Matt

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Matt

Matt

@FTPcapital

Investor-Trader- Small Cap Speculator Hunting bags 💰

Brisbane, Queensland Katılım Nisan 2013
602 Takip Edilen769 Takipçiler
Matt
Matt@FTPcapital·
$EQR $EQR.ax #Tungsten
CK Capital@CKCapitalxx

I have been seeing a lot of talk about $EQR.AX and once you dig into it the excitement makes complete sense. It is a tungsten mining company. Two operating mines. Mt Carbine in Far North Queensland and a second asset in Spain. Trading at A$0.30. Market cap A$1.6 billion. Backed by Oaktree Capital. Here is why tungsten is the most important commodity most investors have never thought about. China controls 79% of global tungsten production. In early 2025 they imposed export controls. By early 2026 exports dropped to effectively zero. China is now a net importer of tungsten for the first time ever. The supply backstop that capped the price in every previous cycle is permanently gone. APT price early 2025: $320. APT price today: approaching $3,000. A near 10x move in roughly a year and nobody is talking about it. The Iran war poured fuel on it. Tungsten is the metal inside armor-piercing tank rounds. Every round fired is tungsten that does not come back. Rheinmetall targeting 1.1 million shells by 2027. US Army targeting 100,000 rounds per month. None of it gets recycled. Supply gets permanently consumed. Then there is the January 2027 DoD procurement ban. Chinese and Russian tungsten banned from all US defense contracts from that date. Western production becomes legally mandated. $EQR.AX is one of two meaningful western tungsten producers in the world. 2026 production target: 3,000 to 4,000 tonnes. At current APT prices the revenue math is extraordinary relative to the market cap. Its closest peer ran 840% last year and trades at 8x the valuation of $EQR.AX on similar production numbers. A $0.30 stock. Operating mines. Production ramping. DoD mandate incoming. The tightest commodity market in a generation.

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Matt
Matt@FTPcapital·
$EQR $EQR.ax #Tungsten
Michael Sikand 🦑@michaelsikand

The most asymmetric Iran War trade isn't oil, plastic, or fertilizer. It's Tungsten. And the upside is explosive whether the war ends or not. APT (the key tungsten raw material) was $320 in early 2025. Today it's approaching $3,000. Nearly 10x in 13 months. It's because China imposed export controls on 41 tungsten product codes. Exports dropped to zero. And for the first time ever, China became a net IMPORTER. The country controlling 79% of global production can't supply itself... Meanwhile the US and Israel have burned through unprecedented volumes of munitions across the Middle East, and NATO stockpiles are already depleted from years of supplying Ukraine. The Iran war is exacerbating an already historic supply crunch. Tungsten is in every artillery shell, tank penetrator, missile counterweight, gyroscope, and radiation shield NATO builds. When fired at 1,700 m/s, it doesn't come back. Zero recycling. Gone forever. Rheinmetall is scaling to 1.1M shells/year. Russia burned 4.5M rounds in 2024 alone. Only TWO western producers exist at scale. $ALM trades at $6B MC. $EQR.AX trades at $1B MC. Yet $EQR.AX produced nearly 3x more tungsten last quarter than $ALM. It sits on 11.27M mtu worth $24.8B against a $1B market cap. It's the lowest cost western producer. Two operating mines. First positive cashflow already hit. Me and @KawzInvests just dropped our Tungsten deep dive on Substack. It's the most comprehensive deep dive into the tightest critical mineral market since Lithium in 2021. S/o @BULLOFBRITAIN for being one of the first to call this insane trade. It's a lottery ticket but the odds aren't random.

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Matt
Matt@FTPcapital·
@giginator_ I’ve been in $EQR.ax since early January and have added several times in the last 2 months. Production numbers and grade are looking strong with Mt Carbine coming online.
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Gigi Penna
Gigi Penna@giginator_·
Everyone talking about tungsten...
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IanAndyP
IanAndyP@IanAndyP·
Hard assets baby! :-) Tungsten prices surging sharply on China’s export restrictions and tighter mining quotas. With ~80% of global supply still controlled by China, the squeeze is intensifying as defense spending and semiconductor demand accelerate. Clear structural tailwind for Western / non-Chinese producers like Almonty Industries $ALM and strengthens the broader critical minerals narrative. An increasingly relevant geopolitical and supply-chain hedge that complements the energy exposure many portfolios are building right now. Any tungsten names or projects standing out to you? Or, is the antimony next??? $UAMY
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Matt
Matt@FTPcapital·
$EQR $EQR.ax #tungsten
Ian Zhang@SinaMin_CN

On Monday I predicted #China #Tungsten concentrates to trade at RMB1mil/t and APT at RMB1.5mil/t by end of week. Sad to say I've been a disappointment because I'm wrong. Concentrates smashed that yesterday and started today with 1.05mil/t APT smashed RMB1.5mil/t target today

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Ian Zhang
Ian Zhang@SinaMin_CN·
Just heard in #China that #Tungsten concentrates are up RMB60k/t and trading just below the RMB1mil/t mark and APT is already at RMB1.45mil/t. Bit doubtful on RMB60k/t jump in a day but that has happened in the past.
Ian Zhang@SinaMin_CN

It's so over when my only #Tungsten stock is down 8%, but not down 10% to trigger my buy order. All this while I expect W concentrates to hit RMB1mil/t and APT to RMB1.5mil/t in #China by end of week. Please panic sell to me people. I'm trying to escape the rat race.

