Edgar Investor

Start here. Most people trade stories. I trade conditions. Pressure confirms the move. Energy confirms the trend. No energy = chop = no trade. If you’re here for levels + invalidations (no noise), you’re in the right place.

Short-term move looks epic (oil crash ->equities surge $900B+), but zoom out: War still raging, Trump signaled ~4 weeks duration. I'm 100% cash. My rule: No open positions when VIX is high (>25). What's your rule in elevated vol? Other rule ? comment below! Your take? #FinTwit #VIX #Oil #SPY #Trading

BREAKING: MARKETS ARE SURGING AS OIL CRASHES. S&P 500 is up 1.49% in last 3 hours, adding $900 billion. Nasdaq is up 1.78% in last 3 hours, adding $685 billion. Russell 2000 is up 2.26% in last 3 hours, adding $83 billion. Meanwhile, oil is down 7.65% in the last 3 hours. From today’s peak, oil has now crashed 22%, wiping out entire gain.

@MarketMike Short-term: Oil big reversal + SPY ripping higher, looks bullish AF. But 5-day zoom out: VIX elevated for a reason (geopol unwind slow). Not all clear yet. Will you bet on this bounce? Your stance? #FinTwit #VIX #Oil #SPY #WTI

Take a look at that big reversal in Oil. Also, look what happened to SP500 at the same time. $USO $SPY

@Mr_Derivatives VIX >25? Sit out. Let others chase the greed and take the risks. No need to be greedy here Just wait for calm. Agree? Are you trading through this or sitting on hands until the market settles? #FinTwit #VIX #Trading

$VIX since Covid.

@KobeissiLetter 'If oil rises, it rises' – but 'they'll drop very rapidly when over'. Not predicting permanent highs, just prioritizing the bigger picture. Reversal hitting: $CL back to $95 after spike. Still possible to short? Your take below! #FinTwit #Oil #WTI

BREAKING: US oil prices fall to $95/barrel as the reversal accelerates, now up just +4% on the day.

$CL setup looks perfect for a drop right now. Williams %R and CCI screaming overbought, price rejecting top of range. But macro is screaming too. Geopolitics, Ormuz, war risk. Setup materializes or macro overrides?

Shorting costs explode when it looks most 'obvious' to short. Unlimited downside risk vs 100% max gain. IV spikes, option premiums kill you. Market prices that asymmetry fast. Better to sit cash and buy the dip than fight that. You shorting here or waiting?

Confluence level you barely see... RSI + CCI crossover is a killer short-term edge. Volume above average? CCI crosses RSI up = buy, down = sell. Setup showing up again right now. but watch ADX. Below 20 means no real strength be careful, could be fakeout. You trading this or passing?

@financialjuice Anyone shifting to cash or gold with this Saudi missile news?

Saudi Ministry of Defense: Interception and destruction of three cruise missiles outside Al-Kharj city.

@MrMikeInvesting Tight Bollinger squeeze on $SPX and $QQQ after 5 months of range. Low ADX all over too. Coiled energy not weakness. $VIX spiking on war talk makes me sit tight for now. Big move coming but timing is everything. You positioned or waiting for the break?

Over the course of the next 30 days the S&P 500 & $QQQ are about to break out of their 5 months of range bound action… Indicators are popping up everywhere such as: ~ Bollinger bands tightened up. ~ Traders holding the most puts ever seen. ~ 200SMA catching up to current prices. I’ll continue to warn that this kind of setup is very RARE, & doesn’t happen often, but when it does… You need to be ready.

$AAPL a killer opportunity in crises? History shows massive pullbacks then huge rebounds when dust settles. Pandemics +210%, taxes +51%, inflation shocks +54%, AI rotation +56%. If VIX is pricing real crisis now, is $AAPL the best dip buy? Or you got another stock? Drop it below. #FinTwit #AAPL"

You in NVDA? Just watching like me or seeing opportunity? Drop your take below. #FinTwit

Williams %R borderline oversold but not confirmed. ADX low means chop or waiting to explode. Geopol noise not helping momentum. No oversold enough for big bounce here. Better sit tight. You forcing a trade or waiting for expansion?

$NVDA compressing hard. Prices tighter every day. Williams %R near -80 but no real strength yet. ADX at 13. Red flag. Low ADX means energy coiled not weak. No trend yet. Pullback or crash in this squeeze? Watching only right now.

