@Mighty__Muffins@ConvChronicles Which doesn’t mean much if they go for a moderate, it would be for wind not tornadoes because these storms are going to cluster so fast.
@ConvChronicles The fact they got a tor cig 2 now is wild. I mean damn.
I think there is a chance now for the mdt but if they do it would probably before a wind upgrade.
The potential for a widespread severe weather outbreak exists tomorrow (Friday, April 17) from the Great Lakes to the Southern Plains. The greatest threat for tornadoes (some strong/intense) looks to be within both the line of storms along the cold front and in any prefrontal supercell development across parts of Wisconsin, Iowa, and Illinois, perhaps also down into eastern Kansas/northwest Missouri. Very large hail and significant damaging winds are likely, as well.
Supercells are also possible from the southern Kansas cold front-dryline intersection southward along the dryline. Very large hail and damaging winds should be the main threat, but a few tornadoes are also possible, especially if more discrete supercells can be maintained into early evening, when the low-level jet will strengthen and before the cold front crashes into them.
I plan on making a forecast video tomorrow morning to cover this event in detail.
@SwannyHypno@MaxVelocityWX It shouldn’t be upgraded because if you look on the NAM model and click on spots in the tornado area for today there’s zero tornado looking hodographs.
@MaxVelocityWX Convection Chronicles doesn’t understand why the SPC upgraded today because he couldn’t find any good hodographs on the models he pinpointed
A dangerous tornado setup is unfolding across the Midwest today!
The highest tornado risk is centered from eastern Iowa into northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin, where a 10% CIG2 risk has been issues because conditions may support strong, potentially long-track tornadoes later this afternoon and evening. We will be covering this LIVE on YT and FB!
@Hendrick9Team Chase Elliott use to be really good at Bristol in the old car. He has truly struggled there in this new car. Heck even Byron is having a horrible day.
@AkshayGadd18727@EricEstepp17 Bowman is killing his career hopefully they replace it with Carson Hocevar he would probably win multiple races and have so many top tens and top five finishes.
@EricEstepp17 Bristol is now by far the worst track NASCAR races at this new car sucks there plus I wish they would just bulldoze the turns and rebuild them the way they were or turn it back to asphalt like it originally was.
@ReedTimmerUSA If it wasn’t for the tornado in Michigan and the tornado in Illinois, Indiana, this would probably have to be the slowest start to tornado season I’ve ever seen.
A MULTI-ROUND SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK with #tornado potential is about to begin!
The greatest tornado threat will be along a warm front from southern Iowa and northern Missouri east to central Illinois. Short-range models show two distinct target areas: (1) near the surface low along the Iowa/Missouri border or (2) east along the warm front in central Illinois, peaking during 6-9 pm.
Stay tuned to severe weather watches and warnings through tonight!
Thank you @PettusWX