Florida Dog

I tried $UAMY last week, and today it showed exactly why it was on my radar: clear relative strength, and currently +10% on the day while many names struggled. What interests me most is the bigger picture. $UAMY has been building a massive 7-month Stage 1 base, while slowly making higher lows as volatility continues to compress near the top of the range. That’s the type of behavior I pay attention to early, before the crowd notices. This looks very similar to a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern): > Pullbacks are getting smaller over time > Buyers stepping in earlier each dip > Quick recoveries (“slingshot action”) > Tight closes near highs > Supply is gradually drying up That tightening process is all psychological. Early in a base, weak hands sell rallies, and volatility is wide. But as time passes, sellers get exhausted, shares transfer into stronger hands, and price swings shrink. When supply dries up enough, it often takes surprisingly little demand to push price into a new trend. "The bigger the base, the higher in space." Multi-month bases can lead to multi-month moves because they represent time spent repairing prior damage, absorbing overhead supply, and building energy under the surface. If price can clear last week’s highs with volume, this could be the start of a real Stage 2 move. This is how I try to get involved before the crowd starts chasing. Ex. $UAMY:

I’m getting that familiar itch with $USAR, because it feels like déjà vu from last October when I caught this pivot, and it ripped 130% in just 7 trading days. This setup looks eerily similar... basing off recent lows, volume picking up, and the rare earth theme heating back up with major geopolitical tailwinds. First off, the Rare earths theme is picking back up in this environment, and $USAR is positioned to ride that wave. We're talking critical minerals that power everything from EVs and wind turbines to missiles and fighter jets... stuff the US can't afford to keep begging China for. So why have $USAR, $MP, $UAMY, etc caught momentum recently? Just a few things to keep in mind: China dominates like 80-90% of the global supply chain, but with tensions ramping, they've been tightening exports again. And early January saw Beijing slap restrictions on dual-use rare earth tech to Japan, which lit a match under the sector. On the flip side, the US is going all in on domestic supply chains... Trump and Congress are pushing hard, with policy support and incentives flowing to companies like $USAR to ramp up production. We're seeing deals pop left and right + US in talks with Brazil for a rare earth partnership to cut China's reliance and even a $1.5B JV in Saudi Arabia for processing facilities. Greenland's becoming a hotspot too, with stocks there jumping 70%+ this year on mining approvals and offtake deals. Plus, overall rare earth plays are surging as a proxy for US-China rivalry and clean tech demand. All this is driving massive momentum. They're eyeing commercial production soon, and with the US gov't deploying hundreds of billions into mining, this could unlock grants, contracts, or even DoD deals. Riskier? Heck yeah... but that's why the upside is juicier. $USAR could easily double or more on sentiment alone. This is pure short-term speculation for me... not some buy and hold forever stock. $USAR isn’t for the faint of heart, but the r/r is speaking loud and clear. This is why I love trading leading themes and names I truly understand, because it’s all about alignment, conviction, and execution.

This bull market is officially up 100%. Congrats to those who ignored all the constant fear mongering the past 3.5 years. We've been one of the very few that has said the whole time things were going higher and the good news is we don't think it is over yet.

$ASTS: As expected, we bounced and formed a hammer right at the top of the falling wedge. We're right at the POC again as well. A possible inverse H&S pattern is forming, which is bullish. $SPX just set a new intraday ATH and will likely close at an ATH. Is it possible it pulls back more? Maybe. However, I think the damage is done and we go higher from here. Looking for $100+ in the next few days (possibly delayed to next week due to the New Glenn's hot fire being moved to tomorrow). GTLA and NFA...

$SPX: Incredible rebound the past 9 days! After passing the 20, 200, and now 50 sma's, one last test remains. The POC (Point of Control, red line on volume histogram), which served as resistance today. This level corresponds to the "fair price" where the most trading volume occurred and often acts as support/resistance. If we overtake this level next week, the correction is officially over, IMO, and we will see this rip into summer (even though Q2/Q3 earnings are likely to be negatively impacted by higher oil prices). If we see a strong rejection off this level and subsequent digestion, then I expect a retest of the 200 sma, currently at 6662, sometime next week. With RSI and MACD diverging/rising so quickly, a pullback to the 200 sma before going higher would actually be very bullish. GLTA and NFA...

“Until recent years golf has been a game of imagination, creativity, and variety. The game has become much more one dimensional.” Fred Ridley spoke about Augusta Nationals full support of the golf ball rollback during his press conference introduction.