The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford

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The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford

The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford

@GoodTroubleShow

The official Twitter account of The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford. Journalism the way it was meant to be. https://t.co/uOrwbOKQPt

Hollywood, CA Katılım Ağustos 2022
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The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford
Check out this excellent new piece calling out Michael Shermer. It takes apart his favorite trick from the excellent @AlchemyAmerican debate: invoking "base rate" to dismiss every UFO case at once. The problem? He's using it backwards. Textbook stuff from the Cargo Cult Intellectual: all the costume of scientific rigor, none of the substance. #UAP" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">liesabove.com/articles/the-b… #UFOs #Disclosure #Shermer @michaelshermer @ProfAviLoeb
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Fernado Longo
Fernado Longo@FernandoFLongo·
TWO STYLES OF SKEPTICISM — PART 2 The attached satire is not an exaggeration. It illustrates two different ways of reaching a preferred conclusion without completing the analysis. Michael Shermer uses categorical certainty: “It never happened,” “that cannot have happened,” and “you’re wrong.” Mick West uses indefinite possibility: “sometimes birds,” “sometimes bugs,” “sometimes coincidences,” or “could be a seagull.” One declares impossibility without reconstructing the complete event; the other offers generic possibilities without demonstrating that any of them explains the specific case. Shermer’s treatment of Avi Loeb’s article is the clearest example. Avi’s own words do not support Shermer’s broader categorical conclusion that the Nimitz encounter “never happened”: “These UAP mysteries call for a rigorous scientific study” and “we need better data than currently available in public UAP reports.” Those are not the words of a physicist declaring that the Nimitz encounter “never happened.” They are the words of a physicist identifying a conflict under a proposed physical model and demanding better evidence to determine what actually occurred. Avi explicitly calls for multisensor observations, radar ranging, spectroscopy and triangulation. Shermer converted a conditional calculation into a total verdict. Avi argues that, under his assumptions about how a visible macroscopic object—or even a proposed spacetime bubble—would interact with the atmosphere, motion at the inferred velocity should produce extreme heating, luminosity and a violent pressure wave. That exposes a conflict between the reported kinematics and the absence of expected signatures. It still does not determine which element of the record is wrong. It does not negate the reported radar observations, invalidate the witnesses, identify the object or prove that Commander David Fravor imagined the encounter. Shermer also collapses distinct portions of the record into a single slogan. Fravor’s official statement attributes the descents from above 80,000 feet to Aegis observations during the preceding weeks. During the closest phase of his visual encounter, Fravor placed his aircraft at approximately 15,000 feet and the object at approximately 12,000 feet, followed by its disappearance and reported radar reacquisition at the CAP point. These are separate evidentiary elements, not one direct measurement made by Fravor. So the public challenge remains simple: quote the exact sentence in Avi Loeb’s article where he says that Fravor was wrong, that the event never happened, that the radar reports were false, or that the Nimitz case has been solved. If that sentence cannot be produced, then the characterization should be corrected. It is professionally embarrassing to cite an article for a conclusion its author did not state. Borrowing a physicist’s authority is already no substitute for technical expertise; removing the limitations and scientific caution from his argument makes the distortion worse—especially when Shermer and Loeb sit on the same UAP advisory council. Mick West follows the opposite rhetorical route. When confronted with Marik’s specific objections involving downward camera tilt, banking geometry and the claimed absence of corresponding rotation during banking—which Marik argues falsifies West’s glare model—West does not directly resolve those points. He retreats into lottery analogies, hypothetical birds, bugs and “inevitable coincidences.” But “sometimes” is not a reconstruction. “Could be” is not an identification. A general truth about probability is not evidence that a particular object was a bird, insect, distant aircraft or optical artifact. And asking which “significant” person has accepted the opposing argument shifts the discussion toward social validation instead of addressing the technical objections. A hypothesis may begin with “possibly.” It cannot end there. This is the contrast shown in the image: Shermer takes an incomplete record and says impossible; West takes an incomplete record and says sometimes. One converts conditional physics into categorical denial. The other converts generic possibilities into implied explanations. Neither method substitutes for case-specific evidence, explicit assumptions, validated geometry, error margins, sensor context and a conclusion proportionate to the available data. So we have two opposite rhetorical strategies serving the same methodological failure: Shermer closes the case with certainty before the evidence is complete; West keeps a prosaic hypothesis alive without demonstrating that it explains the case at issue. One overstates what the available data can exclude. The other understates what must be demonstrated before an explanation can be accepted. Different language, same result: the preferred conclusion is protected from falsification. A calculation can challenge a model. It cannot erase an event record. A possibility can open an investigation. It cannot close one. Skepticism tests hypotheses against evidence. Debunking begins with the label and works backward. Sources and referenced posts: avi-loeb.medium.com/on-mysterious-… x.com/michaelshermer… x.com/MvonRen/status… x.com/MvonRen/status… @GoodTroubleShow @MvonRen @MickSeagull
Fernado Longo tweet media
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The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford
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Fernado Longo@FernandoFLongo

