Financelot

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Financelot

Financelot

@Financelot33

Follow me on my investment journey! On the look out for down and out assets at cheap valuations. I call it Uninvestable Investing. Not financial advice!

Katılım Aralık 2023
47 Takip Edilen323 Takipçiler
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Financelot
Financelot@Financelot33·
Portfolio Snapshot Capital Returns 2022: +2.4% 2023: +3.7% 2024: +36% 2025: +18% Total: +46% Top 10 Holdings Ping An: 9.3% Tencent: 9.3% CFA REIT ETF: 7.9% Alibaba: 7.3% ICBC: 5.8% BOC: 5.7% Meituan: 4.8% Midea: 4.0% China Mobile: 3.9% Income Received 2022: $12 2023: $11k 2024: $38k 2025: $73k Total: $121k
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Financelot
Financelot@Financelot33·
@allzyoung It's going to take a while but if this count is right, wave3 target will be 1000hkd if I use the hk counter. Will take years to pan out so patience is needed.
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Payback Period Visuals
Wave 3 extensions make sense when the underlying fundamentals justify re-rating. BABA’s sum-of-the-parts tells you why the move has room: • Cloud Intelligence: $80-100B standalone value at 38% growth • Commerce: $120B+ at conservative multiples • Net cash: $75.5B • Total SOTP: $220-280B vs ~$180B current market cap If $TCEHY is rhyming with BABA’s count, both are benefiting from the same structural tailwind — AI monetization + geopolitical détente. Wave 3 could extend further than most expect.
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Financelot
Financelot@Financelot33·
Rising tide lifts all boats
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Financelot
Financelot@Financelot33·
Starter position in $FUTU. Another low to 120 perhaps. But will be glad to pick up more.
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Financelot
Financelot@Financelot33·
$BABA revised count. Nothing much changed except I grouped all the overlapping waves into a larger wave1. Still bullish and expect wave2 to have completed. Much depends on the upcoming earnings. Let's go $BABA!
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Financelot@Financelot33

Not going to lie. $BABA earnings were horrible. But does it deserve to be down 9%? Its now at the 0.786fib level. Any lower I will have to revisit my count. Same goes for $HSTech, as long as both can hold above 0.786fib, the China tech bottom could be in.

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Financelot
Financelot@Financelot33·
@AndrewTaySG Well my usual practice when it comes to these multi baggers is to sell some (to claim back my capital) and let the rest run. Did it to my pltr and teradyne once they 5x
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Andrew Tay
Andrew Tay@AndrewTaySG·
@Financelot33 Tbf, what are the odds you hold it through a 5x in a few months? Cause I certainly didn't
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Financelot
Financelot@Financelot33·
$TER $UBER up more than 7% yesterday. $U $FTNT up more than 8% pre-market. My software and semi stocks are catching a bid.
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Financelot
Financelot@Financelot33·
@caret311 If it's indeed in a wave3, conservative target is 90k based on 1.618fib projection.
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AlwaysBeLearning
AlwaysBeLearning@caret311·
@Financelot33 Agreed. I've been accumulating a medium position. Now how high does it go? What are you thinking?
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Financelot
Financelot@Financelot33·
$BTC defining moment here. Breakout of parallel channel signals a potential start of wave3. Cautiously bullish... But I have been wrong on $BTC for a few months now...
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Financelot
Financelot@Financelot33·
Initiated a position in $FSLR for my YOLO portfolio. Looks like wave2 has possibly ended.
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