EscVelCap

You need to learn constantly. New skills, better ways of doing things. There’s no limit to brain plasticity. Every few years you can reinvent your identity, move up, develop more wholesome personality

@Sandeman52 🔥🔥

I’m gonna catch up to Mike Alfred.

@CulperResearch Omg good luck 😂😂

NEW: We are short Nvidia $NVDA. We believe Nvidia has a significant China problem. Please see our full report and disclosures now available on our website, link in bio.

@Sandeman52 I’ve searching for a stock that can deliver those life-changing returns. Came back to active investing six months ago, the hunt is on Have to 3x my port to get to 7 digits. I read your interview on X, inspiring what you achieved through investing. I just want the freedom

MV was the one who brought NBIS to my attention. 🫡🙏👊 Thanks again!

@YodaStockInvest Just exited $HIMS and bought $NBIS I just don’t see HIMS as near term compelling anymore relative to other market opportunities

I gotta be honest: I’m NOT in $NBIS and $IREN for the next decade, but for the next 2-5 years. AI infrastructure won't grow 100%+ for forever (cyclicality), and these won’t be the best plays anymore once its 2030 and the stocks are 500% higher. There’s 2 companies I might trust for more than 5 years: $SOFI and $HIMS

@Sandeman52 Congrats man. You've been a great inspiration for me, and I should have listened on $NBIS 😂😂 instead I've been long $IREN

How does $15 milly sound premarket boys? 🙏🙏🙏

@babyfolio Thanks, my 2021-2025 $TSLA was also dead money. Huge opportunity cost as it was +50% of port

A lot of software stocks enthusiasts on X. Let me tell you about a lesson I learned the hard way(and hopefully you won't have to). This applies to most(if not all) software stocks at the moment. Sometimes, being too early is just being wrong, those who are invested and try so hard to justify how SaaS isn't dead are fighting a wall. You may be right, but you're paying a massive cost, the cost of waiting. The market is at all times high, and I see SaaS investors are down YTD, sometimes even double digit. You guys paid and will continue to pay the massive opportunity cost of being invested in a sector that's simply hated. Yes, some day some of these stocks will return, but how much did it cost you? If you just wait for sentiment to shift, yes, you'll pay 10% premium to the stock price, but you would have gained it somewhere else. That's why you won't find me holding stocks like $NOW, $ZETA, $RDDT and more till sentiment shifts. How do I know all this? I held $TSLA from 2018-2025 I had 4 years of dead money (2021-2025). Yes, maybe $TSLA will reach 10T(7x), but I already 4x my money not being there. Anyway, don't know who needed to hear this, but hopefully it helps someone.

@jiahanjimliu Jim, you have the best analysis on $IREN Thank you for this

$IREN: Most Important Earnings Call Takeaway "Their rights to invest only vest as Nvidia GPU infrastructure is deployed across IREN campuses and only fully vest upon deployment of 600k GPUs." - Dan Rboerts at 6:40-6:55 of Earnings Call: edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/8oxdtymr/ IREN's Biggest H1 2026 Problem IREN's biggest H1 2026 problem is getting GPU deliveries on time due to HBM/Storage shortage - just look at $MU and $SNDK to figure out what the problem is: HBM and storage are a black market right now. GPUs for H1 came in late April and burn in and commissioning is either very backed up or GPUs deliveries is still incomplete for the full 50MW. Good news is that H2-4 will be handed off CY 2026. How is this possible? Well, IREN is effectively paying Nvidia with call options of IREN at $70 strike and payment is tied to delivery of 600k GPUs. Nvidia is essentially putting IREN on the delivery roadmap to get GPU which include on-package HBM and on-board storage. Nvidia will still likely kick it to Dell/Lenovo to finish out the server integration but Nvidia obviously controls all the shipments. IREN Going Forward The most important takeaway today is that Nvidia will now have 3 Neoclouds for GPU delivery prioritization: $CRWV, $NBIS, $IREN in it's attempt to commoditize the hyperscalers. Written in contract by trading IREN options for Nvidia delivery scheduling for 600k GPU deliveries. By being included $IREN will get GPUs on time for it to expand and sign contracts going forward: 480MW by 2026, 1.21 GW by 2027, and 5GW by 2030.

@DeepValueBagger $NVDA is also a customer now

Let me explain this in layman terms for you $IREN. NVDA: You can buy our new shiny equipment (DSX) to accelerate your 5GW if you can have the money😆. (no actual GW equipment guarantee) IREN: Will you please invest in us. NVDA: We can't give you cash like $NBIS but we'll keep some call options to exercise in case you do well.

$PLTR at 90x P/E looks… cheap?

@carbonfinancex This but for $MU when they start buybacks next year

Adobe $ADBE investment thesis summarized:

@value_invest12 Why did their CEO leave?

Hot take: in the not too distant future $WW will go up more in one day than its entire share price today.

