@astronomer_zero Sorry didnt read but im 99% sure that we will go lower. Btc is telling us he wants more blood, we will see very soon if the botom is in ( 1-3 months maximum )
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Star
323 posts
$BTC - our bottom call
Why my 60k level bottomed us, and why it has been holding for a long time so far.
And why the bears are wrong of expecting below 50k..
In my humble opinion.
Quick macro post, commented further on our bottom call, made months ago, while we wait for our longs to hit local target. I'm giving some extra confluence on why I think the bottom is going to happen (happened) around 60k, not around 50k.
I don't always share everything in public since, that would take a lot of posts to explain and they aren't for every person (many are just here to lurk, welcome by the way). But my calls are always one sided regardless, I don't hedge my opinion, always try to have a very clear stance with clear numbers (and when I don't, I also make that very clear), hence why my calls are very tradeable even if they are wrong.
I also don't often talk about levels or how they come about. But the misconception of this bottom is quite extensive as well as of course, heavily doubted. Of course it is, we are in a massively downtrend. And calling for just a bit lower is always the easy move. But it's not a very rewarding move and a very punishing move if wrong. If the logic adds up, I call the bottom, and here we are already 8+ weeks deep.
At that time, I had to give the bottom signal on Friday, Feb 6th quite quickly to get it out there in live time as fast as possible, there was no time for details.
Since, I have explained my thesis, why my purple zone, high timeframe silver pocket, the Feb 6th date, and since, also the production cost and hash ribbon signal, have confirmed the low.
Again, there are more reasons, but from all the ones I have given, that should already be more than enough.
If you want more confluence, I'm also giving you the October 2021 close level.
That is indeed a monthly close, an important level for institutions.
So yes, I'm just another influencer giving you another random level to post in hindsight how it all worked out.
Except, I'm not, because my stance was already clear and one sided, and I'm telling you now, that it's not just any monthly close.
Choosing a random monthly close and betting it will be the bottom, is a random action, and random actions lead to random results, and random results are bad results (in trading). That's the difference between a good trader and just someone who posts "big calls" on social media until he or she gets lucky.
So context is important. I could write books about the context of this level. But one is that it's a level older than 3 years, has been broken away from strongly, and itself was the halt of a long and strong trend into a euphoric market.
The logic behind why that would work is slightly sophisticated and is controversial. But if I were to ask you this simple question where, as an institution, if you have a lot of funds, and need to put a high number of sell orders at a level, decide to sell a high amount above that level (to mark it as a top), and then hedge those bets (to mark price up into the peak and create euphoria) at the same time for them to be cleared and picked back up a much later time, when would that hedging be cleared?
And then to clear that hedging, more hedging (the other way) would be necessary, so when would those hedges have to be cleared? If you see why, that is why there is a high bid at that level. Not one easily visible on the order books by the way, that would be too easy, institutions and spot whales are a lot smarter than that.
If this goes over your head, that's fine. But it's the behind the scenes logic of why this level bounced, why the whales have set it up to be inside my purple zone, and geometrically, inside the 1.272 - 1.34 high timeframe fib (silver pocket).
The algorithms are in sync and they line up with timing, to create optimal sentiment for optimal liquidity generation.
All just speculation, none of this has to be true in your mind. But if you did, enjoy my level and bottom call, and congrats if you believed in the bottom, traded the range on the long side with me, and enjoyed the nice HH, HL, HH, HL structure so far shaping up in this range. An easy time for longs indeed.
Enjoy, and I wish you a pleasant weekend.
