PaybackDiver Visuals

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PaybackDiver Visuals

PaybackDiver Visuals

@Oscargv46

Wall Street gives a price target. give a probability distribution. 10k Monte Carlo runs. Dual-track calibration. SOTP ±2σ. 10yr FCF payback. We buy cash machine

New York, USA Katılım Mart 2026
48 Takip Edilen43 Takipçiler
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
Look at these V-shape recoveries on $AMZN, $AVGO, and $UNH. While the timeline panicked at the lows, our 10,000-iteration models showed a >90% probability of 10-year cash payback. Deep value isn't about being brave; it's about buying quantified certainty. 📊📈
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@jesse_whit_wire 100%. "Priced for perfection" is just the street's way of saying "negative margin of safety." Our 10k simulations literally scream this. Great company, but the actuarial math demands a cushion. We wait.
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Jesse Whitman 🎯
Jesse Whitman 🎯@jesse_whit_wire·
AI-powered drug discovery heating up. $LLY CEO & $NVDA founder spotlight tech's role. Massive volume incoming for $RXRX. Scale in strategically.
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@ot_tyler Respect the transparency. But we are playing entirely different games. Trading algorithms is betting on the casino; our 10-year FCF payback framework is owning the house. $TSLA at 180x proves markets stay irrational. We don't predict algos; we measure gravity.
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TylerOT
TylerOT@ot_tyler·
@Oscargv46 $TSLA trades at 180x earnings. Price moves algorithmically. I'm reading the charts. While fundamentals are important, I don't look at them.
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TylerOT
TylerOT@ot_tyler·
$LLY will have a pullback before moving up again. Target 1023. Reason - 50% FVG between 963 -761 on 12mo mitigated. You can see it in replay mode.
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@amin_business A true 'shareholder mindset' compares everything to the risk-free rate. $LLY’s projected 5-Yr FCF yield (3.68%) lags the 4.39% treasury. ​Incredible moat (49% ROIC), but priced for absolute perfection. Model median value: $749. Rating: Strict Observation. 🔬 (NFA)
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Sage Investments
Sage Investments@amin_business·
I honestly don’t care about the playoffs this year. If we ain’t talking about money we not talking. $spy $qqq $lly
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@khaldah40544231 @StockMKTNewz A true 'shareholder mindset' compares everything to the risk-free rate. $LLY’s projected 5-Yr FCF yield (3.68%) lags the 4.39% treasury. ​Incredible moat (49% ROIC), but priced for absolute perfection. Model median value: $749. Rating: Strict Observation. 🔬 (NFA)
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smart st
smart st@khaldah40544231·
@StockMKTNewz Trust in Eli Lilly is like trusting a Chinese engine… it might run fine for a while, but you’re always wondering when it’s going to start making weird noises $nvo $lly
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Evan
Evan@StockMKTNewz·
Novo Nordisk $NVO said today it plans to launch its new Ozempic weight loss pill in the United States 🇺🇸 starting next week
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@BiotechInvqgt0 A true 'shareholder mindset' compares everything to the risk-free rate. $LLY’s projected 5-Yr FCF yield (3.68%) lags the 4.39% treasury. ​Incredible moat (49% ROIC), but priced for absolute perfection. Model median value: $749. Rating: Strict Observation. 🔬 (NFA)
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@investseekers A true 'shareholder mindset' compares everything to the risk-free rate. $LLY’s projected 5-Yr FCF yield (3.68%) lags the 4.39% treasury. ​Incredible moat (49% ROIC), but priced for absolute perfection. Model median value: $749. Rating: Strict Observation. 🔬 (NFA)
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Investseekers
Investseekers@investseekers·
$NVO and $LLY gain access to a major new Medicare market from July 2026, but long term growth remains uncertain due to reimbursement risk. A 1.5 year pilot could open access to 15M+ patients, but insurer participation is key and currently limited, with major players pushing back on the model. The core issue is economics. Costs are front loaded, while health savings typically appear after 2 to 3 years, creating misalignment for insurers. Lower pricing improves access, but past estimates showed limited net savings, and it remains unclear if the new pricing structure changes that. Without risk sharing or structural changes, insurers may avoid broad adoption, putting the long term opportunity at risk despite strong demand. Link to article (in Danish): borsen.dk/nyheder/virkso… #stocks #Investing
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@pdicarlotrader A true 'shareholder mindset' compares everything to the risk-free rate. $LLY’s projected 5-Yr FCF yield (3.68%) lags the 4.39% treasury. ​Incredible moat (49% ROIC), but priced for absolute perfection. Model median value: $749. Rating: Strict Observation. 🔬 (NFA)
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Peter DiCarlo
Peter DiCarlo@pdicarlotrader·
$LLY Monthly BX Closed Red 🔴 Will remove my position tomorrow for a small -5% loss Losing sucks but moving on quickly is the name of the game Structure is still holding, so we could bounce here but I will NOT be here to see it
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Peter DiCarlo@pdicarlotrader

$LLY is ticking every box on my long checklist. I’ve got a working price target of $1100 over the next 90 days. In this video I walk through the current setup, how I built that target, and exactly how I’m trading this move step by step.