@paul_k_0907 Wow hoping I get there one day

8 months after crossing a TFSA milestone of $1M.. I’ve now crossed $2M This probably puts me in the top 200 of all TFSA account holders in Canada

@taobanker I feel the same way

It's impossible not to feel FOMO about people making 100% every week just tailing Serenity picks. The only thing that keeps me away is the fact that every time I try to do that I immediately lose money lmao

@daniel_koss Appreciate this, thank you. I'm holding $IREN $MU and $ORR

Portfolio update & my thoughts on positions and macro: Leverage Reduced from 1.3x to 1.1x Reason: We are moving from extreme fear toward neutral, and likely gradually toward greed. At peak fear, I believed fundamentals had weakened, but not nearly as much as price action implied. The market was emotional, indiscriminate, and massively underpricing high-quality stocks like Nebius. That created a much better setup for elevated gross exposure. I am reducing leverage because that exceptionally attractive opportunity is now mostly gone. Many stocks are already breaking through previous all-time highs, while the conflict is not even fully resolved. For me to use something as aggressive as 1.3x leverage, I need to see a truly exceptional opportunity. Right now, I do not. I still see many high-quality stocks I am happy to own at these prices, see portfolio below. But macro tensions are not over. Trump is very likely to start another conflict, potentially before the last one is fully over. Overall market valuations are also broadly high, which makes a general pullback feel likely to me at any point. And if that happens, my small high-beta stocks will obviously get dragged down with it. So yes, I do not want to be 1.3x levered in that environment. It does not let me sleep well at night. 1.1x levered obviously implies I'm still very bullish! But the overall theme of this portfolio update is I'm now switching to a more robust, lower volatility portfolio (still crazy high compared to "normal" portfolios though!). Positions $MU 35% My now largest position. Strong upside, but with materially lower volatility than Ouster and Nebius. $OUST: 28% At these levels I see Ouster as the highest upside stock in my portfolio. I see many potential catalysts that could send this stock to the moon. New products, big clients, software revenue and margins gradually taking over, big defense wins or contracts, technical breakthroughs and use cases, etc. there's really a lot to be excited about, but there's one problem: this stock is freaking volatile and that's not exactly what I want to increase right now. $PNG / $KRKNF: 27% I see signifiacnt upside and Kraken Robotics is my best diversifier by far! Lower correlation to the rest of the portfolio, which makes it especially valuable in a high-beta portfolio with so much AI exposure. Many catalysts. US listing, Anduril orders, EU, middle east or Asian orders? Many things that can go right, not much I see in terms for risks that scare my. Some execution risk (because demand is so high), but that's not the worst thing I've heard of :) $NBIS: 20% This might be a big surprise to many of you. Only few days ago $NBIS was 75% of my portfolio and it remains my strongest high conviction long-term hold. But after the massive recent run I think the stock is maybe a bit overextended short-term. But that doesn't really bother me, as I'm very bullish long-term. But the potential short-term overextension COMBINED with the fact that Nebius is the 2nd most volatile stock in my portfolio and clearly has the highest correlation with the rest of my portfolio means I'm trimming this position short-term. Don't be surprised if I'm soon back to being 100% in Nebius! If the stock would consolidate for a bit or the rest of my portfolio just keeps running, I'll happily increase $NBIS again. Upside is still very high. $500 Nebius is going to happen, if you like it or not. That's it for today. Much more in-depth than usually. Let me know if you like these types of updates!

@mattshumer_ @farzyness The only ones who isn’t underestimating any of this is @elonmusk We need to go to space

My hottest take is that even OpenAI is dramatically underestimating how much inference compute will be needed in the coming years.

@orrdavid Didn’t they have to get the emperor to surrender before soldiers gave up? Not sure if it was exactly zero hope from the army itself, more like their leader told them it was over

Just think of some of the stories you read about of how Japanese soldiers faught in WW2. They were completely insane back then. And yet... when they realized there was ZERO hope, they gave up.

I always look at what works, vs what does not work. I don't try to understand the why part too much. In war, we got: 1. Germany and Japan - two very different cultures - to surrender and rebuild their societies in a positive way. We did this by using overwhelming, indescriminate firepower killing anything that moved. Both of these cultures seemed like death cults that would never give up at the time. But this worked. 2. Many examples since then of half measures, that made conflicts never end. This does not work, and seems to extend and make worse human suffering. For some insane reason, we made 1 supposed illegal and embrace 2. Perhaps there's something in our human spirits that require 1, and that lawyers aren't going to create a complex set of rules that settle humanity's largest disputes.

@zriboua We had this in Brazil with @opropriolavo but not anymore

Dugin and his circle of podcasters are only proliferating because very rare are the captivating intellectuals able to simplify the depth of complex ideas for the youth. Instead, everything has been politicized. The age of great professors, whose words once sparked a genuine desire to learn about the world, feels over. We’ll be stuck with charlatans for a longtime.

@S___Elliott Complete BS

There’s no way right? Right?

@zriboua You were spot on, impressive

Khamenei's Last Days - My take

$NVDA $MU such obvious trades in this market