Elias Rokos

706 posts

Elias Rokos

@El_Rok

Tech Exec/CTO. Investor. Driven by curiosity. Guided by first principles.

Santa Monica, CA Katılım Temmuz 2009

752 Takip Edilen314 Takipçiler

Elias Rokos@El_Rok·11 May

FOMO dies when you realize the market always offers new opportunities. Missed the move? Find the next setup. Took profits too early? Focus on the gains you locked in. In bullish markets, there’s always another leader, another breakout, another entry. Forward focus beats FOMO. You cannot ride all the waves.

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Ted Zhang@TedHZhang·11 May

FOMO is the mind killer.

Ted Zhang@TedHZhang

I just love this quote from Dune (repurposed for trading): "[FOMO]. [FOMO] is the mind killer. [FOMO] is the little death that brings total obliteration. I will face my [FOMO]. I will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has gone past I will turn to see its path. Where the [FOMO] has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain. —Frank Herbert (Fear replaced with FOMO)

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·11 Nis

Χριστός Ανέστη!

Darío Madrid@Dario_Madrid_F

Hoy he descubierto dos cosas: que hoy es Sábado Santo para los cristianos ortodoxos y que celebran la ceremonia de la "Luz Sagrada" en la Iglesia del Santo Sepulcro de Jerusalén. El rito se desarrolla en el interior del Edículo, la pequeña capilla que resguarda el sepulcro de Cristo. En ese lugar, el Patriarca ortodoxo de Jerusalén accede en solitario, después de ser examinado previamente para acreditar que no lleva consigo ningún instrumento con el que pudiera encender fuego. Tras rezar en la penumbra, sale portando velas encendidas que, conforme a la tradición, habrían prendido de manera milagrosa. La llama se propaga con rapidez entre los fieles, dando lugar a una escena sobrecogedora: miles de velas iluminan el templo en apenas unos minutos. Posteriormente, este fuego se traslada a numerosos países de tradición ortodoxa, donde se convierte en un símbolo de la Resurrección y de la luz de Cristo que triunfa sobre la muerte.

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·31 Mar

@ohiain @NickSchmidt No clue either. But here is an educated guess… 5 EW waves down (we are wave 1) to either around 5300 or 4800 bottoming this summer or fall. Q4 the beginning of a new bull cycle. 2027-2030 will be great!

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iain@ohiain·31 Mar

@NickSchmidt Nick, you have great wisdom. I'm curious what your 6-month vision is regarding your thoughts on the markets.

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Nick Schmidt@NickSchmidt·31 Mar

I think people underestimate how much stress comes from trying to have an opinion on every move. If you just zoom out and identify whether the market is trending up, down, or going sideways, most of the decisions are already made for you. Trending up, you stay long until the evidence changes. Trending down and you're in cash or short. Sideways and you do as little as possible. You don't need to interpret every headline or have a complicated thesis for everything. Identify the trend, and act accordingly. That simplicity is boring but its an edge.

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·5 Oca

@APompliano IQ 80?

Anthony Pompliano 🌪@APompliano·5 Oca

Delta Force went and grabbed Maduro this weekend, so now Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is rumored to be looking to flee his country and head to Moscow. Dictators around the world finally realizing America isn't playing around.

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·5 Oca

@ChartingGuy Yep. ETH is also textbook Wyckoff and already on the right leg

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·9 Ara

@spluscollective Great setup with heavy institutional buying throughout the correction. If it weren’t for the upcoming earnings, I’d already be in.

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First Fellow@spluscollective·9 Ara

$CIEN Excellent is a small word! ER in two days, so not going to involve in it anymore until after.

First Fellow@spluscollective

$CIEN Category: A Please go over below thread on some of my favorite names I posted yesterday. Most of them are showing exceptions RS in the todays market. This was my #1. PT: $225

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·4 Ara

@ChartingGuy Agreed. Most charts I’m looking at now are following similar W pattern: run/bull trap now, potential dip into FOMC week and the true bull run out of the correction starts in second half of Dec. Let’s see.

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·2 Ara

@ChartingGuy Agreed. I’m expecting a pullback toward ~75K for BTC, potentially bottoming around the Dec 10 FOMC, followed by a V-shape recovery if rate cuts are signaled. I see QQQ following a similar trajectory.

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·27 Kas

There are two ways to live: A life of being or a life of becoming. Being gives you peace. Becoming keeps you chasing.