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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@thealphaledger A true 'shareholder mindset' compares everything to the risk-free rate. $LLY’s projected 5-Yr FCF yield (3.68%) lags the 4.39% treasury. ​Incredible moat (49% ROIC), but priced for absolute perfection. Model median value: $749. Rating: Strict Observation. 🔬 (NFA)
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PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@itsTarH Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@tldrmarket Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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tldrMarket
tldrMarket@tldrmarket·
Eli Lilly raised its full-year revenue outlook after U.S. revenue rose 43% on Mounjaro and Zepbound demand. $LLY was down 5.6% in 1 week, 17.5% in 3 months and 20.5% YTD, leaving the stock 8.3% below its 200-day average despite the raised outlook.
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Michael Brush
Michael Brush@mbrushstocks·
Does the world need another GLP-1? Yes! If it works better. I just introduced a company with candidates in my stock letter. Threat to $NOV $LLY. It ranks well in my biotech system we will see how well it does. @pawcio2009 @Varro_Analytics @BiotechObserver @biotech_hunter @matthewmillerai @JohnCendpts @ArmstrongDrew @Rajgillishere @JoeWaters_KW @Navaraaa @CaptainTight @chennak418 @adamfeuerstein @matthewherper @SamFazeli8 @BrianSkorney @bio_clouseau @BioStocks @cngarabedian @YaronWerber @bradloncar @BiotechCH @MartinShkreli $IBB $XBI uponstocks.com
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PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@SizeInvestor Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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Size Investor
Size Investor@SizeInvestor·
The year is 2040. Superintelligence has ushered in an age of consolidation. Elon owns every technology on Earth and in space. $LLY owns every pharma asset. Except one...$ABVX, which has bravely rebuffed every acquisition offer. I am old and tired and broke. The year is 2040.
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@TickerFlow @NewsOnWallSt @whalewisdom Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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Simon
Simon@TickerFlow·
$CRDL few notes from @NewsOnWallSt 1. @whalewisdom shows a big whale has taken a large position 2. Phase 3 enrollments seems very positive 3. Strong phase 2 catalyst ? 👀 Hidden biotech gem worth doing your homework on. Anyone in $jazz $lly $mrna $unh $hum should do DD
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@gpupoorresearch Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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E☀️
E☀️@gpupoorresearch·
$LLY If there is anything that could be bigger than tech, it is life, for tech is just artificial life. There should be one 1 trillion dollar healthcare company already. Lily was and will be the first one.
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@marketwirenews Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@KrispyMalv24221 @eu_flaviiuu_ Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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Malvo
Malvo@KrispyMalv24221·
Got any of these in your portfolio? $ABBV $LLY $BMY 👇 @eu_flaviiuu_ finds huge breakout stocks every day. My portfolio blew up 3x all because of his spot-on market calls.
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@kemalister Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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LazyInvestor
LazyInvestor@kemalister·
I wanted to invest partially to health and my candidate was $LLY but data proves that bullish trend is not smooth ride for it. Eli Lilly and Company already had a huge run thanks to drugs like Mounjaro and Zepbound they produced . But expectations are sky high, stock already priced in near-perfect growth, investors' perception is "not bad, could be much more better" even after strong results. Obesity medication demand is massive , but supply limits and high production costs deaccelerating short-term upside. Competition from Novo Nordisk and money flow into AI/tech stocks are also another factors.
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@miriam_mur69718 @HogHunterBaits Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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Miriam Murray
Miriam Murray@miriam_mur69718·
Last week I bought the stocks he recommended and made a considerable amount of money. @HogHunterBaits 👆 If you're still unsure which stocks to buy, I suggest you listen to his advice. His analysis and recommendations are completely free. $LLY $NKE $HD
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@marvinrivas16 Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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Marvin Rivas
Marvin Rivas@marvinrivas16·
$LLY gains from AI boom by announcing partnerships; its market leadership remains strong.
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PaybackDiver Visuals
PaybackDiver Visuals@Oscargv46·
@ThomasW31663990 Is $LLY overvalued? Our 10k-iteration model says yes. ​At $963, the price sits above 80% of all simulated valuation outcomes. With less than a 20% probability that the current price is "cheap," the math demands patience. Radar zone: $650-$750. 📊 (Ed purposes only, NFA)
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Thomas Williams
Thomas Williams@ThomasW31663990·
$LLY is fueling growth in upside potential subscriptions, with momentum rapidly accelerating.
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