Astronomer@astronomer_zero
$BTC, our 63k bottom call, increasing the boldness The bottom is in for two months at least (please read the details before concluding) Five days ago, I mentioned that we likely see a potential bottom in our purple POI, and do so around 63k. Drew my arrow and squigly, and so here we are. Yesterday, price reached that level, and so I repeated this is likely a significant bottom. This also was the next significant area where I seriously consider flipping back to bullish after going bearish from 81k above us. I know it feels like Yesterday that price was at 81k, almost as if flipping bullish again here is a flip-flop. But in a bear market, bitcoin (crypto) drops fast, and a bearish bias doesn't have to be held for a very long time. $BTC dropped another 23% since I flipped bearish so that proves enough. My main stance also has been that I do not believe this to be a 60%+ bear market, nor will we drop much lower in the second half of the year 2026. So, with everything being called out in advance (since 81k), the level responding as it should, and local confirmation saying (to large extent) that this is a significant low, with quantitative data showing at least 2 months of repair necessary to undo the damage, right off our level, in a bear market, that repair means upside. So, I am going to make a bold call, based on all that data, based on all the sentiment, even ancient bears coming back up and suddenly calling for 50k, that's the perfect time to think this low is likely going to hold for at least 2 months. You may think: "what's the point". But it allows us to farm trades in the range and know that every proximity to range low is a good long, as well as early visits to range high (tbd) is a good short. And what happens after, might also become a surprise. I understand everyone is bearish, and I don't want this information to be taken like gospel. In recent time, we have seen I can be wrong as well. Although my bullish bias did end up holding into a range for a long time and resulting in nice trades off it, it was wrong and I expressed myself too loudly towards the end of it. So instead, I decided to change the details, into how I just think the low holds, and anything forth-flowing from that is natural, the tone remains the same however (bullish from 63k). And I will simply continue to take logical trades from there using that bias. Because I can't go against the data, the system and what we planned. So, after turning bearish at 81k, I will be bullish for a while again at 63k. I believe a range forms, and it's most likely favourably traded longside (but I will also be taking shorts). Not the most popular opinion. Many are busy engagement farming the bear market, of course. But I promise you the peak (today, Yesterday), happened at the worst times. Seeing some opinion hedging happening of how this could be a bottom as Feb March in bear markets are green. But without any action, it's just opinion hedging. So I just want to keep it honest and clear, what my thoughts are and how I see this progress whether it's right or wrong. Do not be surprised if we lose the low before end of March, just look at my trades, how I act and whether my bias changes again. But many of you know that I stick to my bias for a long time, it usually plays out for a long time, makes a lot of money, until right, or proven wrong. Again, a weekly close (or anticipated earlier per clear post), invalidates the bias and we can talk about 50k or below. But for now, that's not the case as long as our 63k is the bottom idea holds, as well as our "this won't be a 70-80% bear market". Cautiously for now by holding a low risk long, and 1 spot buy in, but more strongly later if confirmation leads us further.
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@PumpitFox Braver is a scamer and lost so much money with Qubic, we need to ignore guys like him
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The day he bought at 2800: 25b and proudly posted about it, I immediately dumped the price. Down to 2500 to punish him. It was a gratifying moment to make him lose money. I could do it again ☺️
#Qubic
$Qubic
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@KaibaTrading Rodolphe n'a jamais été très bon sur le marché crypto et il ne s'en cache pas...
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‼️The sale is now live for 48 hours‼️
User experience for new members:
1. Go to tct-trading.com
2. Flash sale pop up
3. Choose desired plan
4. Follow the steps showcased in "how to get access" channel in discord.
For existing members:
1. Log in to your account on the website
2. Flash sale pop up
3. Choose desired plan --> renewal date gets extended
4. Open customer support ticket in the server stating your purchase.
If you are ready to trade the markets with me every day untill you get sick and tired of hearing my voice --> this is your opportunity.
The Composite Trader@Larskooistra_
The sale is going live in 1-2 hours. Up to 50% discounted, honestly haven’t offered these prices since the launch of the discord server. I will refund 2 people their full purchase amount of the first 20 orders. Make use of the opportunity and lets smash 2026 all together😁
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Personne me fera croire que la PS5 est pas le meilleur support JV en ce moment, c'est optimisé, accessible, techniquement très bien, la meilleure interface console, la dualsense, les jeux Xbox day one, les jeux Sony day one et LE support de l'œuvre la plus attendue (GTA VI).
