Ramskill

@ed_fin How do you think this plays out Ed?

Thread. 🫡

Obviously, it’s still early, but so far, it appears like the “peace deal” was just to get Trump out of the ultimatum.

@SeanMcCarthyCom Thanks for the laugh

Good evening my fellow Americans. I started this retarded war because I raped children on camera. My son in law is a Mossad agent and I met my wife through Jeffrey Epstein. My only honorable recourse is to ritually disembowel myself with a katana before you tonight

@LuxAlgo Iran fired some today and killed people, heard the booms and the alerts.

Iran fired NO MISSILES at the UAE yesterday for the first time since the war started. Conflict ending soon?

@LeilaniDowding I can still fill my tank up for 20quid here in Dubai, downside is that we are facing missiles and drones daily.

It’s only £1.68 a litre by me…. But there’s none left

@TRobinsonNewEra Iran has responded tit for tat in every strike from the US and Israel apart from the killing of 160 school girls. Once Starmer fires from his submarine then the UK can brace for a response.

How close does Iran have to be to be able to strike the UK? The answer is that they could, theoretically, already be able to do it. Do people still want to do nothing? Honest question.

@shanaka86 @grok what official sources confirm this counter threat from Iran

JUST IN: President Trump threatened to destroy Iran’s power grid. Iran retaliated & responded by threatening to destroy the Gulf’s water supply. The 48-hour ultimatum just became a mutual hostage crisis where the hostages are not soldiers. They are 90 million Iranians who need electricity and tens of millions of Gulf residents who need desalinated seawater to drink. Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi and military officials warned through Tasnim that any US strike on Iranian power plants will trigger immediate attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure and desalination facilities. This is not about oil. Kuwait gets 90 percent of its drinking water from desalination. Qatar gets nearly 99 percent. Bahrain 85 percent. Saudi Arabia 70 percent. The UAE 42 percent. The Gulf produces 40 percent of the world’s desalinated water through 400 facilities, with 90 percent of output concentrated in approximately 56 large coastal plants sitting on shorelines within 350 kilometres of Iranian launch positions. These are not hardened military installations. They are open-air industrial complexes powered by fossil fuels, processing seawater into the liquid that comes out of taps in Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Doha, and Kuwait City. A single cruise missile into the Jubail desalination complex in Saudi Arabia, the largest in the world, threatens water supply to the capital. There are no wells under Riyadh sufficient to replace it. There are no rivers. There is desalinated seawater from the coast or there is evacuation. The precedent already exists. On March 7, strikes damaged a desalination plant on Iran’s Qeshm Island, cutting water to 30 villages. An Iranian drone struck a Bahraini facility the following day. The infrastructure has already been hit from both sides. What Iran is now threatening is not a first strike on water. It is an escalation of targeting that has already begun, calibrated to match whatever the United States does to Iranian civilian power generation. This is the escalation ladder that has no rungs left. Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum threatens to plunge Iran into darkness. Iran’s counter threatens to cut water to populations that have no natural freshwater alternative. The humanitarian math is symmetrical and devastating on both sides. Iranian hospitals lose power. Gulf hospitals lose water. Both outcomes produce mass civilian harm within days. Neither side can execute its threat without triggering the other’s response. The Gulf states that co-signed the 23-nation Hormuz statement calling on Iran to cease hostilities are now the states whose water supply Iran has explicitly identified as a retaliatory target. Three of the statement’s signatories, Bahrain, the UAE, and the host country itself, the UAE, depend on desalination for the majority of their drinking water. They signed a document condemning Iran. Iran responded by naming the infrastructure that keeps their citizens alive. The 48-hour clock is running toward March 23. If it expires and Trump strikes power plants, the cascade is not hypothetical. Iran hits desalination. Gulf water supplies collapse within days. Millions of people in the world’s wealthiest per capita nations face a water emergency that no amount of oil revenue can fix because the plants that make the water run on the electricity that comes from the power grid that Iran will target in return. The destruction is circular. Each side’s retaliation enables the other’s next strike. Oil gets the headlines. Helium gets nothing. Water gets less. But water is the threat that turns a military confrontation into a civilisational emergency. You can survive without oil. You can survive without helium. You cannot survive without water. And 48 hours from now, the survival calculation may no longer be theoretical. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@shanaka86 When goods and services dont cross borders, then soldiers will. Thanks for the continued analysis