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Matt
Matt@FTPcapital·
@Fibonazzo Day traders all over this as well with the strong liquidity. Would be interesting to see latest broker data.
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Fibonazzo
Fibonazzo@Fibonazzo·
Huomenta! $EQR.AX-kaupankäynti oli vaisua, volyymiä 24m. Osakekurssi sulkeutui 32.5c, (-4.41%) 🟥 Kiinan #Tungsten-hinnat nousussa jälleen ja ISOSTI! 🍀 Rotterdam noussut tällä viikolla myös joka päivä 50$. #Fibonazzo
Fibonazzo tweet mediaFibonazzo tweet mediaFibonazzo tweet mediaFibonazzo tweet media
Fibonazzo@Fibonazzo

Erinomaista keskiviikkoaamua kaikille! Eilen nähtiin markkinoilla laajaa laskua lähes kaikilla osa-alueilla. Nähdäkseni Hormuzinsalmen sulkemisen ei pitäisi vaikuttaa volframin hintaan (ainakaan negatiivisesti) eikä EQ Resourcesin toimitusketjuihin. Sotatoimien luulisi vaikuttavan volframiteesiin pelkästään positiivisesti kun ennestään vähäiset varastot kulutetaan kohta uusien ammusten valmistamiseen. Markkinat olivat samaa mieltä ja $EQR.AX on kirjoitushetkellä 35:ssä sentissä (+7.69%)! 🍀 Eilen ihmettelin kun Almonty oli jenkkipörssin avatessa pahimmillaan -18%:n laskussa. Itsekin toki myisin jos sattuisi salkussa olemaan mutta ihan muista, yhtiökohtaisista syistä. En ole ikinä omistanut enkä nykytiedoin aio ostaakaan. Osake palautuikin iltaa kohden noin -6%:iin, markkinat eivät todellakaan toimi aina loogisesti. Asianmetalsilla Kiinan #Tungsten-hinnat jatkavat tasaista puksuttamistaan ylöspäin 🟩 En edelleenkään keksi markkinoilta mitään paremman tuottopotentiaalin omaavaa sijoituskohdetta kuin volframi ja EQ Resources Limited. Toimii myös hedgenä sotatoimia ja levottomuuksia vastaan kun volframi itsessään toimii osittain niiden polttoaineena. Mutta tämä vain minun henkilökohtainen mielipiteeni, ei tule ottaa sijoitussuosituksena ja muistakaa aina tehdä omat kotiläksynne. Seurataan vielä mihin kurssiin suljetaan tänään, vajaa tunti kaupankäyntiä jäljellä. Mukavaa päivänjatkoa kaikille, tästä se lähtee! #Fibonazzo #Osakkeet #Sijoittaminen #Treidaus #Säästäminen

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Pigeon
Pigeon@CheatChart·
Being optimistic resource stocks in general What stock/dip have you bought today? Please reply and share below. I think vanadium run has started so there is $AVL - $RVT - $VR8 - $QEM - what others are there? What goldies etc. is worth a buy here?
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Matt
Matt@FTPcapital·
$EQR $EQR.ax #tungsten
EQ Resources Limited@EQResourcesASX

🚀 JAN BLASTING UPDATE – FIRST ACCESS ACHIEVED January delivered a major milestone at #MtCarbine: first access to the Iolanthe vein package was achieved in the first week of February, following disciplined South Wall stripping, sequencing and sustained drill-and-blast execution. As at 31 Jan 2026: • 3 blasts / 152,009 t blasted • 13,814 m drilled (incl. grade control) • 300,847 t mined (South Wall pushback focus) • Momentum: First Iolanthe access (early Feb); RL335 targeted next for more consistent exposure (Mar 2026) What’s visible: rust-coloured mineralisation flanked by blue host rock marking the Iolanthe corridor, with quartz-hosted veins and wolframite/scheelite (incl. UV fluorescence) captured in the footage. First direct contact with the main vein package at RL345. Footage includes mining manager atop the newly exposed ore a few members of the Mt Carbine team who helped deliver this milestone. 🎯 Powering Progress. Unlocking the Iolanthe. #criticalminerals #tungsten #mining #blasting #ausmining #eqresources

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Ian Zhang
Ian Zhang@SinaMin_CN·
Been away for 2 weeks and #Tungsten hasn't disappoint. As of yesterday, W concentrates are trading at RMB690k/t and APT has reach RMB1mil/t #China has been kind enough to supply the world with Tungsten, but that will change once they tighten the grip. No longer a question of when, but a question of how tight
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Sijottelija
Sijottelija@UnnajaSnoop·
Tungsten's 26' supply crisis is starting to look like Rhodium's in 21'. Rhodium (2017-2021) went from $600/oz to $29,000/oz with 10% supply deficit. Tungsten supply deficit is growing and is already at 30%. APT price has gone from $300/mtu to $1500/mtu in about a year. Both are unsubstitutable metals, Rhodium is a smaller total market and with a niche application. Tungsten is even more unsubstitable and has a wider application area. High prices cure high prices—except when supply can’t respond. Tungsten looks like a multi-year squeeze and is just getting started! @EQResourcesASX $EQR.AX #tungsten
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🅿🅴🆃🅴
🅿🅴🆃🅴@Pete__Panda·
Never seen such a set-up like $EQR.AX #Tungsten 1/n
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Jobson Growthe
Jobson Growthe@ShowerCapAM·
The numbers are just a blur now - they've sort of lost all meaning. Just the move in the last couple of days from $1365 to $1429 has added $23m AUD in EBITDA p.a run rate for $EQR.AX The last quarter was their first cash positive quarter ($1.15m AUD) since listing in 2006; and the uplift in the Wo3 price in the few days is going to generate (hypothetically) 20x more cash? 🤔 Obviously this assumes they can hit the 300k mtu/annum run rate, payabilities don't end up in the toilet and so forth.... fascinating to watch..
Fibonazzo@Fibonazzo

APT 1429 USD/MTU! 🚨🚨🚨 $EQR.AX #Tungsten

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