Eno

229 posts

Eno

Eno

@EboCee

Katılım Ekim 2025
351 Takip Edilen22 Takipçiler
Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@JackFarley96 Sir, this sounds like fake news. Recall that twice previously, US/Israel attacked Iran in the middle of negotiations. Consequently, even a half witted Iranian is now very unlikely to believe any purported US negotiation offers. Thus it's unlikely real talks are happening.
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Jack Farley
Jack Farley@JackFarley96·
Citing a "Western Source" Israel's Channel 12 reports the 15 conditions for a potential monthlong ceasefire with Iran: 1. Iran must dismantle its existing nuclear capabilities. 2. Iran must commit never to pursue nuclear weapons. 3. There will be no uranium enrichment on Iranian territory. 4. Iran must hand its stockpile of some 450 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent to the International Atomic Energy Agency in the near future, in a timetable to be agreed. 5. The Natanz, Isfahan and Fordo nuclear facilities must be dismantled. 6. The IAEA, the UN’s nuclear watchdog, must be granted full access, transparency and oversight inside Iran. 7. Iran must abandon its regional proxy “paradigm.” 8. Iran must cease the funding, direction and arming of its regional proxies. 9. The Strait of Hormuz must remain open and function as a free maritime corridor. 10. Iran’s missile program must be limited in both range and quantity, with specific thresholds to be determined at a later stage. 11. Any future use of missiles would be restricted to self-defense. In return, Iran would benefit as follows: 12. Iran would receive a full lifting of sanctions imposed by the international community. 13. The US would assist Iran in advancing its civilian nuclear program, including electricity generation at the Bushehr nuclear plant. 14. The so-called “snapback” mechanism, which allows for the automatic reimposition of sanctions if Iran fails to comply, would be removed. timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry…
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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@EkpuduS @Rizvana_Raza Sir, you may be right that Iran doesn't have an EMP device. But, with respect, it is wrong to describe Iran as a "small" country without technology. Moreover, no serious military expert believes Iran's hypersonic missiles were "supplied" by Russia. Iran developed its own missiles
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رضوانا رضا
رضوانا رضا@Rizvana_Raza·
By the way, this bomb is something else; it doesn't just kill people. The moment it explodes, it destroys everything electronic and electrical. It ruins all electronic devices, and within minutes, you are sent back to the Stone Age. In an instant, all aircraft carriers, submarines, and the like will turn into drifting pieces of iron on the water's surface without any guidance, and planes will fall from the sky. This is the Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) bomb, and those who openly possess it are: North Korea, China, Russia, and the USA. As for who possesses it in secret, only God knows. And no "guessing games" (nonsense) are allowed here! 🤭 #altın #Iran #IranWar
رضوانا رضا tweet media
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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@KingKong9888 Sir, best guess is the effect of a big reduction of oil income recycling into both USDT and Au will be a USDT collapse Rationale is that USA's borrowing is already so high that a drop in demand for USDT will tip the market over the edge. One perhaps for @LukeGromen to opine on.
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Eric Yeung 👍🚀🌕
Eric Yeung 👍🚀🌕@KingKong9888·
Before the war, 50% of the oil Saudi Arabia sold to China was paid for in Chinese RMB (yuan). 100% of the oil Iran sold to China was paid for in Chinese RMB (yuan). It’s unclear how much of the oil sold to China by the rest of the GCC countries was payable in yuan. The reserve asset these countries used for their oil sales surplus in RMB Yuan was physical gold. This would have meant a large, ongoing, and largely under-the-radar accumulation of physical gold. Yes, Iran is demanding that all oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz be paid for in Chinese RMB (yuan). However, if the Strait of Hormuz becomes a war zone, how much oil will actually flow out of the GCC countries? This could drastically reduce both USD recycling into U.S. Treasuries and RMB recycling into physical gold via the GCC countries. #Gold #Silver
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Peter Hitchens
Peter Hitchens@ClarkeMicah·
.@brexitmapman. Two small points. So far they *can't* hit Diego Garcia . At least, they haven't. And do you think it wise policy to bomb and attack any country whose rockets *can* reach Europe? Please recall, it was not Iran which started this war.
BREXIT-MapMan@BrexitMapman

@mwgbanks1 @ClarkeMicah @DailyMail Trump is right on this one I am afraid. Iran just launched two missiles at Diego Garcia. One failed and the other shot down by a US Ship. If they can hit Diego Garcia they can hit Europe. These are the most radical of radical Islamists whose only goal is destruction of the West.

