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FLJack
1.4K posts


@adam3us @InPHARMaticist Yep. Judging how wild BTC price action is, +/- 10k from here is actually a good buying price.
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missed posting 8th Feb bitcoin 200wma crossed $58k. so #58kGang got overtaken by bitcoin's "floor price". x.com/adam3us/status…

Adam Back@adam3us
#bitcoin 200wma passes $57k x.com/adam3us/status…
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@SuperBitcoinBro Everything seems out of resonance since 2021. We kinda lived in a different timeline or a different simulation script.
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@Souleymannnnnn @dotkrueger I'm preaching him in 2021 and half of 2022. But in late 2022 and throughout 2023, that was my biggest mistake, which was that I still listened to his predictions. The lesson I learned is: never trust any prediction from the guy who is always confident that they've been right.
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@dotkrueger Ben Cowen is one of the few people who’s actually been mostly correct about his predictions this cycle.
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@dotkrueger Before you talk any sort of smack about Cowen, you need his statements to be disproven. So far since 2022 his predictions were correct unlike yours.
He has a logical framework he operates in and stays consistent within it.
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@carlgustaf84 @jv_finance More and more countries have announced that they're in an energy crisis. This only led to two things; a global chaos and then followed by forced QE.
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@jv_finance yeah we are in a mid cycle crash akin to covid without QE but with more complicated macro environment.
x.com/carlgustaf84/s…
Carl Gustaf@carlgustaf84
Its probably a moot point, but i'm leaning towards being in a mid-cycle crash in an extended cycle, rather than an end-of-cycle hibernation. The recent strength during the early Iran war and continued bid is not an end-of-cycle dynamic If we get war-related QE, we crash upwards
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@larata_media @akafaceUS Even the sanest man would kill for that irresponsible action toward his daughter.
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@akafaceUS It’s impolite but it’s not worth picking up a battery charge over. Just a drunk guy kissing an infant. it’s not sexual it’s just impolite. Just tell him to stay away from your kid. Don’t put yourself in a situation where you might go to jail over it.
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@Ronym96650835 @SarjanaEksu Ok, thanks. Jadi dimana bisa lihat data realtime harga emas fisik saat ini? Baik global atau nasional?
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@FLJack_ @SarjanaEksu Pengamatan sejak th 2011
Membandingkan harga futures, spot
Vs harga "premium" dari bullion dealer ( markup harga US Mint, Antam, distributor US American Silver Eagle, dsb )
Diperoleh kesimpulan
Spot turun tapi harga fisik tidak turun
( sehingga kita tidak bisa beli murah )
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Izin bertanya:
Kalau dunia mau berakhir kenapa gold dibanting lebih dalam daripada US stock market ataupun indeks saham lainnya di dunia? Bukannya gold itu safe haven? Dan bukannya ketika semua hancur lebur maka mata uang yg sesungguhnya itu adalah gold?
Izin bertanya:
Kalau gold kemarin naik tanda ada crack di financial system, lalu kalau gold turun tajam pertanda tidak ada crack di financial system?
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@Onovoarum @ahchoen @nikitabier @Antunes1 It actually makes sense. Why? Every US action also affects other nations. Can you imagine how powerful a country is that a simple sentence or one action from the President can disrupt other nations economically? Oh, and I'll be glad if US won't send its problems "overseas", too.
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@ahchoen @nikitabier @Antunes1 You're in f*ckin Malaysia and still interested about what's happening in the united states.
Maybe you can talk about 'em but it doesn't make sense to be paid for it.
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Starting Thursday, we'll be updating our revenue sharing incentives to better reward the content we want on X:
We will be giving more weight to impressions from your home region—to encourage content that resonates with people in your country, in neighboring countries and people who speak your language.
While we appreciate everyone's opinion on American politics, we hope this will disincentivize gaming the attention of US or Japanese accounts and instead, drive diverse conversations on the platform.
We invite creators to start building an audience locally. X will be a much richer community when there's relevant posts for people in all parts of the world.
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@cryptondo Justru akan ada lebih banyak konflik kecil di tiap region yg terekskalasi. Dunia butuh superpower, baik itu single atau multipolar.
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@Thekokocrypto Sebagai retail yg lihat btc udah turun 50% ditambah news perang, minyak naik, dll, ya harus bearish yg bearish banget.
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@progresionalis @BigAlphaID Btw, itungannya tiap impression atau gimana ya mas? Tertarik sih. Bikin akun baru trus di cenbluin apa harus punya akun dg follower banyak dulu? Trus teknisnya nanti di DM apa kita yang nawarin?
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@BigAlphaID Kenapa? Ngarep negara ini jadi gawat darurat supaya lo bisa mancing kepanikan buat demo anarkis bikin kekacauan ya?
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@CryptoBullet1 Yeah right? What the fuck are those people saying 60k was the bottom? It's 99.999% of probability that BTC will break 59k in a few months because history says so.
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$60k was NOT the bear market bottom for $BTC, don’t fool yourself.
1. There're still about 6-7 months left in this bear market
2. We haven’t tested the Realised price (we always go below it)
3. We’re $24k above the CVDD price
4. We haven’t even touched the 200-Week MA yet!
So what the fuck are those ‘60k was the bottom’ believers talking about??

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@Alejandro_XBT Dude, the market is already down. Any percentage of prices down from here is basically free money.
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I’m going to say something you probably don’t want to hear:
Whether the war ends tomorrow or drags on longer… the market is going down.
The war isn’t the cause, it’s just an accelerator.
The outcome was already set.
Most people are looking at the headlines.
Very few are looking at the economy.
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@Mardiantapa @Piyusaja2 15.000 per porsi dari pusat sampai ke anak2 sekitar 10.000. 30% operasional tiap hari itu; untuk biaya masak, transport, dan keuntungan mitra serta pegawai.
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@FLJack_ @Piyusaja2 Pendidikan kan tetap jalan, 30% buat modal diawal kali
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@Ronym96650835 @SarjanaEksu Dimana bisa dapat data bahwa "spot turun dan harga fisik tidak turun" tersebut?
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@FLJack_ @SarjanaEksu OTC
Alias jual beli yg dilakukan di luar market
( hanya bank sentral yg punya akses )
Gold spot aja ngikut futures
Namun dealer atau minter juga biasanya nambahi harga ( premium )
Ini artinya walaupun spot turun,
Harga emas dan perak fisik tidak ikutan turun
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@Mardiantapa @Piyusaja2 Ya lihat spending-nya untuk apa. Pembangunan, pendidikan, infrastruktur digital, atau untuk makan yang 30%-nya habis untuk operasional?
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@Piyusaja2 Kok udah bisa nyimpulin prabowo gitu, baru juga beberapa tahun
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@xegisunowoumsyq @IRANinKabul Yep. Ordinary people pay the price. 40 years of embargo while watching your neighboring countries filled with skyscrapers and Bugattis on the street.
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@IRANinKabul Calling diplomacy a “retreat” is exactly the kind of thinking that keeps your people trapped in a cycle of escalation.
Brinkmanship won’t work in your favor.
Spinning this as a victory is delusion and guarantees the next crisis has no off-ramp.
Ordinary Iranians pay the price.
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@Ronym96650835 @SarjanaEksu Terus kalau mau lihat gold spot price yang merepresentasikan harga emas fisik, di mana?
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@SarjanaEksu Its "paper" Gold
Futures
Not the real Gold price
Buktinya?
Nggak ada Central Bank yg dumping Gold di harga rendah
Hanya spekulan / investor yg butuh likuiditas / cash
Yg jual posisi gold futures di Comex / LBMA
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