Matt Ford’s (@GoodTroubleShow) post raises the institutional question. The documented record below provides the evidentiary basis for it. This is no longer merely a disagreement on X. The issue is whether someone who substitutes categorical dismissal for case-specific analysis, mischaracterizes the scientific caution of another council member, and then fails to substantiate accusations made against a critic possesses the judgment, transparency, and evidentiary discipline required for a UAP advisory role. Based on the public record, that position is becoming increasingly difficult to defend. A serious council needs rigorous skepticism—not a gatekeeper for predetermined conclusions. Until Michael Shermer answers the documented challenge and clarifies the technical limits of his role, he has shown no credible basis for occupying a seat that implies authority over UAP evidence. He made the accusation (@michaelshermer ). I brought the record. No substantive reply followed. Shermer accused me of “quote mining” and “offense archaeology.” So I answered with the one thing rhetoric fears most: documentation. I quoted his own recorded words: “None of this happened.” “It cannot have happened.” “That is physically impossible.” “Okay, you’re wrong.” I linked his later X post, his own published article, and Avi Loeb’s article. Then I issued a public challenge: identify the context I allegedly omitted, demonstrate how it reverses the meaning of those statements, and quote the exact sentence in which Avi Loeb says that the Nimitz encounter “never happened.” He has not done so. What remains is a documented pattern: possibility for the explanations he prefers, certainty for the conclusions he wants. “Maybe,” “probably,” and “most likely” for prosaic hypotheses; “impossible,” “cannot,” and “wrong” for witnesses, disputed events, and interpretations he rejects. That is not scientific rigor. It is not disciplined skepticism. It is rhetorical asymmetry: speculation for the preferred explanation, categorical certainty for the disfavored one. A person who speaks categorically about a case involving trained pilots, reported radar observations, EO/IR systems, flight dynamics, and physics—then retreats into labels when asked to substantiate his accusation—does not demonstrate the technical restraint or evidentiary discipline expected of a serious UAP advisor. If the method is to borrow a physicist’s authority, overstate what the cited article actually concludes, accuse critics of misquotation, and then provide no documentary support when publicly challenged, that is not meaningful scientific skepticism. It is gatekeeping on behalf of a preferred conclusion. That is not what a serious investigative council needs. A credible UAP advisory process requires intellectual honesty, proportional reasoning, respect for evidentiary limits, and the ability to distinguish between a conditional calculation, an unresolved anomaly, and a total verdict. The documented record here shows the opposite. This image is therefore not an exaggeration. It is a summary: He accused. I documented. I challenged. No evidentiary rebuttal followed. And the institutional conclusion is unavoidable: if this is Shermer’s standard of analysis, public argument, and evidentiary accountability, then he should not occupy a seat on any UAP advisory council. The record is public. The challenge was public. The absence of a documentary answer is public. And all of it speaks in his own voice. See the evidence below. x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/AmericanALCHMY… x.com/michaelshermer… skeptic.com/article/why-ua… avi-loeb.medium.com/on-mysterious-… x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/michaelshermer…

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Merry Misanthrope
Merry Misanthrope@MizzMisanthrope·
This is what happens when you put a self-regarding grifter with an agenda and little to no acquaintance with intellectual honesty at the center of an allegedly objective, scientific inquiry. Get this grifter gone, @ProfAviLoeb. #ufotwitter #UFOx #UFOs #UAPs
The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford@GoodTroubleShow

Shermer is misrepresenting you to your own field, @ProfAviLoeb. You called the Nimitz case an open anomaly that needs rigorous study. He cited your calculation to declare it "never happened." He borrowed your name to reach the opposite of your conclusion, and called it skepticism. This kind of behavior is why people are puzzled as to why Shermer is on the White House UAP science advisory council Advisory Council.