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Collingwood 🇬🇧
Collingwood 🇬🇧@admcollingwood·
Risible—and frighteningly woolly thinking for a Hudson Institute scholar. Repeat after me: the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is NOT the deterrent. The strategic aim of Iran is to stop the flow of oil through it in order to cause pain. Closure is just ONE means of doing so. THE REAL DETERRENT is the destruction of Gulf oil and gas infrastructure so that hydrocarbons do not reach the global economy IRRESPECTIVE OF WHETHER THE STRAIT IS OPEN OR NOT. If Iran pushes that button in response to some dumb Trump-Bibi escalation, we can expect GLOBAL depression. This in turn means mass starvation in the Third World, which in turn leads to a worldwide equivalent of the Arab Spring. In the developed world, ex-the, Russia and maybe China, it means mass unemployment, travel restrictions, mandatory WFH, and the victory for far more extreme versions of populism in Europe. It means command economies. It means aggressive, militaristic efforts to secure important national resources, and war when such efforts are disputed. It means the forced rewiring of the entire postwar civilisation. It is the final conflagration of the Fourth Turning. It is the violent sweeping away of the existing excess elites (per @Peter_Turchin). THIS is the potential threat now. It is not certain. But it is now in view as a realistic outcome. Would you play Russian roulette with one live bullet in a 100 slot cylinder revolver, even for a billion pounds? Me, neither. Yet our so called elites, cocooned as they have been in their sweet fantasy lives, are making puerile points about how their guy is now fully committed to total victory, and isn't that great, or something. If we have allowed the creation of a system in which such people get research positions at august institutions like Hudson, we deserve everything coming to us.
Zineb Riboua@zriboua

My assessment: The IRGC has entered full survival mode. They don’t see it’s just too late. It can no longer deter the U.S., which is precisely what it was testing through its posturing around the Strait of Hormuz. Trump committed fully, he’s all in, and the IRGC had calculated that strikes on oil infrastructure would provoke a sort of backlash severe enough to constrain U.S. or Israeli action. It didn’t work. They are now buying time. The deeper problem is that IRGC has not grasped what buying time actually costs at this stage. A negotiated arrangement with Trump is no longer on the table. He wants a different Iran, not an adjusted one. The moment the IRGC fully internalizes that, it will find itself squeezed from all directions at once. The domestic factions that have tolerated the current leadership did so on the assumption it could eventually deliver some form of economic relief. Not happening. The rial has lost something like 90 percent of its value and the stupidity they did today to save the rial just tells you all you need to know, the major players got killed. If they stop now, we’ll get protesters encircling them tomorrow. They have no good options.

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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@afneil Sir, the premise of the post is Iran attacked Diego Garcia. Given the history of false stories (eg Iraqi wmd), we would be most grateful if you would disclose a reliable source for this. For what it's worth Iran (not shy about claiming attacks) denies this x.com/i/status/20354…
Al Jazeera English@AJEnglish

BREAKING: Iran denies targeting the UK’s military base on Diego Garcia, with a senior official telling Al Jazeera it was not behind the missile attack. The base is being used by the US for “defensive operations” in its war with Iran. 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/iocr9

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Andrew Neil
Andrew Neil@afneil·
Mr Reed also implies that we successfully defended Diego Garcia from Iranian missile attack. Untrue. Let’s set the record straight: One Iranian ballistic missile failed in flight — malfunctioned mid-flight or broke up on re-entry. Either way it never reached the target area. The other was engaged/intercepted by a U.S. Navy guided-missile destroyer nearby, which fired an SM-3 interceptor at it and destroyed it. UK forces played no part in the defence of Diego Garcia. Nor do they have the capability to do so. Mr Reed says UK won’t be dragged into the US’s War. Fair enough. But he’s happy for the US to defend what is a British base — and didn’t even thank them for it.
Andrew Neil@afneil

Like so many ministers in the Starmer government (maybe most) this minister — Steve Reed — has no idea what he’s talking about and is totally out of his depth. Which, when the matter is national security, is rather serious.