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La voix de ce petit gars, oh la la... Il a assuré tous ses duos. Il est juste tellement sous coté sur les réseaux. Le fait qu'il soit sauvé toutes les semaines et ultra favori du public qui vote est tellement logique.
Permettez-moi d'être à fond pour ce p'tit gars. Il fait que des masterclass prime sur prime. Il mérite autant que les autres, si ce n'est peut-être plus.
#StarAcademy #StarAcademyLeLive
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@KaibaTrading Ça fait plus de 2 ans qu'on est au courant mais merci quand même 😗
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Le Top 10 crypto reste largement haussier, mais dès qu’on dépasse le Top 30–40 :
👉 +90 % des cryptos sont en tendance baissière.
✅ Pour performer dans un marché autant sélectif :
- Identifier les cryptos fortes & les narratifs performants
- Des prises régulières de TP sur excès haussiers
- Pas de lissage à la baisse des positions
- Des réallocations régulières pour renforcer sur repli les positions gagnantes
Sans ça, ça revient à jouer au casino 🎰
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@KaibaTrading Bizzare de chercher a vendre quand on est dans une zone qui est enfin intéressante pour commencer un dca
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$KAS
Si pas de réaction de prix sur le Q1 et pas de listings / d'annonces intéressantes : Ce sera vendu en grande partie voire en totalité ❌
Ne jamais rester attaché aux alts, on les trade sur 1 cycle, on prend des profits et on va sur d'autres + dynamiques ✅
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@skibumtrading Good price to start some slowly dca. Been waiting for more than a year for this target
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@skibumtrading Crazy how your TA is 100% wrong for more than a year. Stay and continue with motival speech you are good at it, I like reading you
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@CryptoMocro_ Hope you sold some npt. You talked so much about it at the top that I knew a big drop was coming. Sad days are coming for those who listened to you
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@AnteNgolo @AREtoiles @djilsi Ah bon ? J'ai pas de souvenir de voir souvent etoiles avec djilsi pourtant
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@AREtoiles @djilsi Toujours les mêmes invités.. les mêmes feat. A quand un élan de renouveau ?
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Nouveau concept jeudi autour de la culture g, je vais CHEZ un créateur de contenu que j'aime bien et je lui prépare un p'tit questionnaire concernant des sujets qu'il aime, et ça part en discussion et ptit react.
Premier invité, @djilsi la bête j'ai hâte on va trop rigoler
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@Primequbic @c___f___b @_Qubic_ Lol. 2 IQ post sorry to say this. You know that there is 450 B added in the supply every week, right ? Means the supply is not reduced
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🔥 69.6 BILLION $QUBIC DESTINED TO BE BURNED 🔥
When Come-from-Beyond shows 69,605,130,695 QUBIC available, it’s not about holding…
It’s about erasing them from existence. 🚀
Every QUBIC burned is:
⚡️ Gone forever
⚡️ Supply reduced
⚡️ Value concentrated
This isn’t a game it’s the most aggressive deflationary move crypto has ever seen.
Billions of tokens set to vanish. Billions of reasons why the future is brighter for those who believe. 🌌
The fire has started. The countdown to scarcity is ON. 🔥
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@Sykodelic_ Sounds kinda unrealistic. Since the 2022 bottom btc always did a corrective structure before the pump. Here we have just a drop/pullback, lets see where we are in 2 weeks
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Something like this.
You're gonna get the "rate cuts means its over guys" mf'ers on the timeline if/when we get a lil dip after.
But listen...
We have had those guys all the way through the market.
Maximum i am expecting to retest is like $112.5k but that is it.
Higher is next.
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@Dennis636740605 @pumpolinsky Where do you see accumulation pattern ? Its clearly a distribution phase.
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@pumpolinsky Kaspa has been in a sideways accumulation phase for 2 years. What’s coming next… you can’t even imagine. The breakout will be massive.
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@cryptodoc_ Pump and dump coin... Everybody chill this coin at the exact same time
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