Foci2
4.1K posts













I am long Win Semi (3105.TWO) at $4.1B MC. I believe markets are sleeping on of the most important foundries in the world (aside from $TSM). IMO their strategic positioning exceeds far beyond $4B MC. They sit in almost every major chokepoints: -> In the SpaceX Starlink LEO supply chain. -> As $AVGO, $LITE, $MTSI, $SIVE InP foundries for optical transceivers -> then as the body/eyes of humanoids as the GaAs foundry for TOF lasers possibly mapping to Boston Dynamic Atlas -> With legacy from MediaTek / Qualcomm / $AAPL from their previous business. But Win appears to be bottom of the legacy drag (like with $SOI), with optical as one of their largest growth vectors. Then... Win has the largest TAM expansion/revenue acceleration out of almost any foundry: With: LEO, humanoids / CW laser, 800g, 1.6t, 3.2t optical transceiver massive ramp up over the next few years. Especially with Broadcom as their anchor client ( $AVGO owns ~5% of Win). $NVDA doesn't care who makes the lasers, whether it's $LITE or $COHR. They just care if there's enough. There's not enough. -> Demand for CW lasers will likely go parabolic. (they make the lasers that companies like $SIVE designs) -> Demand for LEO satellites (SpaceX Starlink) will likely go parabolic. -> Demand for humanoids will likely go parabolic. As, Win Semi sits as a semi-monopoly chokepoint in the three most frontier and fastest growing industries for photonics/AI, robotics/humanoids, and space. Especially with Optical TAM explosion: Win fwd earnings for 2027 roughly in ~35x range, I do think this is sandbagging it and forward multiples will end up dirt cheap. Win will largely benefit from TAM expansion and accelerated revenue growth. Of course: Win will win. So I am long Win.






@aleabitoreddit Was it you that mentioned Riber SA as well? $Alrib? It’s been flying as well.



KuCoin took responsibility for my $300K liquidation and after a month of “we’ll fix it,” here’s what they finally offered me: To recover the money they caused me to lose, I need to generate: $700,000,000 to $1,000,000,000+ in referral trading volume so I can “earn it back” in commissions. Yes - their solution to a wrongful liquidation is: “Bring us a billion dollars in volume so you can fix our mistake.” Let that sink in. This wasn’t a normal loss. It wasn’t bad trading. It wasn’t a degen gamble gone wrong. It was a liquidation caused by broken infrastructure: KuCoin acknowledged all of this. They took responsibility. They told me they would work with me to resolve it. In the past month, I’ve done everything on my side, days of back and forth messaging and even took 2 IRL meetings with Kucoin. And after all that? Not even the fees I paid are refundable unless I bring them nine to ten figures worth of volume. If this is how an exchange handles a case they admit fault on, imagine how many users get brushed off when the situation isn’t escalated. I’m still waiting for a real resolution.








@aleabitoreddit $SIVE is ripping today too and still have along way to go, do you still support your 2/3B MC for this year ?











$SIVE is the next $LITE at $560m MC. Institutions just got full confirmation today: Sivers is now the light source in hyperscaler supply chains and the direct supplier of $JBL optical transceivers. It’s only a matter of time.







