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Derek FX
84 posts

Derek FX
@DerekHeutinck
Hobbyist Forex Trader 🇳🇱 | Price Action, Liquidity & Fundamentals | 220K Funded 💰 | FX setups & insights
Mars Katılım Temmuz 2026
78 Takip Edilen20 Takipçiler

@tradericch Becoming the right person attracts the right things naturally
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@tradericch Risk management is the edge most traders underestimate until one bad trade humbles them permanently.
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@Carwhorns The suffering is literally the teacher.
Most quit right before it clicks.
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@JimmyIdann That first exception will feel justified, then suddenly the rules weren never really rules...
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It was a win.
This was the clean model I was looking for. 09:30 open manipulated higher, swept liquidity, formed SMT with ES, and then gave the 1m IFVG.
I hesitated for about a minute because I was hoping for a pullback to get a better entry, but the market was heavy today. Price was not offering much.
Once the first presented FVG was created, I entered short immediately. Stop was placed above the first presented FVG.
Target was previous month’s low, which was the outlined DOL from pre-market. The important part for me today was that I kept it simple.
This was the exact scenario I wanted at the open.


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@martinfxtrade Agree!
The best systems are boring by design, thats what makes them actually work.
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$Xagusd Tp hit on Xagusd.
Total of 10R on all my silver trades this week. From 6% DD to 3% Profit.
Massive recover this week with 1% risk After staying in drawdown on this account since FEBRUARY.
FEBRUARY guy, I've been on drawdown. But payout is back 🙂↔️
Time to go crazy with @MonetaFunded



Christoph 🙂↔️@Christopath_02
One more for me $Xagusd ?
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$DXY: still HTF bullish, still internally bullish. Supply's in control here and we're pushing into the internal demand zone — liquidity already taken, price in discount. On the chart alone, this is where longs get interested.
But the fundamental case leans the other way. The bearish-USD setup is building: with core inflation stalling, the forward curve has to reprice the hikes it's still holding — and the dollar hangs almost entirely on that curve right now.
The tell is the 2Y. It's dropped sharply, but it's still in an uptrend. That's the line in the sand — I'm watching for a break of that uptrend to open up a deeper pullback. No break, no confirmation; the fundamentals stay a thesis until the yield expresses them.
The caveat: too many crosscurrents to force it. The US-Iran escalation cuts against the bearish case — it keeps oil bid, props up inflation expectations, and holds the 2Y up. That's exactly what has to give way first.
Structure isn't confirming yet. Watching the 2Y.


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@SteezyWesley @hyrotrader_com Goodjob!
Discipline over excitement, every single time.
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Our current CAD bias: bearish — and it's the gatekeeper doing the work, not the headline.
On July 15 the BoC set rates again and held at 2.25% — a soft, wait-and-see hold, "bias toward patience rather than easing or tightening." But that hold isn't symmetric, and that's the whole story.
Start with the trap. Growth is at 0% QoQ, and zero is the edge — the next tick is negative. A central bank doesn't knowingly hike into a recession, so hiking is off the table and the only move left is the cut. The door opens one way.
Now the inflation. "3.2% and rising prevents cuts" is the market's story, and it's hollow. Core ex-gasoline is 2.2%, basically at target — the gap between headline and core IS the oil. No wage motor to make it stick either: labour's firming at the margin (wages 3.7%, unemployment 6.5%) but still soft, with persistent excess supply. Strip the oil and the pressure fades. That's why the BoC openly looks through it.
Here's the edge. The 2Y sits at 2.82%, ~57bp above policy — the market's pricing a prolonged hold, cuts priced out. Disagree: that hold rests on gasoline with no wage motor, and 0% growth forces the very cut the market removed. The hold-pricing is the mispricing. The cut comes back as growth rolls over.
Honest caveat: the firming data points against this bias, so we weigh it critically, we don't flip on it. It only turns if wages leak into core or growth prints positive for real.
And the overlay: CAD leans harder on oil than on its own macro. Escalation lifts oil (CAD+) but drives risk-off (CAD−) — the oil link usually wins, so the Loonie gets a buffer the AUD doesn't. It's also why USD/CAD is never the clean short: the oil bid fights the dollar. The cleanest fundamental divergence is against a hawkish bank like the BoJ — but that's a bias, not a trade while the yen's still in a downtrend.
Weak macro. Hollow inflation. No room.
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