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msY Portfolio & Redemption Update We want to provide a clear update on the current msY portfolio, the remaining box-spread maturity profile, and the path forward for restoring liquidity to the minter. As previously communicated, the msY box-spread strategy began approaching capacity in its original short-duration Deribit execution environment. In response, Main Street expanded execution across additional centralized venues and OTC box-spread counterparties in order to continue optimizing risk-adjusted yield for holders and avoid forcing new capital into increasingly compressed shorter-dated opportunities. As part of that expansion, certain OTC box-spread opportunities were executed at longer maturities than the initial short-duration target range. Following the unwind of the shortest-dated and most liquid positions during the initial phase of the Morpho market squeeze, the remaining portfolio now consists of boxes with approximately 60 to 340 days remaining to expiry. The remaining book is therefore naturally more concentrated in the medium-to-longer dated part of the maturity ladder, because the shortest-dated liquidity was used first to support the minter and reduce near-term pressure. Importantly, this does not change the core economics of the strategy. These are fixed-payoff box-spread positions. If held to expiry, and assuming the relevant venue or counterparty performs, the positions accrete toward their known maturity value. The current situation is therefore primarily one of timing, secondary-market liquidity, and redemption pacing; not a change in the expected terminal payoff of the portfolio. Current portfolio position: Current CR, assuming boxes are held to expiry: 100.04% Insurance fund: $525,527 in msUSD Insurance fund treatment: if required, the msUSD held in the insurance fund can be burned, increasing protocol coverage Coverage including the insurance fund: above 100% Our priority is to preserve full backing and avoid crystallizing unnecessary losses. We are actively exploring opportunities to unwind or sell selected boxes where executable pricing is available and where, after taking into account the insurance fund and any applicable protection mechanisms, the system remains above 100% coverage. Where that threshold can be met, we intend to take those opportunities and use the proceeds to continue refilling the minter. We do not expect that every remaining box necessarily needs to be held all the way to expiry. As boxes move closer to maturity, the discount between secondary-market pricing and maturity value should naturally compress, which can create further opportunities to exit closer to NAV without impairing coverage. This means liquidity can be restored progressively through a combination of scheduled expiries and selective secondary-market unwinds where pricing is acceptable. Where secondary liquidity is not available on acceptable terms, we will continue following the approach outlined in our risk framework: allow box positions to mature, release liquidity as expiries occur, and refill the minter as capital becomes available. Selling fixed-payoff positions at distressed marks simply to accelerate liquidity would be value-destructive for holders. Waiting for better execution, selectively unwinding where coverage remains above 100%, and using the insurance fund as intended gives the protocol the strongest path to preserve backing and restore liquidity in an orderly way. This is a timing and execution-management issue, and the portfolio remains structured around fixed-payoff positions that accrete toward maturity value. We are confident in the path forward and will continue to provide updates as liquidity is released, boxes are unwound, and the minter is refilled. Our focus remains unchanged: preserve NAV, protect holders, avoid uneconomic liquidations, maintain coverage, and work through the maturity ladder in the most responsible way possible.

