GabagoolInspector

@JustinTrudeau Are tweeting from Coachella?

Hungarians voted for change and a renewed commitment to democratic institutions after years of erosion under Viktor Orbán. A powerful and positive signal to democracies around the world that citizens can reclaim institutions and restore respect for rights.

@__Injaneb96 @justchangingun @LauraLoomer

🚨 Iran’s Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf is posting in perfect English, with memes, hashtags & emojis, straight from CALIFORNIA. IranWire just published an article claiming that Ghalibaf's X account is run by ex-advisor Meysam Zamanabadi, living in Glendora, LA for a decade. Meysam is the son of one of the Islamic Republic’s first intelligence censors, the guy who shut down journalists right after the Revolution. Even after moving to America, he was still getting 40 million Tomans (~$11,000) every month from Tehran, wired in foreign cash through a shady Ferdowsi Square exchange. His dad’s old colleague funneled another 30 million from every official check straight to Meysam’s family. This is the same guy who helped pick Ghalibaf’s current top advisor, and who presents himself as “PhD in Media Psychology” from a U.S. university. The slick propaganda style you have been seeing in his posts is not Ghalibaf. It's Iranian regime's ghostwriter in California. The regime’s loudest voice is being run from the country it claims to hate. Source: iranwire.com/en/features/15…

Iran's foreign reserves stand at around $34 billion (per latest Federal Reserve data as of early 2025). At $435 million per day in combined lost export revenue and import disruption, reserves would deplete in about 78 days (34,000 ÷ 435). Sovereign nations don't go bankrupt like companies—they can print rials (fueling hyperinflation), slash spending, smuggle oil via allies, or seek credit from China/Russia. Real collapse (shortages, unrest) would hit much sooner, likely within weeks, as oil/gas make up ~24% of GDP and 80% of export earnings.

@miadmaleki Amazing level of detail. The issue is the jihadists in the IRGC don’t care if they bankrupt Iran. They will martyr themselves and Iran.

2/10 CRUDE OIL: Iran was exporting ~1.5M barrels/day, earning $139M/day at wartime pricing (~$87/barrel), though with minimal proceed repatriation due to banking sanctions. A blockade zeroes this out overnight. Kharg Island, which handles 92% of crude exports, sits deep inside the Gulf with no viable alternative. That's $139M/day, gone.

3/10 PETROCHEMICALS: Iran exported $19.7B in petrochemicals in 9 months of 2024/25, ~$54M/day. Virtually all of it ships through Assaluyeh, Imam Khomeini, and Shahid Rajaee, all inside the blockade zone. No overland route can move these volumes. Another $54M/day, gone.

4/10 NON-OIL EXPORTS: Iran's non-oil trade hit $51.7B in 2025. After subtracting petrochemicals, ~$88M/day in goods (minerals, metals, etc.) flow through Persian Gulf ports. Roughly 90% would be blocked. That's another ~$79M/day in lost revenue.

5/10 PORTS: Over 90% of Iran's seaborne trade transits the Strait of Hormuz. Shahid Rajaee (Bandar Abbas) alone handles 53% of all cargo operations. Imam Khomeini handles 58% of basic goods imports. Bushehr ports moved 57M tons last year. All deep inside the Gulf.

6/10 ALTERNATIVES? Iran's options outside the Strait are negligible. Jask, the much-touted bypass, operates at a fraction of its 1M bbl/day design capacity. Only 10 of 20 storage tanks were built. Effective throughput: ~70K bbl/day. Chabahar handles just 8.5M tons/year. The five Caspian ports combined handle 11M tons, versus 220M+ through the Gulf.

7/10 IMPORTS: Iran imported $58B in goods in 2025, ~$159M/day. A blockade chokes off industrial inputs, machinery, and consumer goods. Food inflation already hit 105% by February 2026. Rice prices are up 7x. This gets dramatically worse under blockade. Blockade will hopefully allow offloading of the humanitarian cargos.

8/10 Extremely important topic is the storage clock: Iran has ~50-55M barrels of total onshore oil storage, roughly 60% full. Spare capacity: ~20M barrels. With 1.5M bbl/day of surplus production that normally exports, storage fills in ~13 DAYS. After that, Iran must shut in wells. Why is this very important: when mature oil wells shut down, bottom water rushes in, a process called water coning. Oil droplets get permanently trapped in rock pores. This oil can never be recovered. Iran's fields already decline 5-8% annually. Forced shut-ins could permanently destroy 300,000-500,000 bbl/day of production capacity, that's $9-15B/year in revenue, gone forever.

9/10 CURRENCY COLLAPSE ACCELERANT: The rial has already cratered from 42,000 to 1.5M per dollar. Banks are limiting withdrawals to $18-30/day. Overall inflation: 47.5%. A blockade eliminating all forex earnings pushes the rial into terminal hyperinflation. The regime issued its largest-ever banknote, 10M rials, worth about $7.

10/10 BOTTOM LINE: A naval blockade imposes ~$435M/day in combined economic damage. Storage fills in 13 days, forcing well shut-ins that cause permanent reservoir damage. The rial enters terminal collapse. Iran's alternatives outside the Strait can replace less than 10% of Gulf throughput. The blockade makes continued resistance economically impossible.

The regime in Iran quoted Trita Parsi and put it on a billboard in Tehran today. Parsi lives on a Green Card in America.

@araghchi Here is a Minute of understanding You can roll and shove up your ass: Surrender mother fuckers before you destroy what's left. Oh wait, you are not Iranian, you are Iraqi.

In intensive talks at highest level in 47 years, Iran engaged with U.S in good faith to end war. But when just inches away from "Islamabad MoU", we encountered maximalism, shifting goalposts, and blockade. Zero lessons earned Good will begets good will. Enmity begets enmity.

Ahmad Vahidi, IRGC chief, on Iranian parliament speaker Ghalibaf: “The supreme leader isn’t even buried yet, and yet Ghalibaf is already shaking hands with those who kiIIed him.” -C14

@mb_ghalibaf The regime that can’t keep its generals alive is worried about American gas prices…

Ahmad Vahidi, head of IRGC, about Ghalibaf's handshake with JD Vance: “We haven't buried our leader yet, and Ghalibaf is already shaking hands with those who killed him.” 🤣 Source: Channel 14's @DBalazada

🚨 Read this slowly. • Wife lives in the U.S. 🇺🇸 • Four kids live & study in the U.S. 🇺🇸 • ~91% of his portfolio in the U.S. 🇺🇸 • Home in the U.S. 🇺🇸 • Brookfield moved HQ to the U.S. 📍 Yet he tells Canadians: 🇨🇦 “We can’t depend on America.” 🇺🇸 Do you see the contradiction? #cdnpoli #Canada #US #Reality