buy.the.dip

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buy.the.dip

buy.the.dip

@DeJeff48985

Katılım Mayıs 2025
133 Takip Edilen28 Takipçiler
Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Just your normal Monday correction in the AI space from $NBIS to $LITE to $AAOI?
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Next year… I’m expecting there to be many articles about FAU + component bottlenecks. Especially as the new CPO architecture led by $NVDA + $TSM starts to scale. Then a lot of these names like FOCI (~$2.8B MC) or Nextronics (~$246M MC) that I’m mentioning today will be in the center of it. Despite many of these “commodity” labels… (just look at transformers/NAND) And I’ll do a “Did you listen anon post” like $AXTI. We’ll see if this is right.
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Parth Rastogi
Parth Rastogi@theparthrastogi·
My uncle is disgustingly rich. Told him I trade for a living. He said: ''Stop doing that, it's gambling.'' ''500 people paying $30 per month is $180,000 a year.'' ''Do that instead.” After 5 years…
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Bob
Bob@BobbaPaddop·
@DeJeff48985 @aleabitoreddit Wait to see if it dips this coming week, new shares hit on 20th and see if you can get low 40s…and they should let market know this week when earnings day is. My take is on earnings day it goes up and the trend reverses back up to 60p +
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Leopold Aschenbrenner is a legend, but I'm not quite sure he can beat 3152.77% YTD in the Serenity Awareness fund. That being said, I've hit 23 different longs this year with 100-1000%+ YTD. 1. $AXTI 2. $AAOI 3. $SIVE 4. $LITE 5. $IQE 6. $AEHR 7. $CRCL 8. $EWY 9. Unimicron 10. Nitto Boseki 11. $OSS 12. $GDRZF 13. $RPI 14. $SOI 15. $ALRIB 16. $SNDK 17. $SIMO 18. $VPG 19. $TSEM 20. $ARM 21. $MRVL 22. $INTC 23. $LPK Do you remember all of these anon?
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Sam@Quantrarian52

Wait wait wait….. could Leopold be the infamous @aleabitoreddit ?

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buy.the.dip
buy.the.dip@DeJeff48985·
@bdinvestingg Do you really think IQE can grow to be a major player? Thoughts on valuation right now to enter?
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Bilaal- BD investing
Bilaal- BD investing@bdinvestingg·
Photonics value chain in 5 layers. The companies building AI’s optical backbone. $AXTI – Compound semiconductor substrates. Small, cyclical AI photonics supplier. $AAOI – Optical transceivers for AI data centers. High risk, high upside. $LITE – Diversified photonics. Stable, slower growth than AAOI. $ASML – Only maker of EUV lithography machines. Irreplaceable monopoly. $ONTO – Semiconductor inspection/metrology tools. Smaller KLAC alternative.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
@JohnIsRight89 I'm doing finance stuff now, previously was doing AI models, applied cryptography, and semi IP related stuff.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
I do like Harmonic Drive (6324) as the Western Leader (eg. harmonic reduction gear) at ~$4.2B MC. Very large part of robotics/humanoid BOM value. I actually like Leader Drive more (since it's cheaper for mass production, covers more parts). And maybe Sanhua for $TSLA Optimus. But prefer to advance Western supply chains with my capital over ones in China. It's not just profiting off markets, but what you want to get accomplished as well (helping advance US supply chains and Robotics leaders).
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

Imo harmonic drive (6324) one of the better humanoid exposure names at $4B valuation listed in GS research report. Personally I picked some up for exposure. Chinese competitors might be used for mass production. But personal preference in investing in Western supply chains + build them up.

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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Honestly I’m expecting FOCI (3363) to blow away projections over next two years. It’s a pretty high conviction position for me medium term at this level. Since they’re expected to be the leading supplier to $NVDA and $TSM and get frequently cited as a bottleneck for that $91B+ 2028 CPO TAM (GS). Insane how it’s $3B MC as a critical CPO bottleneck required for scale, while LightWave Logic literally has around the same valuation at $2.7B in development stage.
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Soyunce@soyunce_

@aleabitoreddit This is actually very interesting, their forecast EPS for 2028 is 47 TWD, which give them a PE OF 18, this is insane! Good find!

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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Now that I think about it more… Nextronics (8147) is a pretty undiscovered supplier to robotics supply chains like $AMZN too. So as Amazon scales up, so does their revenue (it’s only ~$200m mc so it should be material if they’re hitting 38-40% gross margins). I was only focusing on $NVDA CPO supply chains as their largest growth vector earlier. But I do think Amazon’s robotics program have the simplest route for mass production since each one they make internally lowers opex, cuts headcount, and improves profitability. And their whole ecosystem should benefit.
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

@Dog_Ziller I actually think $AMZN for robotics is extremely underrated. Since since there’s immediate practical upside to lower opex + headcount for automation. But for general purpose $TSLA, Unitree, Figure, Boston Dynamics, Agibot, Agility, and others should do well.

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Lazy Canadian Investor
Imagine being a homeowner in 2026 with a $500k mortgage. No thanks.
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buy.the.dip retweetledi
Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Wow, $SIVE to be listed in the MSCI Global Small Cap Index. This is overwhelmly positively as it triggers more passive inflows as the MC grows. Rebalancing takes places May 29th.
softcareline@user637826

@aleabitoreddit Now it’s also being listed to the MSCI Small Cap Index. Swedish article: di.se/live/kursraket…

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CMS Invests
CMS Invests@cmsinvests·
I have $1,000 to buy the dip. Which stocks should I buy?
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Kevin Xu
Kevin Xu@kevinxu·
grok pls
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
$LITE went from $2B to $80B in two years by owning the laser chokepoint for EML $AAOI went from $1.4B to $14B in one year by owning laser chokepoint for 800g/1.6T transceivers + assembly $SIVE is $1.4B today before CPO and owns the CW laser chokepoint. Sivers is my favorite out of everything.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
FOCI (3363) is looks extremely compelling around now at ~$3.35B MC for CPO exposure. 1. $TSM COUPE advanced packaging director hinted that FAU supplies by FOCI be a pretty big bottleneck for mass production. 2. Leading supplier for $NVDA and $TSM expected with up to 50% market share from Morgan Stanley note. 3. $HIMX signaled record demand and that Foci should scale up capacity (meaning high medium term demand visibility) 4. FAU and optical components make a large % of CPO related BOM from Goldman Sachs research note. 5. Overarching CPO tam basically goes from near 0 to $91B in the next two years from the GS note. I’m very confident about this theme directionally over time (NFA), despite any recent market volatility. Risks include getting designed out for later generations. But over the next 1-2 years, I think it has high potential to be re-rated compared to other names but might need to be actively monitored. Just throwing out ideas over long positions I hold, for more purer play CPO exposure.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
$FLNC 20M share offering if you’re wondering why it’s trading down. The 20M share is not dilution, but share unlock + transfer. So change of hands. The biggest problem was the clause that made active shelf-registered resale capacity of the 117,666,665 shares, so there’s an unlock of the other remaining ~97m shares to my knowledge. Net negative and very material to short term trade ideas. Since it expands the float and it introduces short term selling pressure. That’s the overhang… I personally cut concentration on the surprising news since it’s changes my trade idea with the float structure. But holding some anyway to see where it heads after hyperscaler deals. Definitely not telling people what to do, presenting new material overhang created by company management.
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