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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@n00buntu @LukeGromen @mwmitchell1800 Sir, Citronowicz seems to be saying Israel killing Khameni has resulted in a more hardline anti-Israel Iran govt which won't negotiate. Ie the outcome of the decision to kill Khameni was objectively not in Israel's interest. Why, then, would killing more Iranians be +ve for 🇮🇱?
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n00buntu
n00buntu@n00buntu·
@LukeGromen @mwmitchell1800 >> From Israel: Assuming that Citrinowicz' analysis is Israel's view, he also writes "And this [IRGC hostility] will not change even if the current conflict ends tomorrow." So Israel should skip foreplay and go decisively to endgame. WWIII it is. x.com/citrinowicz/st…
Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش@citrinowicz

The Islamic Republic of Iran 2.0 We need to understand a fundamental shift: the Iran we knew under Khamenei is no longer the same. The current system is more hardline, more risk-tolerant, and increasingly views the continuation of confrontation — not its rapid resolution — as a strategic achievement. This does not mean the regime seeks endless wars. But unlike in the past, where Iran under Khamenei often moved relatively quickly to contain and end escalations, we are now in a different reality. And this will not change even if the current conflict ends tomorrow. As a result, many of the assumptions that guided past policy are no longer valid — whether it’s relying on old proposals previously put on the table, like assuming Iranian hesitation in the use of force. And therefore, anyone who believes it is possible to negotiate deep concessions with the current regime — such as dismantling Iran’s nuclear program or its missile project — is missing the point. These ideas are no longer relevant in any practical sense. This is also why it will be extremely difficult to identify meaningful off-ramps under the current regime. #IranWar

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Luke Gromen
Luke Gromen@LukeGromen·
…which means GCC and Israeli power plants will begin getting hit within 72 hours from this exact point in time. 😳
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Dilip Shah
Dilip Shah@DilipShah_·
Absolutely humiliating for Rachel Reeves who claimed Truss crashed the economy when 10 year Gilt yields briefly passed 4% The Labour moron premium is far larger, as UK government borrowing costs close in on 5% #Economy
Dilip Shah tweet mediaDilip Shah tweet media
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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@TimesRadio @KateEMcCann @StigAbell Sir, this conversation between your journalists illustrates why MSM has lost credibility. Whether one is pro U.S./Israel or Iran, all informed opinion (including in the Pentagon) was clear that attacking Iran was a bad idea. Your journalists' failure to mention this is concerning
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Times Radio
Times Radio@TimesRadio·
“They structured the regime in such a way that it could sustain this.” @KateEMcCann says it’s been underestimated how willing the Iranians are to “take the economic peril" that US-Israeli strikes puts on them. @StigAbell
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David Shapiro (L/0)
David Shapiro (L/0)@DaveShapi·
@EboCee Labor and capital are economic inputs, not income sources, if you look at just these two as a dichotomy.
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David Shapiro (L/0)
David Shapiro (L/0)@DaveShapi·
I've spent years studying what happens when machines surpass humans on the only four things the economy actually values: Better. Faster. Cheaper. Safer. AI and robotics are crossing all four thresholds simultaneously. When that happens, paying humans becomes economically irrational. Here's what comes next. 🧵
David Shapiro (L/0) tweet media
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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@KathrynPorter26 @jonburkeUK Madame, what is the rationale behind paying renewables a return of gas price +[×]? Is it an implicit acceptance that renewable energy costs more to generate than gas? If renewables are cheaper than gas, why would anyone pay renewable providers gas price +[×]? 🤔
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Kathryn Porter
Kathryn Porter@KathrynPorter26·
Here we go again The CfD guarantees renewables a price higher than the cost of generating electricity with gas If you lower the wholesale price you will increase the subsidy cost Bills will not fall And you need to do some research because no generators are making huge profits If we want to reduce bills we need to stop subsidising generation that only works a fraction of the time and is the most expensive around
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Jon Burke 🌍
Jon Burke 🌍@jonburkeUK·
U.K electricity is pegged to the wholesale price of gas. You’d think the Shadow Energy Secretary would know this? If you cared, you’d break the link between gas prices and renewables and campaign to prevent 40% private profits on generation across the board. But you won’t.
Claire Coutinho@ClaireCoutinho