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Eric Weinstein
Eric Weinstein@ericweinstein·
Yeah…nah. Here’s what I think is happening instead. I haven’t wanted to say this, but there is a problem with organized Skepticism even more than conspiracy theories. My claim is that from hard evidence NOT ONE of the following is an extraordinary claim: The CIA not only gathers intelligence but kills people, violates rights, gaslights and evades scrutiny and oversight. The U.S. hides bioweapons programs. The U.S. engages in regime change through charity and aid programs. We in the U.S. medically experiment on our own citizens without consent. We run drugs. The DOJ and FBI are actively and flagrantly obstructing justice. Putin easily kills people outside Russia. We conspire and use academics for sheepskin washing our dirty work. U.S. newspapers actively avoid reporting stories about which the U.S. population is desperate for information. They also carry extremely non neutral biases. We actively conspired to hide open and obvious presidential dementia. And by extension, there are massive conspiracies at every level below that one. At a mind boggling level. There are Special Access programs that are about real and/or fake NHI/UFOs Etc. ———— The last thing we need is skeptics telling us the bar for such conspiracies and/or governmental accountability requires extraordinary evidence. Somehow the skeptics have it totally wrong. After Watergate, Iran-Contra, COVID, Church/Pike committees, etc. these are no longer extraordinary claims to raise. They are ordinary claims. I have no idea whether Lindsay Graham died of natural causes. But I can tell you the difference between a skeptic and a scientist looking at the claim. A skeptic’s first move is to lurch for the budding conspiracy and try to pull the idea of foul play off the table first and then to require a mountain of evidence to consider such a thing. A scientist firmly grabs the skeptic’s hand and forces him to put the hypothesis back on the table and says “Uh, you’re not in charge here. There’s a history…and I’m going to need to see something other than reference to null hypotheses, William of Occam and Carl Sagan…because that’s not how science and investigation works.” Time for extra scientific skepticism to die I think. Covert operations and conspiracies are difficult enough to document as it is. We don’t need skeptics as self appointed referees.
Michael Shermer@michaelshermer

Re conspiracy theories already surfacing that Lindsey Graham was murdered by Russians, here is SuperGrok's latest info on his cause of death. "Aortic dissection due to arteriosclerotic cardiovascular disease" not a poison-tipped dart, plutonium trace, etc. x.com/i/grok/share/f…

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The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford
Shermer is misrepresenting you to your own field, @ProfAviLoeb. You called the Nimitz case an open anomaly that needs rigorous study. He cited your calculation to declare it "never happened." He borrowed your name to reach the opposite of your conclusion, and called it skepticism. This kind of behavior is why people are puzzled as to why Shermer is on the White House UAP science advisory council Advisory Council.
Fernado Longo@FernandoFLongo

@michaelshermer, no. “Quote mining” is not a magic phrase that makes your recorded words disappear, and “offense archaeology” does not describe the use of recent statements made about the exact subject now under discussion. To establish quote mining, you must identify the material context allegedly omitted and demonstrate that it changes—or reverses—the meaning of the quoted words. You have done neither. You have not identified a single omitted sentence that transforms “None of this happened,” “It cannot have happened,” “That is physically impossible,” or “Okay, you’re wrong” into something materially different. Those were your recorded statements in the American Alchemy interview. The satire did not purport to be a courtroom transcript; it condensed those categorical statements into speech bubbles. The relevant question is therefore whether the satire fabricated or reversed your position. It did not. In fact, your literal podcast language was at least as categorical as the condensed wording used in the image. Your later X formulation—“this could not have happened as reported, so either misperceived/measured or new physics needed”—is narrower and more defensible. It acknowledges that some premise involving the report, measurement, interpretation, or physical model may be wrong. But a later, more cautious formulation does not retroactively erase the categorical statements you made in the recorded conversation. You cannot replace your original words with a narrower subsequent paraphrase and then accuse me of inventing the original position. You have repeatedly instructed me to read your article. I did. Your own article acknowledges “unexplained anomalies,” but keeps preferred ordinary explanations alive through language such as “Perhaps,” “Or maybe,” “most likely,” and “probably just a weather balloon.” It praises Mick West’s work as remarkable while acknowledging that whether his assertions are correct is “very debatable.” Yet when you discuss technological alternatives that you reject, your vocabulary becomes “It is simply not possible” and “Impossible.” That is precisely the methodological asymmetry illustrated by the satire: possibility, flexibility, and speculation for the prosaic explanations you favor; categorical impossibility for the alternatives you disfavor. Your article does not refute the criticism. It supplies its footnotes. Nor does your invocation of Avi Loeb rescue the categorical conclusion. Avi argues that, under his assumptions, the reported kinematics conflict with the atmospheric heating, luminosity, and pressure effects that should have been observed. That is a legitimate constraint on the reported model. But Avi then states that these mysteries require rigorous scientific study and that better public data are needed. He calls for multisensor observations, radar ranging, spectroscopy, and triangulation. Avi does not write that Fravor imagined the encounter. He does not write that the reported radar observations were false. He does not identify which measurement, premise, track association, or evidentiary element was wrong. He does not declare the Nimitz case solved. A conditional inconsistency is not a total verdict. A calculation can challenge a model. It cannot erase an event record. I am not putting words into your mouth. I am placing your recorded statements, your later qualification, your published article, and the article you cited side by side. You asked me to read more than a tweet. I did. Your own article supplied the evidence against your accusation. So here is the public challenge, Michael: link the exact statement in which I attributed to you a position you did not express. Identify the precise context I allegedly omitted and demonstrate how it reverses the meaning of your recorded words. Quote the exact sentence in Avi Loeb’s article stating that Fravor was wrong, that the reported radar observations were false, or that the Nimitz case has been solved. Finally, explain why the asymmetrical language in your own article does not illustrate the exact methodology criticized in the satire. If you cannot do that, then “quote mining” is not a rebuttal. It is an unsupported accusation. And “offense archaeology” is not an answer. These were recent, public, directly relevant statements concerning the same case. Your article does not refute the satire. It confirms its central criticism: possibility and uncertainty for the explanations you prefer; categorical certainty for those you reject. I have linked your recorded statements, your later X post, your published article, Avi Loeb’s article, and my own responses. Now provide the links supporting what you attribute to me and the context you claim I concealed. The record is public. Your turn. The evidence does not merely speak for itself—it speaks in your own voice. Sources and record: x.com/AmericanALCHMY… x.com/michaelshermer… skeptic.com/article/why-ua… avi-loeb.medium.com/on-mysterious-… x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/FernandoFLongo… x.com/FernandoFLongo…

