Pasha R.

427 posts

Pasha R.

Pasha R.

@GQPash

Experience is the greatest source of knowledge. Edge is the greatest source of profit.

Katılım Kasım 2023
121 Takip Edilen108 Takipçiler
Stockwits Acade〽️y
Trump just confirmed every layer of the PetroAI capital cycle in one speech @grok “We produce more oil than Saudi Arabia + Russia combined.” “We don’t need Middle East oil.” “We will hit their electric generating plants.” “Buy oil from the United States.” “Artemis II further than any rocket has ever flown.” Energy. Grid. Compute. Defense. Sovereignty. The President just told you: Power grids are the decisive strategic asset of modern warfare. That’s not a trade. That’s a doctrine. Called it May 2025. Tonight was the policy ignition @APompliano @cvpayne
Stockwits Acade〽️y@mikalche

THREAD🧵 Barron Trump is not the trade. He’s the symbol. Tonight Trump speaks @grok I’m not watching for headlines. In May 2025 I called this the PetroAI capital cycle. Tonight’s speech is the policy ignition. If I’m right, you’ll see exactly where capital flows next @cvpayne @APompliano @zerohedge @chamath @BillAckman

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Wall Street NYC Quant. bitcoin-fund-manager.com
My VIP telegram community closed longs at the very top. My subscribers didn't. My subscribers just added more shorts on the way down. What's the difference? My VIP telegram community operates at 500x to 1,000 x leverage. So we can't even be wrong one half of 1/2 of 1%. My x.com subscribers have a generous 3% to 4% margin of error. So we have the luxury of waiting out opposite moves.
Wall Street NYC Quant. bitcoin-fund-manager.com tweet media
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Pasha R.
Pasha R.@GQPash·
@KobeissiLetter That’s what winding down looks like. Bombing for a couple of weeks and walking away. That’s winding down. What did every think?
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
The next big question tonight: Tons of major news outlets reported the same information ahead of President Trump's address to the nation, sending markets sharply higher. Almost all "insider sources" signaled Trump would be "winding down" the war tonight. What just happened?
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SpotGamma
SpotGamma@spotgamma·
Based on closing SPX positions, it looks like 6,650 is best case upside for tomorrow. Downside open to 6,400. GL
SpotGamma tweet media
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EliteOptionsTrader
EliteOptionsTrader@EliteOptions2·
I didn't want to post this, but here it goes. I almost quit trading in year 3. Not because of the losses. But because of the silence. Sitting alone wondering if I was wasting my life. I didn't quit. First million came that same year. The moment you're closest to giving up is usually the moment you're closest to breaking through.
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Pasha R.
Pasha R.@GQPash·
@spotgamma Thank you for posting these types of explanations
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SpotGamma
SpotGamma@spotgamma·
This is TRACE, the most accurate SPX GEX map you can get. It also updates faster than any GEX map 😏. Remember: +50% of SPX flow is 0DTE and so if you are tracking gamma, you need to see that intraday flow, and you need to know who is on each side of that flow to accurately track this stuff. Now to the map: What you see here on the left is today's exposure, given the JPM 6,475. On the right is what GEX looks like after today's expiration. What should you expect today? The possibility for weird market moves, with no news associated with it. Placing a cheap 1x2 0DTE call which profits if the SPX moves up there may be worth the risk reward - but thats a lotto ticket. Diving in: With the SPX at 6,400 (indicative open), the negative gamma is at -$4bn. Should the market start to rally, that figure goes toward -$20 billion due to the JPM strike expiring today (dark red area). Remember, gamma is highest for ATM options. This "bigger gamma" suggests that a market rally today could create an upside scramble. Conversely, to the downside, there is no support until 6,250, as gamma flips positive at that level. After today's expiration, the SPX gamma is essentially -$4bn across all strikes. Historically, the roll starts with some big 0DTE prints. If you see those fire off (-10k contracts or deep ITM SPX calls), then you know the roll may be on. Also watch for unusual big SPX moves that play into a big print(s). The mechanics, print timing, etc has all morphed over time not only based on what strike(s) are in play, but also likely as the whole world starts watching this thing. My core takeaway from all of this is that these trades may have been suppressing SPX realized volatility, and that may now change with expiration. We'll see. Extra credit: Has the JPM put ever expired in-the-money? According to our records: once. March 2020 (Covid Crash), where the put expired 18% ITM. There were 3 times the long put was tested into expiration: Mar & Sep '22, wherein the SPX closed+45 bps and +16 bps above the JPM strike (expiring it worthless). Lastly in Mar '25, wherein the SPX closed 80bps above the strike.
