures was Trump Shuttle an airline that made short trips on the East Coast. Trump spent tons of money to make the planes luxurious. Business people going from NYC to DC didn’t care about luxury in an extremely short flight. 1/2
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Peter Wolf
Peter Wolf@Da___Wolf·
@skdh There's actually an experiment Id love to run regarding the double slit experiment. But to do that I'd need a university - it's not something that can be tested without specialised equipment. How would I go about proposing something to be tested?
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Sabine Hossenfelder
Sabine Hossenfelder@skdh·
The double slit experiment is the probably most misunderstood experiment ever. I have no idea who created the myth that if you 'look' at one of the slits, then the particles (photons/electrons) stop behaving as waves. It's wrong! They of course STILL behave as waves! Because particles are also waves, always. Photons and electrons make a self-interference EVEN ON A SINGLE slit. Don't believe it? Below an actual measurement from a laser diffracting on a single/double slit from Wikipedia. What happens if you measure which slit the particle goes through is that you get no interference between BOTH slits. And no, you don't need a conscious observer for this. Believe it or not, there have actually been experiments where they had people literally look at a double slit to see if that makes any difference and the answer is no, it does not. The entire mystery of the double slit is in the path of the particle TO the double slit. Because it seems that the particle must "know" whether it WILL be measured at one of the slits before it even gets there. It must "know" whether to go through both or just pick one. Seems like the future influences the past? Not really, it just means you have a consistency condition on the time evolution.
Sabine Hossenfelder tweet media
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Keşfet

@Blacknatwatch @front_ukrainian @DavidCarbutt_ @SGarrisonSTL @AndrewPerpetua @AlienContention @sox_83 @HBM_afc