Everyone is covering the Hormuz crisis as a list of problems. Energy. Fertiliser. Shipping. Insurance. Each gets its own headline. Each gets its own analyst. Each gets modelled independently. That is exactly why every model is wrong. The crisis is not a list. It is a loop. And the loop is feeding on itself in ways that no linear framework can capture. Follow the chain. Gulf sulfur supply is cut. Nearly half of global seaborne sulfur trade is Gulf-dependent. Without sulfur there is no sulfuric acid. Without sulfuric acid there is no phosphate processing. China sees its own phosphate production threatened and bans exports through August. Global phosphate tightens. Blended fertiliser costs spike. Corn economics collapse relative to soybeans. American farmers shift 1 to 2 million acres away from corn. Corn supply tightens. But the ethanol mandate does not care. The Renewable Fuel Standard requires 15 billion gallons of corn ethanol annually, consuming roughly 43 percent of the US corn crop regardless of price. Ethanol demand is inelastic. Corn gets squeezed from both the supply side and the demand side simultaneously. Corn prices rise. Feed costs rise. The protein cascade flips. US cattle herd sits at 86.2 million head, a 75-year low. Poultry and pork were benefiting from cheap feed. That reverses when corn crosses $5 per bushel. The entire animal protein complex margin-compresses. Meat prices rise. Food import bills for developing nations swell. Egypt, already facing $29 billion in external debt repayments, cannot absorb it. Pakistan, where debt service consumes a devastating share of tax revenue, cannot absorb it. Sub-Saharan Africa’s $90 billion 2026 debt wall leaves zero fiscal space. Sovereign stress worsens. The fiscal capacity for fertiliser subsidies erodes. Application rates fall further. Yields drop further. Grain markets tighten further. Import bills rise further. The loop closes. And starts again. Tighter each cycle. Now layer the channels nobody is modelling. Iran struck a desalination plant in Bahrain on March 8. Kuwait depends on desalination for 90 percent of its drinking water. The Gulf holds 42 percent of global desalination capacity, co-generated with power infrastructure under active bombardment. Australia imports virtually all its urea, two-thirds from the Gulf. Its entire heavy freight network runs on AdBlue, which is 32.5 percent high-purity urea. No urea, no AdBlue, no freight movement, no groceries delivered. A Gulf drone dictates whether Sydney supermarkets stock shelves. Southeast Asian aquaculture, 68 percent of the world’s farmed fish, depends on soybean meal for the majority of feed costs. Soy is repricing as corn-to-soy acreage shifts alter the entire oilseed complex. US cotton acres declining 3.2 percent to 9.0 million. Bangladesh imports over 95 percent of raw cotton and faces simultaneous synthetic disruption from the same petrochemical shutdown. The garment sector generating 85 percent of export earnings is being hit from three directions. And underneath all of it: PE, PP, PET, aluminium, tinplate, glass. All rising simultaneously. Adding several percentage points to retail food prices through a channel no farm futures contract tracks. The Fed meets tomorrow with core PCE at 3.0 to 3.1 percent and GDP growth deteriorating. Markets price at most one rate cut in December. The central bank that is supposed to stabilise prices is watching fourteen transmission channels reprice simultaneously through a single chokepoint it has no tool to reopen. This is not fourteen separate crises. It is one system consuming itself. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@panicsellingxyz Great update, thanks

New on panicselling.xyz: Filter by price range. Filter by bedrooms. Looking for 3-bed villas under AED 5M with active price drops? Now you can find exactly that. 276 drops in Dubai. Narrowed down to what you actually want.

@MarioNawfal You might be the only one who thinks he can. The train left the station on this one.

Am I the only one who thinks Trump will try to end the war by next week?

@panicsellingxyz @DrProfitCrypto Don't listen to this dickhead mate, my wife is in real estate in Dubai and prices are being adjusted in real time. Thanks for creating the website, I'm tracking it daily.

