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Still working on the UI but if you are curious of my epm models results they are linked here. Please ask any metholodogy questions or anything. nba-epm-projections.streamlit.app
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Danny
3.3K posts
Danny
@DannyDimes1000
NBA Draft | Jets | Knicks | Mets | Draft model results here https://t.co/e0CgL5MfIm
Katılım Ocak 2021
273 Takip Edilen168 Takipçiler
@bannedroomE Very good on my summer leauge sticky stats metric. A little lower though than he would be on some because I devalued some playstyle based stats a little just cause I don't think you should get a crazy boost for chucking. Also attached is importance of each stat
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Honestly dont care who I end up with for the most part
Underdog@Underdog
Keep 3, Cut 5 - Players from the past two draft classes: Cooper Flagg Kon Knueppel VJ Edgecombe Dylan Harper AJ Dybantsa Cam Boozer Caleb Wilson Darryn Peterson
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@LoganPAdams I have something similar except I gave less credit to certain stats that are more playstyle based (like 3 point rate) x.com/dannydimes1000…
Danny@DannyDimes1000
Fiddling with a summer league grading system using @owenlhjphillips sticky stat analysis
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The new top five by "sticky score" among first-round picks:
1. Zuby Ejiofor, 8.76
2. Caleb Wilson, 8.14
3. Sergio de Larrea, 7.85
4. Chris Cenac Jr., 7.69
5. Yaxel Lendeborg, 7.18
NOTE: This is not an impact metric.
Logan Adams@LoganPAdams
Among lottery picks with two games played, who have been the "stickiest?" I put the numbers together. 1. Yaxel Lendeborg (Sticky Score: 8.23) 2. Darryn Peterson (7.92) 3. Cameron Boozer (6.30) 4. Aday Mara (6.05) 5. Darius Acuff (5.92) 6. Kingston Flemings (5.68) Any surprises?
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@bballstrategy @StephNoh This is my main worry I think. Unsure if non Hali players were just not trying last year which could tank their predictions further than it should (potentially)
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@DannyDimes1000 @StephNoh Pacers projected to miss play-in here.
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@bballstrategy @StephNoh As of when I posted that it beleived the weather 5-8 are closer than some think (regular season projection wise). Unsure differences when I update
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@DannyDimes1000 @StephNoh Lakers projected at 5th seed but 2 losses from being caught up in play-in process?
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Risacher trade is a win/win/win.
For Atlanta, Risacher had one of their worst adjusted plus/minus values last season. They won 18 of 21 games when he began coming off the bench instead of starting.
Replacing him with Dort takes them from 41.3 wins to 43.3 in my model.
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@will_nba_hater @DeathbyCeltics I think it's fair to say the Rockets have WAY more impactful basketball players though
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@DeathbyCeltics That doesn’t matter in January, the rockets win 50 games with nobody who can dribble a basketball. Johnson, NAW, and CJ can fake it over 82’
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@will_nba_hater I would be shocked if they’re the 2 seed lol. Who is running offense for this team lol
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@badamsufl The strength of your roster metric wise though is having 4 top 65 players per the model, not many teams can say that
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@badamsufl For what it’s worth with Paolo my model predicts analytical improvement for him next year getting up to 61st epm from much lower than that. Still lower than I bet almost all fans see him (atleast those that don’t really value analytics) but better
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I’m still going over on the #Magic but this is a much better line.
Danny@DannyDimes1000
As of now my models best guess using @StephNoh minutes/games projections as a baseline (I adjusted some I felt should be adjusted)
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@badamsufl For what it’s worth model has Franz best by a decently large margin
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@DannyDimes1000 Yeah #Magic are gonna run it back but we won 45 games last year in a chaotic system with our 2nd(arguably most) important player missing 48 games. This team will be the Pistons of last year and make the huge jump if Paolo, Franz, Bane can be relatively healthy.
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@keybarhoops x.com/dannydimes1000… fr its so funny, you’ll see every fan base be flabbergasted at their line
Danny@DannyDimes1000
As of now my models best guess using @StephNoh minutes/games projections as a baseline (I adjusted some I felt should be adjusted)
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Do people know that not every team can go over
Charles@BlockedByBamba
Vegas over/under totals as of July 16th
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An easy indicator of how a young player’s career will pan out is paying attention to how they perform in playoff settings.
It’s rare to see to see rookies provide neutral, even positive impact minutes on a playoff team that went to the finals.
This is all the more impressive for Carter Bryant considering he played a majority of these minutes without Wemby, and had to spend a considerable amount of this time miscast as the 3rd string center.
Carter Bryant will be a premier wing in this league one day.
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@DannyDimes1000 #gid=0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
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Cayden Daughtry is arguably having the greatest guard season we’ve EVER seen in EYBL history.
His 36.3 PPG (61% FG) ranks 1st all-time in Peach Jam scoring! All-world scoring feel + efficiency (44% 3P + 54 FTR). Absurd dTOV impact (~4.6 stks/g) + playmaking instinct (2.5 A/TO).
Mohamed@mcfNBA
My *very* rough list (in no order) of my top 10 draft prospects in the world, regardless of class/age: Joaquim Boumtje-Boumtje Nikola Kusturica Nathan Soliman AJ Williams Tyran Stokes Caleb Holt Jalen Davis / Cayden Daughtry Yann Kamagate CJ Rosser Marcus Spears Jr.
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