Jakub Tóth

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Jakub Tóth

Jakub Tóth

@Flashjack711

🇨🇿🇸🇰 Magic 2021 and 2022 Rival, 3rd in World Championship 2022, poker player, Zephyr Trade a.s.

Prague Katılım Şubat 2011
135 Takip Edilen637 Takipçiler
Jakub Tóth
Jakub Tóth@Flashjack711·
@JimDavisMTG What a group, and I think my detective skills even found Seth in the picture. Where is this?:)
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Stanislav Cifka
Stanislav Cifka@StanCifka·
I spent 15 years competing professionally in chess, Magic, poker, and Hearthstone. Now I'm building the competitive game I always wanted to exist. @Showdown_TCG Read the full story👇
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Erik Voorhees
Erik Voorhees@ErikVoorhees·
@AutismCapital love the photo of people congratulating themselves for stealing other peoples' money
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Chamath Palihapitiya
Chamath Palihapitiya@chamath·
What happened at Social Capital was several things: 1) Personally, I was going through a divorce. It was a very hard time. 2) My ostensible “cofounders” spent more time jostling for board seats and credit for deals with outsiders vs doing good work and mentoring a team. They made the place a political snake pit - something that I had unfortunately allowed to happen. So I killed the snake. 3) It was increasingly clear that my returns were sporadic but gargantuan and didn’t fit in a classic fund with LPs. I was a home run hitter in a business where raising new funds invariably led you to hitting singles and doubles. In other words, I was making suboptimal portfolio decisions so I would return capital in order to keep raising funds. This was important to stack the compensation of my team who had far less capital than I did. I’m in a much better place now personally and professionally. We invest only my capital and so far, so good. Long live Social Capital.
Evis Drenova@evisdrenova

Most tech podcasts are so fucking boring. The host is either some person who couldn't hack it in a operating role (VC, engineer, founder, etc.) or some VC who is just doing it to get deal flow. No one cares what Bill Gurley thinks about AI, they want to hear about why he fucked over TK at Uber. No one cares what Chamath thinks about politics, they want to hear about what happened at Social Capital and why he closed the fund. No one cares what Keith Rabois has to say about Miami, they want to hear about what happened at OpenDoor. No one cares what Sam Altman thinks about AGI, they want to hear about why he was fired from YC and (initially) OpenAI. But instead we get these boring, sanitized conversations about why SaaS companies are or are not dead. Topics no one gives us a shit about.

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Nan Yu
Nan Yu@thenanyu·
Ngl extremely high hit rate with hires who played magic the gathering at a high level (eg top-8 a PTQ) They tend to have excellent memory and can quickly run through multiple complex scenarios in their head
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Jakub Tóth
Jakub Tóth@Flashjack711·
@OndrejStrasky It is insane, these people must be shitty beyond comprehension. If they do this with camera right in their face it must be their second nature, and the odds are he pulled this move 1000+ times
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Stephen Whelan
Stephen Whelan@swhelan24·
@terribadmtg @PlayMTG I don’t have the video but also in those comments he puts a fon to the top later against the same opponent.
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Jakub Tóth
Jakub Tóth@Flashjack711·
@StanCifka @Showdown_TCG Sounds great, and definitely brings back the feeling of OG online poker where you play against actual humans
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Stanislav Cifka
Stanislav Cifka@StanCifka·
@Showdown_TCG weekly money leaderboard, Flash made $1,274 in 154 games. That's over $8 per game, ~$50 per hour of gameplay.
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Tim Urban
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy·
Adolf Hitler, hard-line nationalist who rebuilt Germany into a European power, dies at 56
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Ondrej Strasky
Ondrej Strasky@OndrejStrasky·
Has anyone ran any numbers on the Limited PT qualifier? What winrate you need to be profitable etc?
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Piotr 'kanister' Głogowski
Piotr 'kanister' Głogowski@kanister_mtg·
I control Firdoch core and play Valley Floodcaller. I cast a spell. Then I animate my Firdoch Core. Is it a 4/4 or a 5/5? Discuss.
Piotr 'kanister' Głogowski tweet mediaPiotr 'kanister' Głogowski tweet media
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Jakub Tóth
Jakub Tóth@Flashjack711·
@CBotelhoMagic @tommartell I disagree, I think the huge all cap word LOWEST does clearly cover the intended meaning without a 5 page lawyer document, even if it is only implicitly. How else can you interpret it? But you are right it is a learning experience, and could be written even more clearly
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Chris Botelho
Chris Botelho@CBotelhoMagic·
@Flashjack711 @tommartell You probably want to phrase the question as being offered a buyout before rolling to make it into the question you’re actually intending to ask. By phrasing it as “selling” you’re implying you can shop around; and we have infinity evidence market price for gambling is above EV.
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Jakub Tóth
Jakub Tóth@Flashjack711·
I posted long explanation with my math on FB (last person on earth writing there), but I will try to go with TLDR. EV of the ticket is 1 mill, but high variance - let's lower variance with lower EV. Your personal utility curve and mix of current/future net worth are important.
Jakub Tóth tweet media
Jakub Tóth@Flashjack711

For Christmas you received "The Golden Ticket". You can use it in a casino and they will let you roll a six-sided die once. If you roll 6, you will receive 6 000 000 dollars. Otherwise nothing. What is the LOWEST price that YOU would be willing to sell your golden ticket for?

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Jakub Tóth
Jakub Tóth@Flashjack711·
@MtgJulian That was Gab's answer as well, you guys really dont like to EV on the table :) I would think I have much higher tolerance for gamble than general population but I know I would be snap selling for 750
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Julian
Julian@MtgJulian·
@Flashjack711 ok, not quite none. and i didn’t either. i’m feeling like 800k would be my line but it seems like the really hard part is assessing future earnings and i don’t have a better solution for that than you
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