There is zero narrative we are trying to "create". The only narratives are: 1. We are bullish on UAE (again) 2. This is the best tool to identify buy the dip opportunities on the UAE market You’re saying there are no “panic sales” — but that’s because when prices drop and listings hit our site, buyers step in almost immediately. 😅 And once they sell - we remove them from the site.

#DUBAI: EXPOSING "PANICSELLING" WEBSITE Its time to expose all the lies that are being spread about the UAE real estate market. I am going to expose them one by one and leave absolutely no room for any kind of FUD by presenting proof and real data. Exposing the news website PANICSELLING: this person is a grandiose manipulator, feeding lies to the sheep and the intellectually lazy crowd. To understand the manipulation you first need to understand how this so-called system works. This AI tool simply scans existing listings and triggers a “distress” or “panic sell” alert once a seller reduces his asking price. But anyone with even basic understanding of Dubai luxury real estate knows that asking prices are almost always 10–15% above the latest transaction prices. Thanks to Dubai's real estate transparency we can directly compare the last recorded transactions with current listings. So for example, if a unit in the same building with the same view last transacted around 8.5M AED, the next seller might list his unit for 10M AED, roughly 17% higher than the previous transaction, which is completely normal especially when the market previously favored buyers. Now sellers see a wave of negative news and FUD circulating, so those who genuinely want to sell start adjusting their asking price closer to the last transaction level of 8.5M. The moment this happens the fake news AI flags it as a 15% “price drop” and the panic narrative begins spreading. In reality the seller simply adjusted an inflated asking price back toward the last transaction level, but the AI calculates it as a crash. It is completely normal to see listings 10–15% above recent transactions. I will prove this point clearly. I am not someone throwing empty words into the air, I let the data speak. And to make it absolutely fair I am not cherry-picking anything. I am taking the top three examples from his own website, the exact listings he labels as “panic sells”, and exposing the manipulation step by step. Example 1, ranked as first on his website: The first listing is an off-plan villa in Maha, Expo Valleys with a 13,000 sqft plot. The original asking price was an INSANE INFLATED 26.5M AED and the seller reduced it by 15.4% down to 22.4M AED. Now let’s compare this to the actual transactions of the same villa type in the same community with very similar plot sizes. Al Maha in Expo Valleys shows transactions ranging between 13.8M and 18.166M AED depending on plot size, with all recorded transactions coming from 2023 and 2024. There are no transactions in 2025 or 2026 because the project is still under construction and not even completed yet. Despite that, the seller is still asking around 22.4M AED which is roughly 40% higher than the average of the last transactions. So I ask a simple question: where exactly is the distress here? Example 2, ranked second on his website: The second listing on his website is a villa in Jumeirah Park District 6. The website screams about a 21% price drop. The seller initially listed the villa for 18.5M AED, an absolutely insane price, and later came back to reality and reduced it to 14.5M AED. The bot instantly flags this as a 20% market crash. But look at the real data. In the same district 6 with identical plot sizes between 10–13k sqft only four comparable villas were sold. The most recent transaction happened in January 2026 for 11.375M AED. Even after the so-called “panic drop” the seller is still asking 14.5M AED, which is roughly 27% higher than the most recent transaction just two months ago. Other units with almost identical plots in the same area sold between 9M and 10M over the past three years. Again, where exactly is the distress? Example 3, ranked third on his website: Now let’s continue with another example just below it. This same website claims a massive 35% price drop for a 2BR unit in Dubai Hills. Once again the manipulation is obvious. The seller originally listed the apartment at a ridiculous 8.5M AED. Meanwhile recent transactions in the exact same building show prices between 3.5M AED for back-view units and around 4.5M AED for park-view units. Since this unit is a park view, the seller eventually reduced his unrealistic asking price by 35% from 8.5M AED to 5.5M AED. The website proudly calls this a market crash. But even after the “drop” the seller is still asking 5.5M AED which is about 22% higher than the most recent transactions that happened even one month ago in February, and sold around 4.5M AED for the same park view units. So I ask you a very simple question: is the website insane, or are the people blindly believing this narrative insane? One thing is certain, my words are based on real transaction data, not manipulated AI headlines. And if needed I can continue exposing these examples until tomorrow. There are many more FAKE NEWS stories spreading right now. Another very famous one is the chart that supposedly shows the Dubai real estate market crashing. Do you want me to expose that one as well?

