GirlWithBalloon
4.7K posts

GirlWithBalloon
@GypsyZuls
Culture consumer. World traveler.
Katılım Mart 2019
186 Takip Edilen132 Takipçiler

@BoxFreeThinker @_14numbers @ZaidJilani What insults?
Reality of the matter remains: in any given cycle, maybe 25% of candidates are actually running for POTUS, another 25% for VP, and the rest for cabinet positions & cable news gigs. The very conversation that incited Harris to run in 2019 was “remember there’s a #2”.
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Then maybe you should actually stick to the facts and not try to interject your own personal feelings about what’s going on into a system that was built long before you and will probably last long after you. But at least you came out with the insults so we figured out who’s losing and knows it. 🤷🏻♂️
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@VeryGewd Ugh. Only takes PA to flip it the other way. 😬 Too close for comfort.
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Objectively, all things considered, and this is lowkey pissing in the wind at this juncture, but I don't think this is an unreasonable baseline for a Harris 2028 GE campaign tbh.

@resistancesean.bsky.social@ResistanceSean
I think if Kamala is the nominee in 2028, she wins GA, MI, NV and WI. I think Dems will likely win PA, AZ and NC (finally) in 2028. UNLESS, there is a huge economic boom next year.
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@VeryGewd I’ve been hesitant to say this prematurely but… for all the talk about how the GOP nominee is gonna be a shoo-in while the Dem primary will be a battle royale - it might just end up the other way around?
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This.
Rubio would preform stronger against whoever the Democrats put up, across the board.
Butttt... let's just say I find it dubious that the Republicans will have the will power to want to break their death pact with MAGA over Vance pussying out.
Brayden@leftistbrayden
I think people overestimate Rubio’s strength in a primary if Vance doesn’t run
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@BoxFreeThinker @_14numbers @ZaidJilani Wow, congrats on completely missing the point there, big brain! 👍
If you think of the 20 or so candidates running every cycle, all are actually running for POTUS, I’ve got a bridge to sell you.
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Negative. Pete, because we can start with the first for the sake of time, has NEVER ran for VP, nor have any of the others. I really don't think you have an understanding of the political workings of American government. NO ONE RUNS FOR VP. They are CHOSEN as a running mate by someone RUNNING for PRESIDENT. They then debate other VP candidate who were themselves chosen by others who are RUNNING for PRESIDENT. You cannot RUN for VP. It's simply not a thing. How do you NOT know this, yet seem to have a huge opinion on it. Seriously, read a little, because anything else you have on the matter should probably wait until your ignorance has been rectified.
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He said focus on "working class, not just abortion" to a woman who fought price gouging, worked on Medicaid expansion, partnered w/ DOL and states to fight wage theft, and chaired the White House Task Force on Worker Organizing to lead wage reform and oppose degree reqs for jobs.

Bernie Sanders@BernieSanders
Being anti-Trump is not good enough. Democrats need a progressive agenda.
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Yeah because forcing someone to resign at the last minute before a major election worked so well last time around. No wonder nobody wants the gig. And ya’ll wonder why no one but Kamala stepped up in 2024.
Sam Stein@samstein
NEW: A list of Ken Martin replacements is circulating among Dems. @Lauren_V_Egan got her hands on it thebulwark.com/p/read-the-lis…
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@BoxFreeThinker @_14numbers @ZaidJilani Last cycle? Anyone from Pete on down. This cycle? Kelly, Whitmer, Beshear, Pritzker, Booker, Moore, Gallego, etc
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USA Polling has me blocked, but yes, when you put it out on the bar chart, certain pictures become clear. Harris is the one of these people with cross generational appeal. Cortez usually skews younger, Newsom consistently skews older. But Harris is the only one with a decent foothold in all of them.

Damini😽@DamixBP
@USA_Polling @naaycoqui Both old and young want Harris 👀 @VeryGewd
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Santa Claus will be in the lead!
Polling USA@USA_Polling
By the time the Iowa caucuses (or whatever replaces them) comes around, Harris and Newsom are almost certainly not going to be around
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@GypsyZuls @_14numbers @ZaidJilani Really? Name one who ran for VP who wasn’t selected by someone running for president. One.
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@mentalext @ZaidJilani What it does is illustrate she punched above her weight. Saved the Dems from an 80s-style wipeout. Turned a surefire 10-point loss into a toss-up. Saved 3 senate seats and 20+ house seats. All in just 107 days.
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@GypsyZuls @ZaidJilani All that does is make her not the worst in a terrible lineup
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@GypsyZuls @_14numbers @ZaidJilani No one runs for VP. They are selected to tag along by someone who runs for president. First time working with American politics I presume?
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@_14numbers @ZaidJilani Did she get a brief bump after that one debate moment? Yes, was she ever the front-runner? No.
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@GypsyZuls @ZaidJilani Im not going to go back and forth on this point. You are simply wrong about her not being one of the front runners.
poll.qu.edu/images/polling…
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@_14numbers @ZaidJilani She was never front-runner in 2019-20.
And surely you know that of the 20 or so people running each cycle only maybe 3-4 are actually running for POTUS. The rest are running for VP, a cabinet position, or a cable news gig.
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@GypsyZuls @ZaidJilani She was definitely a front runner at the beginning. Betting markets had her top 3 for quite some time.
There is no primary election for VP. The winner of the presidential primary selects their VP.
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@mentalext @ZaidJilani She outperformed all incumbents worldwide in the 2024, in a global inflationary, anti-incumbent, rightward wave. States where she did have time to campaign moved left in relation to the country and the world.
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@GypsyZuls @ZaidJilani She lost every single swing state: she lost to TRUMP
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