Georgi Stefanov

28 posts

Georgi Stefanov

Georgi Stefanov

@GeorgiSteffanof

Katılım Mart 2026
55 Takip Edilen9 Takipçiler
Gaetano
Gaetano@crux_capital_·
My research brought me lots of great companies Some of my top ones were $CEVA $BZAI $OUST $AMBA I think there is lots to like about each and they should all do well over time if edge really takes off But there is one that I have the most faith in cruxcapitalgroup.substack.com/p/i-took-a-new…
Gaetano@crux_capital_

Glad to take a break from earnings! Next week will be huge. But over the weekend I go back into discovery mode. I really want to be positioned more aggressively toward Edge AI What are your favorite plays here?

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Georgi Stefanov
Georgi Stefanov@GeorgiSteffanof·
@pennycheck Mystic i have an issue when i want to sub to your channel. Can you help me out boss?
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TheUndefinedMystic
TheUndefinedMystic@pennycheck·
posted some musings on some earnings coming this week....
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Soheil
Soheil@Solid83m·
@stocktalkweekly Hey, quick question about your Discord , do you share your personal entries and exits live (real-time), or is it more focused on ideas and analysis? Just trying to understand what the service includes before joining. Thanks!
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Stock Talk
Stock Talk@stocktalkweekly·
“If you’ve got 150 IQ, and you’re in my business, go sell 20 or 30 points to someone else, because you don’t need it. You need emotional stability. You need to be able to detach yourself from fear or greed.” - Warren Buffett
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Stock Talk
Stock Talk@stocktalkweekly·
Since I began sharing my portfolio transparently (all positions, weightings, entries & exits) at the beginning of 2024, total return is now: +2,668.09% vs. +51.58% for S&P-500 Nearly 30x … The past few years have changed my life. Put in the work & the market will reward you.
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Stock Talk
Stock Talk@stocktalkweekly·
When I first started my service, it was $20/month. I realized within the first year that demand was insatiable, because thousands of members signed up & hardly anyone ever cancelled. So, prices had to go up. Every year since, I've had to continue to raise prices to moderate the never-ending stream of new members. Our service is uniquely transparent. I share all my positions, weightings, cost-basis, and live entries & exits. I also share my performance along the way. I started sharing my portfolio transparently at the beginning of 2024, and since then we've posted 3 consecutive triple-digit return years (+260%, +505%, and +115% so far this year). All of my picks are swings or investments. No scalps or day-trades. I don't share a new ticker every week, and the portfolio stays tight with anywhere from 10 up to 25 positions at a time. No OTC, no illiquid ADRs, no meme stocks, no 0DTEs. All U.S. listed names with a real thesis. I never, ever pump & dump on our members and I don't shill weak narratives. Our competitors either A) have 200 positions with no sense of conviction or B) share ideas, but don't share their entries/exits/weightings or C) share new ideas every day or week and pump & dump on their members. We do none of the above. People who are tired of "idea" sharing with new charts, stocks, and half-baked thesis shared every week have found that our service provides a much more easily followable structure with clear indications as to what exactly I'm doing. That's why so few people ever leave. If our service is too expensive for you, that's fine! I share plenty of free ideas on Spaces and on my X feed. But, if you want to know what a real trading & investing community looks like, I encourage you to check us out. Cheers 🍻
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Stock Talk
Stock Talk@stocktalkweekly·
Couldn’t be happier for our members. It’s no coincidence that so many of them have doubled their entire portfolios year-to-date.
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Alex Ahdoot
Alex Ahdoot@alex_ahdoot·
@pennycheck $SHMD falling with market or you think something from that prelim report?
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TheUndefinedMystic
TheUndefinedMystic@pennycheck·
why does everyone all of the sudden assume a overbought overheated mkt needs a legitimate reason to sell off ?
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Georgi Stefanov
Georgi Stefanov@GeorgiSteffanof·
@pennycheck Are you considering a stop loss on SMCI having in mind that earnings could drag the price down further?
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TheUndefinedMystic
TheUndefinedMystic@pennycheck·
This account has been doing amazing work reason they've gone from 0 followers to 26K in under 2 months worth considering ....
Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs

My new "f*** it" long from last week is $SMCI TLDR: Fundamentals are still in-tact, so a clean Q3 earnings could result in a positive re-rating. 1. Momentum: - Q2 FY2026 rev = $12.7B (+123% YoY) + massive EPS beat + >$13B Blackwell Ultra backlog (largest in $SMCI history). - FY2026 guide of $40B+ w/ DCBBS & DLC ramps set to drive margin recovery into FY2027. 2. Currently at huge discount: - $SMCI are at just ~0.3x fwd P/S - Due to the March DOJ overhang & $ORCL cancellation. - But fundamentals still look good (e.g. hyperscaler demand) = creates a high conviction entry where governance risk is probably (hopefully lol) already priced in. 3. Q3 earnings catalyst (May 5th): - Earnings will deliver first full Blackwell ramp results, backlog updates, DCBBS margin trajectory + any investigation progress. - Anything above $12.3B floor signals strong Blackwell conversion + no huge order slippage from the $ORCL cancellation. - Raising FY guidance would confirm the $40B+ run-rate is intact. Q3 is between Hopper wind down & Blackwell/Rubin acceleration. That would then prove $SMCI's modular Building Block + DLC moat is still winning share. 4. Sector tailwinds: - $DELL $43B AI backlog, HPE sovereign-AI traction. - $DELL also commented that $SMCI's investigation created openings in compliance-sensitive accounts. Which imo, just solidifies $SMCI if they can fix their sh*t together. - $INTC surge on data center CPU demand proves the AI compute boom is broadening beyond pure GPUs into the rack-scale integration layer where $SMCI sits. - Both $DELL + $INTC points also validate that hyperscaler capex is accelerating. 5. $SMCI's fundamentals still in tact: - $SMCI basically have CPU-agnostic integrations, which lets them capture upside from whichever CPU supplier has better supply or pricing. - When $INTC reported massive data center CPU demand in their earnings, $SMCI was already shipping + collaborating on benchmarks like STAC-M3 (record results with $INTC & $MU). - Also, $AMD's EPYC push (H14 servers with Instinct GPUs) gets accelerated via $SMCI's rack-ready solutions. - $SMCI still delivers 3-6 month advantage over $DELL etc. on Blackwell Ultra + Rubin pre-qualification via their Modular Building Block + DLC leadership. Important where speed is everything for hyperscalers rn. But the risk is another major cancellation (like $ORCL) or any DOJ escalations. Sentiment is already really negative towards $SMCI, so anything even relatively minor during Earnings would be bad. Regardless, $SMCI ultimately remains the fastest integrator in the supply chain. At the exact moment hyperscalers need to deploy faster than ever due to growing capex.

