Peter K
3.3K posts


Did people really expect $META wouldn't charge a subscription for AI products and use their +3B distribution network?
$SNAP makes $5B in ad revenue and $1B in direct subs revenue (growing 87% YoY). $META can add a few $10B to its bottom line just by providing solid-value subscriptions.
Distribution is the ultimate AI bottleneck and moat, as we have AI models and services available in every app and platform.
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This is also the most important thing geopolitically.
The Strait of Hormuz has always been a ghost or a spectre of ME geopolitics. Everyone assumed it had the potential to wreck the global economy.
Now we know that it does - but also that we can survive 3-5 months without it. And we know how to mitigate it.
In a few years time the ghost of Hormuz will be irrelevant.
Javier Blas@JavierBlas
While we await for the deal, I think we can already highlight a few oil lessons: 1) Although we don’t yet understand how, China can reduce oil imports massively (>5m b/d cut) 2) Saudi/UAE bypass pipelines work 3) OECD nations can release their SPR at flow rates of >2.5m b/d
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Peter K retweetledi

Just learned about the concept of a “telescope ranch” in Texas.
People pay to have their $10,000+ telescope rigs set up in the middle of TX to avoid light pollution.
Every night the roof rolls back off the warehouses.
Then you can remote in to your telescope and use it from anywhere in the world.

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@mitchellh True - BUT the biggest mistakes made in software deployment are still human made - one example CrowdStrike 2024.
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I strongly believe there are entire companies right now under heavy AI psychosis and its impossible to have rational conversations about it with them. I can't name any specific people because they include personal friends I deeply respect, but I worry about how this plays out.
I lived through the great MTBF vs MTTR (mean-time-between-failure vs. mean-time-to-recovery) reckoning of infrastructure during the transition to cloud and cloud automation. All those arguments are rearing their ugly heads again but now its... the whole software development industry (maybe the whole world, really).
It's frightening, because the psychosis folks operate under an almost absolute "MTTR is all you need" mentality: "its fine to ship bugs because the agents will fix them so quickly and at a scale humans can't do!" We learned in infrastructure that MTTR is great but you can't yeet resilient systems entirely.
The main issue is I don't even know how to bring this up to people I know personally, because bringing this topic up leads to immediately dismissals like "no no, it has full test coverage" or "bug reports are going down" or something, which just don't paint the whole picture.
We already learned this lesson once in infrastructure: you can automate yourself into a very resilient catastrophe machine. Systems can appear healthy by local metrics while globally becoming incomprehensible. Bug reports can go down while latent risk explodes. Test coverage can rise while semantic understanding falls. Changes happens so fast that nobody notices the underlying architecture decaying.
I worry.
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@Bank_of_NFTs Yes - but it will take a bit of time for new products to be on the market. So one could also wait. 6% yield is nice way to be compensated to wait though.
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Peter K retweetledi

@larstvede Does it not concern you that it is a cyclical sector ?
It is not clear to me where we are in the cycle.
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@larsloekke du peger på Troles Lund som kongelig undersøger han leverer en borgerlig regering - hvad havde du regnet med ?!?!?
Dansk

So I'm guessing "Sell 100.00%" means the liquidation of Todd's stocks?
Kevin Carpenter@kejca
Berkshire Hathaway Q1 2026 investment activity
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@CFC_Junior_ @garyseconomics Taxing the rich will not make the poor less poor.
You could tax the rich and then handover the money to the poor in the form of checks - but will that last ?
My point is the taxation is only half of the solution the other half is how the money is spend and it matters a lot.
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@garyseconomics You can't tax your way to higher income and productivity
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@MPelletierCIO 1/3 of the population is now on some type of glp1.
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Yet another stock telling you that Main Street is struggling.
Barchart@Barchart
BREAKING 🚨: McDonald's $MCD now trading at its lowest price since 2024 📉📉
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