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Joe Murgia
Joe Murgia@TheUfoJoe·
Who had an article (written and edited) on Varginha killed at the last minute? WaPo? NYT? I was told the NYT 2020, "Off-World Vehicles" article was GUTTED by someone at the NYT (I believe it was also someone at the Washington bureau) and the original version was supposed to be "substantial." Same person?
UAP Reporting Center@UAPReportingCnt

🚨Why did a major media outlet pull out from filming a major event with James Fox at the last second? 🛑 It feels like a timed trick to ensure no replacement could cover the story. Listen to James expose this shady move & more.. 👇 youtu.be/xWuVZPiIp20?si…

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Dylan Borland
Dylan Borland@TheDylanBorland·
Damnnnn @ericweinstein is on a killer history lesson for people 👏
Eric Weinstein@ericweinstein

Yeah…nah. Here’s what I think is happening instead. I haven’t wanted to say this, but there is a problem with organized Skepticism even more than conspiracy theories. My claim is that from hard evidence NOT ONE of the following is an extraordinary claim: The CIA not only gathers intelligence but kills people, violates rights, gaslights and evades scrutiny and oversight. The U.S. hides bioweapons programs. The U.S. engages in regime change through charity and aid programs. We in the U.S. medically experiment on our own citizens without consent. We run drugs. The DOJ and FBI are actively and flagrantly obstructing justice. Putin easily kills people outside Russia. We conspire and use academics for sheepskin washing our dirty work. U.S. newspapers actively avoid reporting stories about which the U.S. population is desperate for information. They also carry extremely non neutral biases. We actively conspired to hide open and obvious presidential dementia. And by extension, there are massive conspiracies at every level below that one. At a mind boggling level. There are Special Access programs that are about real and/or fake NHI/UFOs Etc. ———— The last thing we need is skeptics telling us the bar for such conspiracies and/or governmental accountability requires extraordinary evidence. Somehow the skeptics have it totally wrong. After Watergate, Iran-Contra, COVID, Church/Pike committees, etc. these are no longer extraordinary claims to raise. They are ordinary claims. I have no idea whether Lindsay Graham died of natural causes. But I can tell you the difference between a skeptic and a scientist looking at the claim. A skeptic’s first move is to lurch for the budding conspiracy and try to pull the idea of foul play off the table first and then to require a mountain of evidence to consider such a thing. A scientist firmly grabs the skeptic’s hand and forces him to put the hypothesis back on the table and says “Uh, you’re not in charge here. There’s a history…and I’m going to need to see something other than reference to null hypotheses, William of Occam and Carl Sagan…because that’s not how science and investigation works.” Time for extra scientific skepticism to die I think. Covert operations and conspiracies are difficult enough to document as it is. We don’t need skeptics as self appointed referees.