SpotGamma tweet media
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Yahoo Finance
Yahoo Finance@YahooFinance·
Trump reportedly told aides that he'd be willing to end the war in Iran without fully reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Stocks surge.
Yahoo Finance tweet media
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Did Trump just taco his own taco that taco’ed the previous 10 tacos that were untacoed? I can’t keep up anymore…
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Pasha R.
Pasha R.@GQPash·
@faststocknewss Big mistake. I have E*Trade. They don’t even manage their apps properly. Bunch of glitches that they won’t even address after many complaints over many months.
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FSMN
FSMN@faststocknewss·
BREAKINIG: E*Trade is in lead to handle SpaceX IPO sales for small retail investors, per sources. SpaceX considering cutting Robinhood $HOOD and SoFi $SOFI out of IPO as brokerages negotiate for a piece.
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spacemonkey
spacemonkey@spacemnke·
2026 is 2022 wearing a sheep’s mask.
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Geeks of Finance
Geeks of Finance@GeekStrategy·
@GQPash Net positive GEX clusters can act as magnets- it's unusual to see potential targets relatively far away, implying if we do see upside today, it might be brutal for bears. We'll see!
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Geeks of Finance
Geeks of Finance@GeekStrategy·
Wow, this is unusual- BIG positive GEX clusters on $QQQ 574 $IWM 246 $SPY 640 and 645 All on today's expiration It's bonus time on Wall Street heading into the end of the month and end of the quarter-let the games begin!
Geeks of Finance tweet mediaGeeks of Finance tweet mediaGeeks of Finance tweet media
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Pasha R.
Pasha R.@GQPash·
Iran is probably trading Odte options on U.S. exchanges given that their statements move markets. Iran will make billions when the Supreme TACO arrives as they enter into negotiations and seize fire.
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👁@Oculustrade·
The bottom is in $SPY 629 If not we’re all fucked So the bottom is in
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Pasha R.
Pasha R.@GQPash·
@spacemnke But of course, the market will do its best to make us feel as stupid as possible.
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Ariel Hernandez
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel·
If anyone tells you that in order to be successful in trading you need to make some unknown discovery on your own... This is a lie!! - I learned about volatility contraction and progressive exposure from Mark. @markminervini. - I learned about momentum bursts and Episodic pivots from Pradeep @PradeepBonde - I learned about the importance of creating a model book for myself with 100s of past examples. As well as the idea of focusing on higher ADR stocks from Kristjan @Qullamaggie - I learned about stage analysis from Stan @StanWeinstein13 - I learned how to read and interpret COT data from Jason @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt - I learned the right side of the V concept and proper bet sizing on A+ opportunities from Lance @TheOneLanceB - I learned to think a little more contrarian from watching @TheShortBear - I learned about the flat base breakout and value in leading groups from @PatrickWalker56 - I learned about the HVC/HVE edge from @AmeetRai - I learned about trading more aggressively during high momentum periods from @DanZanger - I learned about the Undercut and rally or Double top short sale setups from Gil Morales @gilmoandco - I learned how to think about creating and implementing systems from @Peoplewish - I learned the failed follow through setup on an intraday timeframe from @InvestorsLive - I learned about the importance of prior day channels from @danshep55 - I learned about support and resistance gaps for entries from @NickDrendel - I learned about using the 50sma as a guide to measure extensions from @jfsrev - I learned about creating a daily trading plan from Marcel Link. - I learned about the CANSLIM methodology from Bill O'neal I'm sure there are many I missed but the point is: Trading knowledge is passed down from one generation to the next. But it is up to us, the trader, to implement what we have learned in a safe manner while we put together all the pieces for ourself. We live in a time where you DO NOT need to make up some magical elixir for trading in order to be successful. All the people mentioned above have found an exploitable edge in the market, and like myself relentlessly execute that edge over and over. I am personally grateful for all of the educators I've had along my journey; which is part of the reason I so willingly share any bit of knowledge I acquire along the way. The same way they all graciously imparted knowledge on me.
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