@BorisMPower @PeterDiamandis I don’t know the details but driving in Europe is much more complex than the US. Our roads can’t even manage the Cybertruck (thank goodness).
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Jonathon Martin
1.7K posts
@PeterDiamandis I can’t imagine that it’s still not legal in Europe. Something is fundamentally broken with the EU, you’d expect them to mandate it if safety is such a concern. How does no politician run on this? Legitimately a sad state of affairs 😞
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Tesla's FSD: 5.3 million miles between accidents. US driving average: 660,000.
That's 9x safer. And it's only getting better.
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@dhh I think the discussion around a wealth tax is important. Linking it spuriously to refugees (not immigrants) rather than "every other thing the money could be spent on" does not shine a good light on your motives.
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The proposed Danish wealth tax is (supremely optimistically) estimated to bring in 7 billion DKK. That just happens to be almost exactly what the Danes spend every year to host the 35,000 Syrians who haven't returned to their home country yet. ft.dk/samling/20241/…
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If you work out what’s on my exams and then learn it - You’ve just learned the material, the whole point. Either way, I win!
James@jamescoder12
BREAKING: STUDENTS ARE NOW USING CHATGPT TO REVERSE-ENGINEER THEIR EXAMS. Not cheating. Not guessing. Just ruthless pattern analysis. Copy these 7 prompts to predict your next exam:
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@S_OhEigeartaigh I think it matters that the heads of the AI Labs have good intentions. We might dislike the power they wield and we might think there should be balances, but it's not clear there are.
But yes, we should focus on the other stuff too.
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I continue to dislike this stuff. The focus on individuals and personalities has strong mimetic power, and pulls us away from the fundamental issue that the safe development of AGI shouldn't be dependent on whether Altman, Amodei, Musk et al are personally good people. Good governance should support (and where appropriate, constrain) the safe and globally beneficial development of AI, and should be robust to the characters of the individuals involved.
Also, FYI that Anthropic also had a secret non-disparagement clause that's received comparatively far less attention (since removed, to their credit).
Rutger Bregman@rcbregman
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@ramez I hope you're right but there is at least some chance that the relative similarity in performance of LLMs is due to limitations of the architecture. There is a good possibility there is a better architecture that gives one side a meaningful advantage.
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I think highly of Vinod but am skeptical of this very common AI viewpoint.
First, it's proving difficult for anyone to really break out of the AI pack. AI models are much more similar than they are different. There will be no obvious winner to a "race", just continued progress that rapidly diffuses.
Second, while there are some zero sum competitions between the US and China, most of the relationship is positive sum. Better AI in China that's used for drug discovery or advancing chemistry or designing better products will benefit Americans, and vice versa.
Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai
Vinod Khosla: "We are in a techno-economic war with China, and we shouldn't call it anything other than a war. Whoever wins this AI race will win the economic race and will win the race for socio-economic power and influence globally." ~ Vinod Khosla, Co-founder of Sun Microsystems & Billionaire Silicon Valley venture capitalist. --- From 'Fortune Magazine' YT Channel
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@danprimack I would think the evidence suggests the converse is true. Altman's misstep was likely entirely motivated by hate for the principled man who left.
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Shots fired by someone who usually keeps his public powder dry
(yes, Kushner is big OpenAI investor)
Joshua Kushner@JoshuaKushner
dario’s commitment to hating openai is seemingly stronger than his commitment to the values and principles of anthropic
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@VraserX The evidence suggests otherwise. Revenues exploding. Any bright young thing will go to Anthropic over OpenAI at the moment.
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Amodei is seriously underplaying this.
A clash with the Trump administration hurts Anthropic a lot more than Anthropic hurts Trump. Government hostility, regulatory pressure, procurement blowback, narrative damage, investor nerves. This is not a symmetric fight, and Anthropic is the one with far more to lose.
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@trekedge If anyone trusted the administration to follow the law, and the courts to uphold the law, this debate would be unnecessary.
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thinking that not only will Anthropic not be named a supply chain risk, they’ll be back in use at DoW by end of march. Saber rattling on both sides and the dust will settle on status quo. No upside for either party
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@ramez The pace of AI improvement will need to slow considerably and then plateau if job creation is to stand a chance of keeping pace with job destruction.
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On AI and jobs, I think it's clear that AI will allow companies to shed white collar jobs, maybe a lot of them. Especially junior people.
What we don't know: What and how many new jobs will AI create?
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@calzonewilly @TheZvi Almost everything wrong with America at this point is because people who should know better, including Elon, are trying to "ride the tiger" instead of standing up to him.
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The technical parts about contract details are probably right but Dario was obviously on megatilt here same as everyone else on Friday and the inflammatory stuff here esp about WH is deeply f***ing stupid to say, WH was trying to de-escalate and Dario needs to eat some crow ASAP.
Stephanie Palazzolo@steph_palazzolo
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei told employees on Friday that the OpenAI-Pentagon deal was "safety theater" and the Trump administration didn't like Anthropic because it hadn't "given dictator-style praise to Trump." He expressed skepticism at the safeguards OpenAI touted.
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@anton_d_leicht There are a couple of lines I would change but otherwise it’s great. Authentic and accurate. Bravo.
I don’t think it embarrasses anyone.
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after people across firms and political camps went to great lengths and bore great costs to support anthropic on this, maybe there was just no need to put this to paper in a way that would obviously leak.
narrows the issue, embarrasses supporters, alienates a coalition.
The Information@theinformation
Exclusive: Read Anthropic CEO’s 1,600-word memo attacking OpenAI’s ‘mendacious’ Pentagon announcement. More from @steph_palazzolo 👇 thein.fo/46FWLGg
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@xriskology Kokotaljo is a serious guy. You don't have to smear someone just because you disagree with them.
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Bernie is way out of his depth here, and his team failed to do the most basic background check on these people -- Yudkowsky and Kokotajlo. Deeply disappointing.
Sen. Bernie Sanders@SenSanders
Will AI become smarter than humans? If so, is humanity in danger? I went to Silicon Valley to ask some of the leading AI experts that question. Here’s what they had to say:
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Seems to be rising exponentially. In another two weeks we'll be up to an estimate of 128 weeks.
Dominic Michael Tripi@DMichaelTripi
BREAKING: Secretary of War Pete Hegseth says the US war with Iran could now last up to 8 weeks.
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@jxnlco @stevenheidel He was wrong to say that. No way everyone who joins OpenAI trusts Sam Altman to tell the truth.
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just wanted to say that i think the people at anthropic are really great
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@scaling01 I'm not sure the Twitter morons were ever going to support Anthropic so no harm done there. I don't like calling OpenAI folks "gullible" but at this point, if you still trust what Altman says, you are a bit gullible.
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my dear dario, my mum taught me not to say everything out loud that comes to mind (even if it's true)
people don't like being called morons or gullible
Lisan al Gaib@scaling01
Oh Dario, my based prince tell them
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@Miles_Brundage @justjoshinyou13 It's Sam Altman is bad. If he left (and Brockman), and an Amodei/Hassabis type took their place, no-one would think negatively of OpenAI anymore.
Altman may be a brilliant strategist and deal-maker but his brand has become very toxic indeed.
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@justjoshinyou13 Yeah as I noted elsewhere, the literal raison d'etre of the company is OAI bad...
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I'm not super surprised -- I've said before that Anthropic has too much of their identity wrapped up in "OAI bad" -- but this memo doesn't look great IMO
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