Geo News

🇺🇸⚡🇪🇺 🇺🇦Trump threatened to stop sending weapons to Ukraine if Europe does not participate in opening the Strait of Hormuz, - FT

🇺🇸⚡🇮🇷 Trump again threatens to strike Iranian power plants.

🇺🇦⚡🇷🇺 Ukrainian long-range suicide drones have struck the oil refinery in Ufa, nearly 1300 km away from the frontlines.

🇺🇸🇪🇺Trump ordered Europe to “grab and cherish” the Strait of Hormuz as he announced the US was “very close” to ending the war with Iran. He claimed that the “hard part is done” as he urged allies to “take the lead” in reopening the global shipping route.

🇧🇾 “There can be no peacetime. We are preparing for war” , - Belarusian President Lukashenko.

NASA’s fire monitoring map shows two heat spots, indicating fires at the northern KAFCO fuel tanks inside Kuwait International Airport, located at 29°13'48.30"N 47°58'29.23"E, following an Iranian drone attack.

🇺🇸⚡⚡🇬🇧🇪🇺 NATO Ambassador Whitaker: "It is completely obvious that President Trump is reevaluating everything, whether it concerns our commitment to NATO or our support for Ukraine. Everything is on the table."

🇺🇸⚡🇮🇷 The US targeted a missile depot belonging to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in southern Isfahan.

OilX: current OPEC production down ~10.6MM Bbl/d vs. February...bigger drop than peak COVID!!! I lack the necessary eloquence to properly express just how bad this is for the world.

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iranian official Mehdi Tabatabai says an important letter from Iranian President Pezeshkian to the American people will be released in the next few hours.

TRADERS POUR $977 MILLION INTO LEVERED BET THAT OIL WILL PLUNGE Oil traders made a big leveraged bet that prices would fall from war-driven highs — but many are losing badly. Investors poured $977M into the inverse oil ETF (SCO) in March, its biggest monthly inflow ever. The fund aims to profit when oil drops, but instead plunged 41% as crude surged. The bet hinges on a quick end to conflict. While the fund briefly jumped 8% after signals of de-escalation, oil prices remain elevated — rising as high as $119 and still around $102, well above February levels. Ongoing supply disruptions, especially around the Strait of Hormuz, could keep prices high for months. Even a ceasefire may not be enough for short traders to recover. Bottom line: this is a high-risk “war ends soon” trade — and so far, it’s backfiring.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 JD Vance has been communicating with Pakistani intermediaries about the Iran conflict, signaling that Trump is open to a ceasefire if U.S. demands (like reopening the Strait of Hormuz) are met, - Reuters.

🇪🇺🇺🇦 The EU will grant Ukraine €45 billion in 2026 (half the amount of the planned loan). Of this amount, €16.7 billion will be allocated to the Ukrainian budget and €28.3 billion to the military, defense, and arms production.

🇺🇦🇷🇺 650 Shahed UAVs attacked Ukraine for 20 hours in: Lutsk, Ivano-Frankivsk, Zhytomyr, Odesa, Dnipro, Kryvyi Rih, Sumy, Shostka and other cities/towns.

🇮🇷⚡🇯🇴🇺🇸 Reports of a direct impact at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, Jordan.

🇮🇷⚡🇮🇱🚨Sirens in Tel Aviv. Around 10 ballistic missiles were launched by Iran in recent minutes toward central Israel, marking the largest salvo in recent weeks. Some of the missiles are believed to be cluster-type munitions, according to Channel 13.

🇮🇷⚡🇺🇸 The spokesman for the Iranian Foreign Ministry said that US President Donald Trump's statement that Iran had called for a ceasefire was false and baseless, Iranian state television reported Wednesday.

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran says the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed to its enemies. While Trump said earlier that he would “consider” a ceasefire requested by Iran “when the Strait of Hormuz is open, free, and clear,” the IRGC maintains that it will remain closed to Iran’s “enemies.”

🇺🇸⚡⚡🇬🇧🇪🇺 Trump announces he is seriously considering withdrawing the United States from NATO after member states refused to join his war against Iran. “They’re not there for us.” - Telegraph

🇦🇪⚡🇮🇷 The UAE is heading toward joining the US in a military operation to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The UAE is striving to obtain a UN resolution to justify the use of force and may contribute to operations such as mine clearance or securing vital areas. - wsj