Why do we pay some wind farms THREE TIMES the market price of electricity? 75% our wind and solar power gets a huge mark up on the wholesale price. This can never, ever be cheap. Our Cheap Power Plan would cut these rip-off subsidies for good. MAKE ELECTRICITY CHEAP.

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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@Handre Sir, is Sri Lanka the best case study for MMT? Their abandonment of artificial fertiliser use was probably (possibly?) the proximate cause of economic collapse/riots. It's a shame, because absent the fertiliser issue, it'd have been a great case study. reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
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Handre
Handre@Handre·
In 2019, Sri Lankan President Gotabaya Rajapaksa announced the world's most ambitious MMT experiment. No more foreign debt dependence — they'd simply print rupees to fund massive infrastructure projects and social programs. Western economists could keep their "fiscal discipline." The central bank fired up the printing presses with religious fervor. New highways, airports, and welfare payments flowed like water. For two years, GDP numbers looked magnificent on paper while the rupee quietly began its death spiral. But by 2022, reality crashed the party with brutal efficiency. Import costs exploded, fuel shortages crippled transportation, and supermarket shelves emptied faster than government promises. Sri Lankans lined up for hours just to buy rice — when they could find it. The "people's president" fled the country in July 2022 as protesters stormed his palace. And the MMT theorists? They moved on to their next laboratory, leaving 22 million people to clean up the wreckage of monetary hubris.
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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@MerrynSW Madame, judging by Grok's analysis of responses to Reeves's post, not many X users will vote Labour anytime soon. Indeed, it's increasingly apparent that, like the Liberal government of a century ago, this is the last ever Labour government. x.com/i/grok/share/2…
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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@RachelReevesMP Madame, judging by the comments below, not many people are persuaded. The analysis by Grok (below) shows support in comments at c. <5%. Barring a change in course, your govt may well be heading for electoral annihilation. x.com/i/grok/share/2…
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Rachel Reeves
Rachel Reeves@RachelReevesMP·
This government will make the UK the best place in the world for quantum and AI companies to start, scale and stay. In a changing world, our economic plan is the right one. bbc.co.uk/news/articles/…
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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@Deanna13Prime @WeTheBrandon Madame, absent petroleum based fertiliser, the world's present population cannot be supported. Ie Billions would starve to death. See the experience of Sri Lanka when fertiliser use stopped. Riots followed. The govt collapsed. Same would occur in the USA. reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
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Deanna
Deanna@Deanna13Prime·
@EboCee @WeTheBrandon Yes, it does take effort and time, but communities have gardens, chicken coops and such at the local level for folks in apartments and whatnot. Plus, we have fertilizer stockpiles now, so we do have the time to change things. I started on this path years ago.
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Brandon Weichert
Brandon Weichert@WeTheBrandon·
FERTILIZER SHORTAGE COMING TO AMERICA
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Eno
Eno@EboCee·
@Deanna13Prime @WeTheBrandon Madame, I very much admire your positivity. Humanity did indeed historically grow good without fertiliser derived from natural gas. However, as regrettable as it may be, as of now, in 2026, the U.S. simply cannot feed itself without such fertiliser.
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Deanna
Deanna@Deanna13Prime·
@WeTheBrandon Love your work. People have been growing food without petroleum based fertilizer for millennia. Permaculture models of sustainable farming practices with animals for fertilizer and bug control may be a good thing to come out of this bad situation. Americans will find a way.
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Thomas Fazi
Thomas Fazi@battleforeurope·
This statement, written by Russian historian Mikhail Pogodin in 1853, could have been written today:
Thomas Fazi tweet media
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