Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽

308 posts

Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽 banner
Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽

Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽

@GSansonGomez

Co-Convenor @scotyounggreens | New Economy Researcher @climateeurope | Polling Data Analysis | He/Him | Views Own| 🦋 https://t.co/F4bOT2T77s

Edinburgh, Scotland Katılım Kasım 2020
506 Takip Edilen129 Takipçiler
Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽
Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽@GSansonGomez·
@InvernessTop Because the new boundaries include strong Green areas that didn’t have a 2021 constituency candidate, the list comparison is a neater example to make the point. But more granular 2022 locals data, and list shares between constituencies all back up the BBS projection.
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Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽
Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽@GSansonGomez·
@InvernessTop The key reason for the uptick are significant boundary changes which push up the Green baseline. Comparing list shares in the old vs new boundaries makes this point well. Constituency share would start a little lower due to FPTP pressures, but the pattern would still hold.
Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽 tweet mediaGabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽 tweet media
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Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽
Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽@GSansonGomez·
@ramacphee5 It’s mostly due to significant boundary changes that took out loads of more Tory and LD areas, and replaced them with strongly Green areas. Even the 2021 result is somewhat deceiving, as the Green vote share dropped from 13.6% in 2016 due to anti-Tory tactical voting.
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Angus Robertson
Angus Robertson@AngusRobertson·
⚠️ Progressive and younger voters are worried about the rise of Nigel Farage and Reform UK. 🟡 I defeated the Tories in Edinburgh Central in 2021. 🗳️ To lock them and the far right out, vote SNP and Angus Robertson on May 7th.
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Staffie Dugz for Indy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇪🇺
Staffie Dugz for Indy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇪🇺@grazza62·
@GSansonGomez @ammacj Which of course, the system is designed to do. 2011 was a bizarre outcome where a constituency share of 46% (how we’d love that this year) only won 53 seats, but the list vote of 45% garnered 16 seats. I profoundly disagree with Swinney’s gamble, staking a mandate on a fluke.
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A.M.MacJ
A.M.MacJ@ammacj·
Norstat Holyrood Scottish Parliament poll, 30 Mar - 1 Apr. Seat projection from Ballot Box Scotland 👇 SNP ~ 62 Lab ~ 20 RUK ~ 14 Grn ~ 12 LD ~ 10 Con ~ 11 Pro-Indy majority, 74-55
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Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽
Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽@GSansonGomez·
@grazza62 @ammacj Fair enough, I see your reasoning. However Edinburgh EL is the SNP’s weakest region by list vote. BBS has them on 24.3% from a national average of 29.3%. Also, H&I only having 8 constituencies effectively raises the vote share needed for a list seat. Both challenging for SNP.
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Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽 retweetledi
Ipsos Scotland
Ipsos Scotland@IpsosScotland·
31% of current Labour supporters who may change their vote would consider voting for the Liberal Democrats instead. 43% of current SNP supporters who may change their vote would consider voting for the Greens.
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Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽 retweetledi
Scottish Greens
Scottish Greens@scottishgreens·
🚨 NEW POLL! Poll after poll has the Green vote surging ahead of May's Scottish Parliament election. Together we can build a fairer, greener, independent Scotland.
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Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽 retweetledi
YouGov
YouGov@YouGov·
Our latest voting intention (1-2 March 2026) has the Greens on their highest figure ever recorded by YouGov, significantly ahead of Labour, who are on their lowest figure to date Reform UK: 23% (-1 from 22-23 Feb) Greens: 21% (+4) Conservatives: 16% (-2) Labour: 16% (-2) Lib Dems: 14% (=)
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Ross Greer
Ross Greer@Ross_Greer·
🚨 NEW: Yougov poll this morning has the Greens surging into second place and Labour falling to fourth. We have just 65 days until the Scottish Parliament elections. Join our movement and help make history 👇
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Mark Stephens
Mark Stephens@MarkStephens64·
@paulhutcheon It is an accurate representation of the last (2021) result, which places it at high end of probity - compare with the nonsense Labour put out at the Gorton by-election.
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Paul Hutcheon
Paul Hutcheon@paulhutcheon·
Angus Robertson's main opponents in Edinburgh Central are definitely not the Conservatives.
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Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽
Gabriel Sanson Gomez 🌍🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇲🇽@GSansonGomez·
Poll by poll, Greens are proving we’re not a wasted vote. We’re set to beat the Tories, Lib Dems, & Labour. With your help, we can beat Reform too. In key constituencies, we can beat the SNP, secure our fair share of seats, and build a better, fairer Scotland.
Election Maps UK@ElectionMapsUK

My Seat Model: SNP: 55 (-9) RFM: 22 (+22) GRN: 18 (+10) LAB: 14 (-8) LDM: 11 (+7) CON: 9 (-22) Changes w/ 2021.

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Keşfet

@InvernessTop @ramacphee5 @scribblingval @PaulaCoyscot @AngusRobertson @grazza62 @ammacj @elonmusk