$VIX spiking hard on war talk. $SPY compressing tight after yesterday. Low ADX all over the place. Coiled energy not weakness. No trend yet just waiting to release. You buying dips or watching?? #FinTwit #VIX

@WhiteOakFX Great video, solid supply/demand break idea. Macro worries me a bit tho. $VIX over 25 yesterday. If Ormuz stays closed for 14 days (next FOMC) + inflation pressure, money runs to gold and setups get ignored completely. You in or waiting? Watching close.

🚨🎥 #GOLD RANGE BREAK ALERT 🎥🚨 Just finished video analysis on gold. Price is currently ranging. We reacted perfectly from daily 🟥 supply and then rallied from daily 🟩 demand — a level we gave to our Telegram followers in advance 📲🔥 t.me/supplydemandfo… Now the structure is developing, and there is a very high probability we could see a drop from here if momentum confirms. 🥇 The range is tightening. The next move could be explosive. Watch the full breakdown to see exactly what I’m seeing on the charts. 👇 Follow and hit the 🔔 notification bell to stay ahead of the move!

Here's the scene from today's market mess. During the day: S&P 500 all red, drops across the board ( $NVDA -2.34%, $TSLA -3.72%, $AAPL -0.41%, $META -1.73%, $GOOG -2.71% — Mag7 leading the bleed). $VIX spiked hard, up 23% to 27.3. Classic fear mode. Why? Escalating US-Iran war. New strikes killed Iran's Supreme Leader, Trump vowing "whatever it takes" to win. Oil surged 8% to $76.90, inflation worries kicked in, investors dumped stocks for safe havens like gold. Early plunge: S&P down 2.5%, Dow 1200 points, Nasdaq 2.7% Close: Rebounded a bit, calmer. S&P -0.94% at 6816, Dow -0.83% at 48501, Nasdaq -1.02% at 22517. VIX settled around 26-27. Not a bloodbath, but volatile as hell. Panic sell from war fears? Yeah, early dump looked like that. But lots of dip buyers piled in, creating buy pressure in the book. Trump comments calmed some nerves, oil pullback helped. Or just low weekend liquidity hangover from strikes. Tomorrow? If Iran retaliates big (more strikes?), VIX could hit 30+, oil to 80+, stocks tank again. If de-escalates or Fed hints dovish, rebound to flat/green. Watching oil and headlines overnight. You buying the dip or sitting out?

Yield on cost is popular but it depends where the yield comes from. If the stock runs up your average cost rises and yield on cost drops. It's a solid strategy, honestly more conservative than mine. Respect💯 You long only or do you have tactical moves too? Like selling dividend cows in a bear run to buy back cheaper later? Or pure long-term hold?

I think it really depends on your strategy and definition of success. if I were buying for the dividend growth and security, I'm interested in what I call the 'real yield' i.e. what is it paying me today v the price I bought it for. for me, its about what involvement I think that company will have in the future. V, MA, JPM, MSFT are some of the stocks that have been around for a while and have done pretty well - as well as being here to stay

My fellow investors, how often are you rebalancing your portfolio, and how many positions do you currently hold?

I like that perspective but predicting 20 years ahead, particularly for me, is a lot. Directors leave. Controllers change. The world flips. Who saw AI like today coming? Or an EV company bigger than GM? $KO isn't bad today. Still strong. But it underperformed the S&P 500 last 20 years (~6% annualized vs ~8-10% for the index with dividends). I prefer numbers and swings I can control over hoping the story lasts forever. You got any 20-year hold that crushed it?

@EdgarInvestor @NotA_Bull Sounds a well thought out plan! I’m more of a long termer - for me, it’s about looking at a company and asking myself where it will be in 20 years, as well as deciding if I want capital growth or into be part of a dividend plan

Exactly. The biggest investors who crush the market long term have real power. Voting rights. Influence. Their exit moves the stock and creates uncertainty. They control the company. You're proving my point. For us without that control, blind long-term hold is just hoping. I prefer numbers and swings where I can manage risk. Different game when you don't have the keys.

it will always depends on context. I invest in numbers not networks. Rockefeller's model today would be dead. Antitrust would crush that vertical monopoly style fast. if I'm holding long it's because the numbers make sense. Earnings. Big pullback potential. Whatever. But I can drop any position anytime without drama when things change. you?

@EdgarInvestor @NotA_Bull that's an interesting approach. are you just shorter-term trading in that case? For me, I can live with knowing I'll never have a vote if I like what I see and can get behind the company long term