ValueHunter

@Ren_aramb When would you consider trimming the position in $POET ?

$POET continuation of a long $POET is now +30% on the day. +100% on the week. Crazy how photonics is none stop ripping. The Marvell order was confirmed by the CEO during an interview. The interposer platform. Foxconn, Luxshare, $SIVE, and now $MRVL confirmed. Four independent validation points from companies that do serious due diligence. The dilution story is finally behind them. After the Q4 raise of $225M+ plus the $150M January 2026 financing, cash is now around $430M at a MC of 2.34B. Excited to see them continue their journey. I’m long.

If you’re curious about $AXTI: It’s down 21% on the new potential dilution news. Board wanted to add 50M more shares (up to $2B worth to dilute) for shareholders vote in the 14th. 70m -> 120m shares. I say this about $IREN excessive $6B dilution and it’s the same with AXT price proposal that I hold. I would not “trust in management” to use it wisely and the fact it’s filed is a red flag. That being said: we’ll see what happens on the 14th. If it passes for 50m more share authorized dilution, I personally would not hold. But it fails, I expect a recovery.

The current bottleneck: Transformers/Switchgear. 

Trade Idea: Long Hammond (~2.2B CAD / ~$1.5B USD) at 184 CAD. They dominate the market for: -Transformers (dry, multi year bottleneck ~23% of market), -serve to switchgear (2-3Y bottleneck) -and manufacture liquid too (5Y, larger bottleneck) 
I personally anticipate components price hikes like NAND, as $AMZN, $MSFT and others compete for allocation. 

You might have seen: “Half of US data center builds have been delayed or canceled, growth limited by shortages of power infrastructure”… Then you go further:

“To address shortages… Canada, Mexico… became the biggest suppliers of high-power transformers for AI data centers to AI data centers”

Guess who is in Canada (Guelph).. Mexico (Monterrey 3 and 4)… and the US?

Hammond

Then here’s the reason the articles cite why hyperscaler DB buildouts are falling apart: 
 “Major reason behind these setbacks is the availability of key electrical components — such as transformers, switchgear”.  Institutions are probably looking at Powell, Eaton, and others… but little do they know? Companies like these actually buy Hammond’s transformers to put inside their own switchgear (“strong sales into data centres, switchgear manufacturers")

Their market share over the transformers market is actually pretty large (eg. ~23% dry).  
The most compelling signal:

-> 122% Y/Y 2025 backlog increase. And we can infer this to be 1B+ CAD.  Eg. company achieved 898m CAD in sales in 2025, capacity ceiling. Management said close of Q3 2025 orders were valued at 53% of the entire closing third-quarter backlog. Given that Q4 2025 revenue was 254 million and the backlog is "more than doubled," we can infer a total backlog value exceeding 1 billion CAD. Also: 
“Gross margin compression last year was due to the buildout of their Mexico facility, but both gross margins are expected to increase and the facility expansions are expectied to turn into accelerated revenue Q2 2026)” which is now.

Downside is if raw material costs (copper, electrical steel) spike again, but given this bottleneck, they can price hike. 

Personal FWD P/E estimates would be ~18-21 for 2026, <15 for 2027 from volume ramp. But I think it’s possible to hit single digit fwd P/E if they do price hikes mixed with hyperscaler emergency orders. But that might get a little mixed with the new acquisition. Regardless still looks cheap. 
 Just a TLDR:  
$AMZN, $MSFT, $META, $GOOGL, $ORCL datacenter are being bottlenecked because of a lack of transformers/switchgear.

Seems like markets missed this little player with large market share, despite backlog visibility and increasing revenue from capacity expansion coming online. I personally found it pretty compelling, so I went long. Just sharing my personal thoughts, of course DYOR before making any decisions yourself.

@daniel_koss Mike Alfraud

🚨 Exciting announcement 🚨 Listen up kid analysts, I'm thrilled to share that I've accepted a position as Independent Board Member at $IREN. My responsibilities will include: 1) Referring to $NBIS as "Noobius" on fintech podcasts while holding 750,000 shares of the competitor, but don't worry, I'm still 100% independent and unbiased. 2) Calling 15 billionaires per week and reporting back to retail. 3) Running ultramarathons to stay ahead of the SEC. 4) Mentioning CoreWeave's valuation gap every 4-6 hours to make sure nobody forgets. 5) Deleting my tweets that don't age well hehe DMs open for podcast appearances. Follow me or have fun staying poor. $IREN 🚀 $NBIS 👎 $CRWV 👎 - Daniel Alfred

@Mr_Derivatives 🙋‍♂️

$SPY Anyone going to short today’s pop? To at least play the potential gap fill? Raise your mf’in hands. 🙋🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️

@commonsenseplay Mike alfraud

BREAKING: Mike Alfred is reportedly moments away from JUST GETTING A CALL from a billionaire hedge fund manager/government official/former secret agent/Bitcoin-forging insider with classified knowledge that will soon be released and send Bitcoin to new all-time highs. Source: “Trust me bro.” $BTC #IJUSTGOTACALL

@aleabitoreddit What do u think about memory now after google released that news ?

Well this post aged well on $VCX. Just 1 hour later?

FYI: I went long on $ARM at $139. Genuinely a compelling long at $143B MC as markets shift more from training -> inference. Then $ARM AI CPUs cannibalize the market for inference and $NVDA market share. Especially as LLMs get more lightweight. The projections to $25B/revenue (5x revenue) are already insane to justify risk-reward.

@daremarket 670

the number was 427. nobody got it. let's run it back: $200 double or nothing. guess a number between 1 and 1,000

@daremarket 789

guess a number between 1 and 1,000 $100 to first correct guess

@ShurtzJose48765 @aleabitoreddit Personally not looking at US miners…

@aleabitoreddit @FairValueHunter SLVO and SLV are good ETF’s to flip. SILJ is another silver miner ETF along with KSLV. Straight stocks would be HL, HYMC, DSVSF, APGOF, and USAR for a few good ones. Hope that helps.

Feel like Mag7 selloff from $META at $593 to $MSFT at $373… Has gone a bit too far? At this point, risk/reward feels on hyperscaler spend vs. ROI vs. macro climates, feels compelling. And we should see capital rotations back into the American tech sector soon.

@aleabitoreddit Oh okay, do you have some names you are watching, im guessing you aren’t watching US miners?

@FairValueHunter I’m personally looking at copper after the selloff, not as familiar with silver miners

$SOI $SLOIF 🇫🇷 is the most undervalued monopoly in tech. While everyone bets on the chips, @Soitec_Official owns the material they’re built on. Their Smart Cut tech to make Silicon-on-Insulator (SOI) wafers is in 100% of 5G phones. Now, they’re bringing that same monopoly to: - AI Data Centers (Photonics-SOI) - EVs (SmartSiC) - Edge AI (FD-SOI) Revenue hit €891M in FY25. Still trading at only €1.9B. No photonics premium. No AI trade premium. No monopoly premium. Nothing seems priced in here.

Just to reiterate something that it is super important to be cognizant of. There is absolutely zero precedent for President Trump. There is absolutely zero precedent where one truth social post can come at any time to flip global mkts either way at any moment. There are zero priors for this situation This is very literally completely and totally unprecedented in every way. Manage accordingly

"Mom, how did we get so poor?" "Your father attempted to outperform the S&P 500."