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Georgi Stefanov
Georgi Stefanov@GeorgiSteffanof·
@jawnzilla I wanted it to go below 5.50 to enter but it just go up since and cant find an enter. hoping for broader market pull back to deploy some cash on my highest convictions
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Kevin
Kevin@jawnzilla·
$SHMD inverse H&S building?
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Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com
To me, this is a fresh and comprehensive take by @Etherealize_io on the importance of ethereum and how the $ETH coin will play an increasingly important role as a unit of exchange - the case for $250,000 ETH ‼️🚨
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Etherealize@Etherealize_io

The $250,000 ETH Productive Money Price Target Explained "You just have to look at the monetary premium that currently exists in gold and Bitcoin. If ETH is better money than gold and Bitcoin, it should capture the monetary premium of those two assets. Today gold has a market cap of ~$30 trillion and Bitcoin has a market cap of ~$1.5 trillion. If you divide that by 121 million ETH, you get a price somewhere between $250,000 and $300,000." @mikemcg0 continues: "I view Bitcoin and gold as the rough TAMs for scarce assets without counterparty risk. That's what gold is and that's what Bitcoin is... and I actually think that could end up being low because it doesn't include other TAMs like the broader money supply -- M2 is ~$22 trillion. There's a monetary premium in asset classes like luxury real estate -- you're not buying an apartment in NYC for the cap rate; it's more of a store of value. If the world converged on ETH as its store of value, it might win that monetary premium as well." @VivekVentures adds: "It sounds audacious but Ethereum is audacious. It's a new technology and people need to start thinking in exponentials... Institutional investors are starting to realize too that it's not just a discounted cash flow model -- Ethereum is not a software company. It's going for money. The repricing from an asset that's not well-understood yet to a productive money that's the global reserve asset is not something that's going to stop at a 10x... And that's what the opportunity is. There aren't many assets out there that have an intrinsic value floor with actual fundamental value plus a monetary premium -- and you have the ability to capture the growth of an entire network that's kind of like owning a piece of the Internet early on. That's what ETH is. It's one of the greatest assets I've ever seen." Mike adds: "I know the number can sound crazy on the surface, but one sanity check I like to do is: there's ~60 million millionaires and there's ~121 million ETH. If every millionaire globally tried to buy some ETH, they'd each be able to own ~2. Obviously there are people out there who own a lot more than 2 ETH, so it'd be less than that. So that's another way of thinking about these few-hundred-thousand-dollar price targets. I used to think about Bitcoin the same way. It's just a nice sanity check: If this is the global reserve asset and the world converges on it, and everyone tries to buy it, how much is left to go around?" Read the full report and watch the full @edge_pod interview with @VivekVentures and @mikemcg0 in the links below.

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Georgi Stefanov
Georgi Stefanov@GeorgiSteffanof·
@stocktalkweekly Joining this community 3 months ago was the best investment of my life! Port 60% up since, thank you STW 💥
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Nicolas
Nicolas@Superioresearch·
I don’t usually talk about portfolio positions but thought I’d give context on how I’m positioned by size: 1. $ZETA - Cheap valuation, immense growth. Only moderate concern is SBC, but it’s coming down. 2. $SHMD - Long term hold: Moderate size, will upsize upon more strength in the sector and affirming orders 3. $MU $SNDK $EWY - A mix of the big 3 OEMs. Had good success writing puts and collecting good premiums on these which has been nice 4. $WATT - Still a small position but sector tailwinds and good customer specific tailwinds give it strong potential to push to $30-40 in the next 1-2 years 5. Swing Trades - Every so often I’ll do event driven swings in certain spots, not with huge size. Those in the past have been $OSS, $UMAC, $AMPX, etc. 6. Cash - I’m 30-40% Cash. Mostly for if I’m assigned on CSPs for the memory names but also due to macro concerns. Not financial advice. I may hold positions in the securities mentioned and can change or exit those positions at any time without notice.
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stepnotonpets
stepnotonpets@stepnotonpets·
$WLAC what a monster into close
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Stock Market Nerd
Stock Market Nerd@StockMarketNerd·
Few weeks into $RKLB research. Definitely understand why people like it so much. Cool company. Highly compelling CEO (& sir I guess?).
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Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer@jimcramer·
looks like 11 straight up days for some stocks may be too much
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