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Marik vR
Marik vR@MvonRen·
Skeptic @MickWest claims the objects were “probably flares.” But stitching together the ground-based imagery shows that at least one UAP - which is much hotter than its nighttime surroundings - climbs consistently. That rules out a flare. So, what was that “super hot” object?
Marik vR@MvonRen

@MickWest @SilvaRecord “Probably flares,” @MickWest? Do flares climb? This series spans 1 min 16s, occurred just after the UAP interacted with the helo carrying senior officials, and before the UAP split into two. Stabilized to mountain (yellow circle). Black-hot, at night: No wings or propulsion.

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Marik vR
Marik vR@MvonRen·
A Breakdown of the 2025 ‘Orb’ Incidents (a 🧵): Late last year, an extraordinary series of UAP events caused the U.S. government to take UFOs extremely seriously. Skeptics claim the objects were “probably flares.” That is demonstrably false. But let’s start with the location…
Liberation Times@LiberationTimes

NEW: U.S. Conducted Successful UFO “Luring Operation,” Advocate Claims, as Government Files Detail Orb Encounters liberationtimes.com/home/us-conduc…

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The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford
Eric Weinstein just exposed the founder of Skeptic Magazine @michaelshermer for who he is: a cargo cult intellectual.
GIF
Eric Weinstein@ericweinstein

Yeah…nah. Here’s what I think is happening instead. I haven’t wanted to say this, but there is a problem with organized Skepticism even more than conspiracy theories. My claim is that from hard evidence NOT ONE of the following is an extraordinary claim: The CIA not only gathers intelligence but kills people, violates rights, gaslights and evades scrutiny and oversight. The U.S. hides bioweapons programs. The U.S. engages in regime change through charity and aid programs. We in the U.S. medically experiment on our own citizens without consent. We run drugs. The DOJ and FBI are actively and flagrantly obstructing justice. Putin easily kills people outside Russia. We conspire and use academics for sheepskin washing our dirty work. U.S. newspapers actively avoid reporting stories about which the U.S. population is desperate for information. They also carry extremely non neutral biases. We actively conspired to hide open and obvious presidential dementia. And by extension, there are massive conspiracies at every level below that one. At a mind boggling level. There are Special Access programs that are about real and/or fake NHI/UFOs Etc. ———— The last thing we need is skeptics telling us the bar for such conspiracies and/or governmental accountability requires extraordinary evidence. Somehow the skeptics have it totally wrong. After Watergate, Iran-Contra, COVID, Church/Pike committees, etc. these are no longer extraordinary claims to raise. They are ordinary claims. I have no idea whether Lindsay Graham died of natural causes. But I can tell you the difference between a skeptic and a scientist looking at the claim. A skeptic’s first move is to lurch for the budding conspiracy and try to pull the idea of foul play off the table first and then to require a mountain of evidence to consider such a thing. A scientist firmly grabs the skeptic’s hand and forces him to put the hypothesis back on the table and says “Uh, you’re not in charge here. There’s a history…and I’m going to need to see something other than reference to null hypotheses, William of Occam and Carl Sagan…because that’s not how science and investigation works.” Time for extra scientific skepticism to die I think. Covert operations and conspiracies are difficult enough to document as it is. We don’t need skeptics as self appointed referees.

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The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford
This, quite simply, is required reading. It addresses the talk of amnesty for people tied to the UAP legacy program, the criminal retaliation by the federal government and contractors against American citizens and more.
Matthew@SunOfAbramelin

AMNESTY FOR WHAT? When it comes to Disclosure, the American people are being asked to forgive everything — in exchange for what was theirs all along — for reasons they are not permitted to know. A new essay on UAP disclosure, justice, and reconciliation: sunofabramelin.substack.com/p/on-amnesty

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The Good Trouble Show with Matt Ford
Michael Shermer does everything a thinker does except the thinking. For the natural explanation he prefers, everything is tentative: maybe, possibly, more study needed. For the Nimitz case, tracked by radar, infrared, and trained Navy pilots, it becomes impossible. The better the evidence, the more certain he is that it didn't happen. That is a verdict reached first, wearing skepticism's vocabulary. A cargo cult intellectual, now grading the government's UAP evidence.
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InGruschWeTrust
InGruschWeTrust@InGruschWeTrust·
Have a great week everyone and thanks for the support.😀 🛸👽
InGruschWeTrust tweet media
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