
How did you find out your girl was cheating on you?
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How did you find out your girl was cheating on you?

How did you find out your girl was cheating on you?


The current ADC coalition containing Atiku, PO and RMK (& El Rufai) is strong. But it hasn't reached the APC "coalition" of 2015. Contrary to my tweet of July 2025 that you quoted, I have agreed that PDP as the platform for coalition is infeasible as long as Wike is still there. I also think PDP will become the 3rd Force rather than 2nd Force. ADC will be the main challenger, the 2nd Force. I maintain that Atiku as flagbearer and PO as running mate is their strongest foot. This combo under PDP would have finished APC before 12 noon on election day in 2023 (with a PMB that I still think was not invested in armtwisting processes the Nigerian politicians' way for APC in 2023) but they played into the hands of ruling party by going solo. 2027 will be harder for opposition: 1. The orphan now has cutlass to ask about the death of his dad (Impact rating: High) 2. Some northern politicians will rather wait for South to finish their 8 years (low) 3. PDP as 3rd force can easily be turned into an appendage of APC. Probably is, already (medium) 4. Compared to APC in 2015 or 2023, ADC does not have sitting governor or senior politicians in NASS (medium - LP polled 6m votes without a governor in 2023). 5. PO movement/LP caught traditional politicians (of APC/PDP) offguard in 2023. They underrated them. They may take the "lesson" into 2027. Politicians "evolve". Yet, the current set up of ADC will still cause a problem. 1. Atiku and RMK will pull numbers in the north 2. PO is still a big force in SE, SS and good part of NC and SW 3. The anti APC rhetoric among non partisan people on the street is still there. Verdict: ADC chance = 40% - 45% But 10 months is a long time in politics. PS: The parting note in my tweet you quoted applies here too.





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