@DonCryptoDraper You would think Iran is on a suicide mission opening up another war front, whats that 7 countries? Doesnt make sense....

any muslim experts here, whats the rationale of Iran attacking another friendly muslim country?

@EmperorBTC Good old market manipulation

Iran is offering to discuss and end this war. Big for the sentiment and bigger day for stock and crypto. The calm after chaos causes the best pumps.

@disclosetv @grok can you explain why Iraq might have done this?

JUST IN - Iraq halts oil exports via key pipeline from Kurdistan region to Turkey — Bloomberg

@SartorialShootr @tony_tress Me and my kids were 40 metres away from debris falling on us at the Atlantis today, but point taken. I genuinly agree but i think people should stay inside as much as possible.

@tony_tress You’re at higher risk of actual harm from street crime levels in Europe than debris fall in UAE

To those in Dubai DMing me who are concerned, relax, yes this is an escalation - and whilst it is very ‘headline worthy’ it is in fact highly unlikely to impact day to day personnel security / safety levels for you and your family here. I recommend that you: Firstly and most importantly - monitor official channels like UAE Ministry of Interior, National Emergency Crisis and Disaster Management Authority (NCEMA), Dubai Police, WAM (Emirates News Agency) via their websites or X pages, for official security / safety advice. Keep in mind western mainstream media makes money from clicks - not from truth or giving balanced assessments - they use fear to get attention and hence advertiser revenue. Much better to rely on official channels for balanced updates. Postpone any travel plans until the situation stabilises. Avoid military facilities of any type. Contact family outside of the country to reassure them that you are fine, they are likely concerned due to western media fear mongering. ——- I’ve assessed conflicts and geopolitical risk in the region for decades, yes this is an escalation but no, there is no need for concern or leaving the country. As a career security professional - with near 20 years working across the Middle East and an MSc in Risk - I’m still MUCH more comfortable having my family living in Dubai than in most major western cities.

@KillaXBT My most viewed chart of the year according to TradingView :)

$BTC I believe this is the most important chart to be watching right now: USDT.D. The PA closely resembles 2021. When we first tested major resistance back then, we ranged for several months before eventually breaking higher, during which BTC dropped from 45K to 24K. Bear markets typically last around 300 days. We’re currently only about 70 days in. Given how fast price is moving, the bottom may come sooner than Q4 2026 rather than later. With that in mind, as long as USDT.D remains below resistance, BTC can theoretically bounce. I’d be watching for a deviation above resistance followed by acceptance back into the range. That would be my long trigger. Despite BTC looking weak, USDT.D is still at resistance until proven otherwise. If USDT.D breaks out to the upside, BTC likely moves toward 74K and 68K. These are my inevitable targets, though it would be surprising to reach that region without an extended consolidation first. We’ll see how it plays out.

@KillaXBT Not your typical price action, caught a lot of people off guard Including me, I was looking for shorts all day yesterday and flipped to long in New York session

$BTC When you see a sharp, violent bounce like this with a long naked lower wick, it’s almost always a Institutional driven impulse. The big players are the ones behind it. This move was engineered to wipe out stops and shake everyone out and they pulled it off flawlessly. I never rush to short movements like these unless we have a significant supply sweep. 93K will be tested at some point.

@investanswers @KobeissiLetter Finally someone sees it

@KobeissiLetter AI is already compressing prices and disrupting models. AI is a deflationary force!

Current situation: 1. The US is preparing $2,000 stimulus checks 2. Japan is preparing a $110 billion stimulus package 3. China has approved a $1.4 trillion stimulus package 4. The Fed is officially ending QT on December 1st 5. The US is issuing~$1.9 trillion in treasures per year 6. Canada is restarting its Quantitative Easing program 7. Global M2 money supply is at a record $137 trillion 8. Global rate cuts are at 320+ over the last 24 months In what world is another wave of inflation not on its way?

@KillaXBT Doesn't look good bruv.

If $BTC cannot hold the weekend lows, we are going sub-100K.

@thegarybrecka Maintaining muscle mass

What’s one thing you’re doing today that your 80-year-old self will thank you for? 👇🏻