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I can say with reasonable confidence that Trump will likely escalate further and use heavy bombers to strike Iranian infrastructure, including electricity. He will not care what happens to Arabs afterward. Trump has to escalate, and he doesn’t have many options right now. Occupying Kharg Island or Iranian coastal areas near the Strait of Hormuz cannot happen before a major bombing campaign. So, if he wants to occupy the Island to open the Strait of Hormuz, large-scale bombing of Iran has to happen first. Both tactics are interlinked, so he will most likely proceed. If Iran captures the downed F-15E pilots and presents them on camera before the 48-hour deadline, Trump will back off, otherwise, I don’t see anything stopping him. Iran needs to find the pilots to stop Trump. However, for now, the pilots seem to have better training and skills than IRGC, and with every passing hour, their chances of capture diminish.








U.S. President Donald J. Trump is weighing a military operation to extract nearly 1,000 pounds of highly-enriched uranium from at least two sites in Iran, a complex and risky mission that would likely put hundreds of American ground forces inside the country for days or longer, U.S. officials tell the Wall Street Journal.