Charlie Munger spent 50 years studying why intelligent people make catastrophically stupid decisions. It is the most useful thing I have ever watched: 1. Incentives are more powerful than anyone thinks. Munger says he has been in the top 5% of his age cohort his entire life in understanding the power of incentives and he has still underestimated it every single year. Federal Express could not get their night shift to work efficiently until someone realized they were paying by the hour. They switched to paying by the shift. The problem disappeared immediately. 2. People rationalise terrible behavior when their incentives point that way, and they do not even know they are doing it. A doctor in Nebraska was removing perfectly healthy gallbladders for years. When Munger asked an old colleague whether the doctor knew he was harming patients, the answer was no. he genuinely believed the gallbladder was the source of all medical evil and that removing it was an act of love. That is incentive-caused bias at its most extreme. 3. Psychological denial is real, and it is not just for weak people. A family friend's son flew off a carrier in the North Atlantic and never came back. His mother, a completely sane woman, simply never believed he was dead. Reality was too painful, so she distorted it until it was bearable. Munger says we all do this to some extent, and it causes terrible problems. 4. Consistency and commitment tendency are one of the most powerful forces in the human mind. Once you have stated a position publicly, you are psychologically locked into it. Max Planck said the really important new physics was never accepted by the old guard. A new guard came along that was less brain blocked by its previous conclusions. If this happened to the deans of physics, Munger says, imagine what it does to ordinary people. 5. The Chinese brainwashing system used on prisoners of war worked better than torture. They did not start with big demands. They maneuvered people into making tiny little commitments and declarations and slowly built from there. The same mechanism operates in every cult, every sales system, and every ideology that gets deeply embedded in people's heads. 6. Pavlovian association shapes buying behavior at a level most people never consciously process. Munger estimates three quarters of all advertising works on pure Pavlov. Coca-Cola does not want to be associated with funerals. They want to be associated with the Olympics, wonderful music, heroics. The association itself changes how people feel about the product at a subconscious level. Raising the price of a product can actually increase its market share because price and quality are associated in the human mind, and people use price as a signal of value. 7. Persian messenger syndrome is alive and running every major organization. The Persians killed the messenger who brought bad news. Bill Paley in his last 20 years, did not hear one thing he did not want to hear. everyone around him knew bringing bad news was dangerous. The result was that one of the most powerful men in media made terrible decisions for two decades because reality never reached him. 8. Social proof causes otherwise intelligent people to follow each other off cliffs. When one oil company bought a fertilizer company in the 1970s, practically every other major oil company rushed out and did the same. There was no rational reason for oil companies to own fertilizer companies. But if Exxon was doing it, it was good enough for Mobil. Every single acquisition was a disaster. 9. The efficient market theory persisted in academia for decades despite Berkshire Hathaway existing as a living contradiction. One economist kept adding sigmas to explain away the anomaly. two sigma, then three, then four, eventually six sigma. Munger's observation: It is better to add a sigma than change a theory just because the evidence comes in differently. That economist later went into money management himself and sank like a stone. 10. Contrast bias warps perception constantly and invisibly. Put your hand in hot water, then room temperature water. It feels cold. Put your hand in cold water, then room temperature water. It feels hot. same bucket. The human sensory apparatus has no absolute scale, only a contrast scale. Real estate agents exploit this deliberately. They show you two overpriced, awful houses first, then take you to a merely overpriced house, and it feels like a bargain. 11. The frog in slowly heating water is the business version of contrast bias. If something bad comes to you in small pieces, you are likely to miss it entirely. Munger says he has known many high-powered brilliant businessmen who were destroyed this way. not because they were stupid but because each incremental change was too small to trigger alarm. The contrast was never large enough to notice. 12. Authority bias is so powerful it can make trained professionals watch a plane crash. In flight simulator experiments, when the pilot, the authority figure, does something that any trained co-pilot knows will crash the plane, 25% of the time, the co-pilot sits there and lets it crash anyway. They have been trained to know better. The authority relationship overrides the training. 13. Deprivation super reaction syndrome explains why people go insane over small losses. Munger's neighbor had a 180 degree view of the harbor. the neighbor put in a pine tree about 3 feet high that turned it into a 179 and three-quarter degree view. They had a blood feud that went on for years. The New Coke disaster is the corporate version. Coca-Cola told customers they were changing a flavor and triggered a deprival super reaction so powerful that Pepsi was weeks away from releasing old Coke in a Pepsi bottle. smart engineers. brilliant lawyers. armies of psychologists. All missed it. 14. Envy and jealousy are far more powerful than greed and almost entirely absent from psychology textbooks. Munger says Warren Buffett has said half a dozen times that it is not greed that drives the world but envy. In a thousand-page psychology textbook, the index entry for envy and jealousy is blank. One of the most powerful forces in human behavior and academia essentially ignores it. 15. Gambling addiction is not explained by variable reinforcement alone. Skinner thought he had fully explained gambling by showing that variable reward schedules pound in behavior more powerfully than fixed ones. But the people who design modern slot machines know things Skinner did not. Lotteries where you pick your own number get far more play than lotteries where the number is assigned to you. People who commit to a number believe it has more validity because they chose it. Near misses on slot machines trigger deprival super reaction syndrome. It is four or five psychological tendencies working together, not one. 16. The most dangerous situations are when multiple psychological tendencies combine toward the same end at once. Munger calls this the lollapalooza effect. Tupperware parties use four or five tendencies simultaneously. Moonie conversion methods combine multiple tendencies and work extraordinarily well. alcoholics anonymous achieves a 50% no drinking rate when everything else fails because it also combines multiple tendencies toward a constructive end. The Milgram experiment is not just about obedience. it involves authority bias, consistency and commitment tendency, and contrast effects all working together. That combination turns human brains into mush. 17. Boards of directors are structurally designed to fail as corrective mechanisms. The top executive is the authority figure. He is doing something questionable. You look around, and nobody else is objecting, which is social proof that it is fine. He flies you around in the corporate jet and raises your director fees every year, which triggers reciprocation tendency. Munger's rule: boards only act when the behavior gets so bad it starts making them look foolish or threatens legal liability. That is the only forcing function that reliably works. 18. John Goodfriend of Salomon Brothers destroyed his career and reputation because he did not fire a trusted employee who had lied to the government. Every psychological tendency pointed toward keeping the man. He was a close colleague. His wife was known. He was part of a group that had made over a billion dollars for the firm. He said he had never done it before and would never do it again. Goodfriend looked into his eyes and believed him. The man did it again. The lesson: everyone who gets caught embezzling says they have never done it before and will never do it again. That is what they all say. 19. Darwin avoided confirmation bias by deliberately seeking out disconfirming evidence. Munger says Darwin was not especially smart by ordinary standards of human acuity. Yet he is buried in Westminster Abbey. Munger studied how Darwin worked and realized he had psychological tricks worth learning. Darwin always paid extra attention to evidence that contradicted his theories. Munger started doing the same and credits it as one of the most important intellectual habits of his life. 20. Why is the most important word in communication? Carl Braun designed oil refineries with spectacular skill, and you got fired in his company if you wrote a communication without explaining why. not just who, what, where, and when, but why. Braun knew that in a complex system where things can blow up, a communication system that always explains the reason behind an instruction works dramatically better than one that does not. Forstein, the general counsel of Salomon, told Goodfriend on multiple occasions that he had to report the employee's misconduct. He explained it was the right thing to do. He never explained what would happen to Goodfriend personally if he did not. he failed to use the most powerful tool of persuasion. Goodfriend ignored him. When Goodfriend went down, Forstein went with him.

In response to liquidity constraints around AlphaPing's curated Morpho markets, we've listed four pairs on Agra. Depositors can now trade and exit these positions priced on the open market, independent of what vault utilization allows. Pairs and links below.

另一个 $AVLT 神秘大哥出手了 ! 刚刚主动上手清算了 54W $AVLT ,大哥可能觉得二级买的太慢了，干脆直接清算LOOPER仓位~ 目前大哥手里有120W AVLT 这么看已经有不少人押注 AVLT 可以完成unwind 全额退款了，清算说明 Looper们有救了！