Emil Baggie.tinkaren

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Emil Baggie.tinkaren

Emil Baggie.tinkaren

@Edark94

Swede with an interest in commodities & shipping | Armchair geologist | Director Pambili $PNN.v | IR Switch Metals #SWT | CEO of @HesperianMetals

London Katılım Ocak 2011
866 Takip Edilen14.8K Takipçiler
fredmeister86
fredmeister86@fredmeister86·
@Edark94 Did you make any decent returns this year? I mean you kept posting about zim without share prife koving now you keep posting about largo. Whereas you had stellar returns a few years back? What happened to you man? 😉
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Yellow Lab Life Capital
Yellow Lab Life Capital@YellowLabLife·
And this is why critical mineral producers/processors are beginning to be priced like they are defense primes We are no longer in the pre-pandemic global economy where China and the West say to each other the words of Kaa in the Jungle Book "Trust in Me" It's Reagan's "Trust but Verify" to keep each other honest
Alex Turnbull@alexbhturnbull

China Government is telling on itself that the only thing they respect is hard power and building that is the only way to get treated with respect by them. Choosing supply chain dependence with China is like walking around with a note on your back saying "kick me".

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Rory Johnston
Rory Johnston@Rory_Johnston·
(longer than I planned) The question imho isn't whether or not Trump *can* TACO on Iran—when push comes to shove I think Trump can still choose to hard-bail and leave everyone else with the mess, what I would have called the "unilateral TACO" a few months ago. Question is at what level of market stress—crude/pump price, equity market rout, etc.—will force Trump to do so? I always thought that the now-dead MOU read a lot like the deal I expected Trump to be forced to make at $150+ crude, and it was strange to me that Trump agreed to it at like $80. But clearly Trump never intended to comply with the key provisions that got Tehran to agree to reopen the Strait, which makes a lot more sense at $80. Hence why the deal—which was fundamentally unstable given competing interpretations of those key provisions—collapsed and we're back to a tightening oil market and a rising price trajectory in an attempt to find the TACO clearing price. There's also always a possibility that Iran eventually taps out first, but I think so far Tehran seems intent on leveraging the Hormuz crisis while they're got it. The month-long post-MOU partial reopening kind of helped give the market a temporary supply hit, but most of that was just the transfer of stranded oil-on-water in the Gulf into the broader system. Fresh Gulf loadings, meanwhile, failed to durably rebound and are falling again. Meanwhile global commercial stock levels have continued to draw, SPRs are lower, and now we have a deepening refined product crisis on top of Hormuz thanks to Russia's Ukraine-assisted refinery fleet implosion. So oil market is now caught between more durably tighter balances and not wanting to get rugged on the upside in an inevitable replay of prior TACO jawbones/head fakes. Finally, there's still that pesky presumed surplus on the other side of this crisis, which makes it easier all else equal to tolerate low stock levels (we can just refill them in the glut! right?!). But future barrels won't matter if we *actually* start getting close to local tank bottoms, which would force prices sharply higher to balance as patience is exhausted. It's a race! Fascinating market, hard to believe I'll ever see another one like it.
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william
william@DavidKe73483404·
@Edark94 This story will end in tears for all bottom fishers.
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D
D@_Unknown_D_·
This is already giving me the impression that Andy’s premiership Is going to be more of the same. He seems to be chasing headlines and polls rather than following any sound economic strategy. It's all good and well scrapping VAT, capping bus fares, mass building council houses etc but he still hasn't addressed the critical question of who is paying for all of this.
GB Politics@GBPolitcs

🚨NEW: Andy Burnham has performed his first u-turn as Prime Minister He told reporters on Monday, as well as the Times on the weekend, that he was looking to increase the personal tax-free allowance from £12,750 Tonight, aides say it won't happen [@alexwickham]

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Lunens
Lunens@Lunens__·
I am sick and tired of hearing about pensioners. People who work, earn and pay the tax that pays for all of this need to be incentivised to produce and earn more. Without them, the whole system collapses. This obsession with geriatrics in UK politics has to stop.
Politics UK@PolitlcsUK

🚨 NEW: Andy Burnham says he's looking at raising the personal tax-free allowance from £12,750 "It has dragged more people in - pensioners - and that particularly has become a growing issue"

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