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·27 Kas

@PrimeTrading_ The market is like the ocean. It’ll do whatever it wants. You are the surfer. You just need to master how to ride its waves.

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Alex Desjardins@PrimeTrading_·26 Kas

The Freedom of Not Knowing I spent years trying to “understand” the market. Part of it came from being an engineer — I was wired to break things down, analyze the mechanics, figure out how and why something works. That mindset served me everywhere in life… except in trading. In the market, trying to force logic onto every move became one of my biggest handicaps. For the longest time, I believed that if I could explain what was happening, then I could trade it better. But the market doesn’t care about my reasoning. It doesn’t need to be consistent or rational. It just moves. And every time I stopped to make sense of a move, I fell behind — the opportunity passed while I was still trying to solve the equation. Eventually, I learned the truth: The market will do whatever it wants, even when I don’t understand it. And the more I chased the “why,” the more disconnected I became from the actual price action. It works in both directions. Uptrends that “shouldn’t be up” keep grinding higher. Downtrends that “should bounce” keep bleeding. The moment I stopped trying to decode everything and started simply following my system, trading became a lot cleaner and a lot less stressful. You don’t need to understand the market. You need to understand your system, your edge, and your risk. Turn off the noise. Turn off the ego. Execute what you’ve trained for. Let the market do its thing — it was never waiting for your permission anyway. #the-freedom-of-not-knowing" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">traderslab.gitbook.io/primetrading/a…

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·25 Kas

@Freedom_By_40 This looks more like a wave 4. I think we have one more low w5 for BTC to bottom.

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Freedom By 40@Freedom_By_40·24 Kas

#Bitcoin ideal path: Fill CME and then push up as high as possible for the monthly close.

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·24 Kas

@wliang I think eventually we’ll probably see a final drop this week to 0.618 fib around $31-$33 and then a massive run for the next 2-3 months to $140-$145.

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Wayne Liang@wliang·24 Kas

$IREN didn't close below gold zone. We should see a bounce here tomorrow, right off support. Unsure how much of a bounce we'll get in these markets. Definitely helps with Bitcoin moving "well." Daily chart doesn't look too bad either. Should be an interesting week!

Wayne Liang@wliang

$IREN 1D & 1W. Sitting below 1D gold zone. Not ideal. Has dipped through gold zone on 1W. If we close below gold zone today, it'll be a rough next week. Emotionally trading, this is a solid price to get in. But otherwise, it's not 'safe' to enter until a blue diamond appears.

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·21 Kas

@cantonmeow not a bear market. it will recover soon. Apparently all this cascade of liquidations was caused by a bug... x.com/AltcoinDaily/s…

Altcoin Daily@AltcoinDaily

NEW: 🚨 Tom Lee says #Bitcoin, #Ethereum, & #crypto are crashing due to a software bug.

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Cantonese Cat 🐱🐈@cantonmeow·21 Kas

#Bitcoin. Is this the start of a bear market, or is this a deleveraging event before the next leg up? Before you ask me questions, suffer through this 1 hour video just like everybody else! 00:00 Chapter 1. Bitcoin is scary!!! 05:35 Chapter 2. 2 things that matter - 1) Deleveraging 18:00 Chapter 2. 2 things that matter - 2) Liquidity 24:55 Chapter 3. Gold 30:00 Chapter 4. "Crypto is scary!!" 49:00 Chapter 5. Where's Bitcoin going?

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·20 Kas

Pro tip: If you want an LLM to do something complex, don’t waste time crafting the perfect prompt yourself. Ask the LLM to write the prompt for you. It knows exactly how to set itself up for the task.

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·10 Kas

See things as they really are, not as you wish them to be, nor as you fear they might be.

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·10 Kas

First principles first. Strip every situation down to: - What is a fact and what is narrative? - What do I know, and what do I not know? - What matters, and what is just noise?

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Elias Rokos@El_Rok·1 Kas

@compound248 @sama @OpenAI When someone attacks the asker instead of answering the question, it only means they have no good answer. This applies universally, to any subject.

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Compound248 💰@compound248·1 Kas

Apparently, if you ask @sama how his $13 billion money-losing for profit not-for-profit can support $1.4 TRILLION of spend commitments, he gets very defensive and starts to attack non-existent short sellers. I cannot wait for @OpenAI to be a public company.