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@a1fantasy23 Lotto?

NBA Playoffs May 18th Play #1 🏀 Chet Holmgren o8.5 rebounds (-106 FD) 75 ❤️s for a lotto tonight! Good spot to back Chet tonight who has covered in his L2 games vs San Antonio. The big reason for this is that he doesn't guard Victor Wembanyama. Rather, he guards spotups in the corner and is utilized to anchor the Thunder's paint defense by helping on drives. OKC's most efficient defense has come from using JDub/Caruso on Wemby. This allows Chet to be in elite rebounding positioning which is why he's posted 16+ reb chances in 3/4 matchups this season. Isaiah Hartenstein is also not built for this matchup as his presence clogs the paint offensively and allows Wembanyama to help out with little consequence. With his minutes likely cut, Chet's rebounding and playing time upside only grows. Also worth noting that Victor was limited in almost all regular season meetings vs OKC and obviously won't be tonight meaning that Chet's production was negatively impacted even with 12 & 10 boards in the L2 meetings. Overall, just a spot I've loved running for Chet in the playoffs that I'll have to go back to tonight.

@a1fantasy23 😈

Dropping a play and lotto later today, going back to an old wagon

@calebbets3 So Cade 8.5 asts is a good look?

7 THINGS TO EXPECT in the NBA TODAY, GAME 7: 1) We head to Detroit for Game 7 after The Pistons just held Cleveland to their lowest scoring output of the series - just 94 Pts, with 43 in the 2H. In this game, DET gave up just 26 points in the paint, which is 12 points fewer than the 38 PITP/gp they have gave up these playoffs -- which still leads the entire field. "If you don't rebound well, they just get too many opportunities. When you have disparity in those opportunities, it tends to bite you" - Atkinson 2) In Game 6 we saw Harden defended primarily by Daniss Jenkins as Detroit moved Duncan Robinson to the bench. This leaves Detroit being pretty okay with up top isolation sets from Harden, as it allows them to limit his facilitation, stay locked in on Donovan Mitchell, and protect the paint. Harden notched a team high 23 Pts off 8 3PA (62% of his FGA), and logged just 4 assists off of 11 potentials. He has shot just 35% in career Game 7s, and an even-worse 22% from deep. 3) Donovan Mitchell is having a tough time vs his new defensive assignment of Ausar Thompson, and Atkinson noted in postgame that they need to "Get him in the open court more, where they can't get his hands on him. When it's in the half court it's clutch, grab, hold... that was a log jam tonight." The Pistons gave up just 8 fastbreak points, which is their winning stat if they can repeat here. 4) Paul Reed is playing some incredible basketball. His offensive gap over Duren this series is crystal clear while his defensive mobility has added a disruptive element to Pistons' defense. This series he leads the Pistons in Player Impact Estimate at 26.1... where Duren sits at just 9.2. Still, his minutes have been upsettingly low. Bickerstaff noted ahead of Game 6 that he isn't going to give up on Duren, so expect no lineup change -- annoyingly. 5) Early in the series Atkinson made a note that the Cleveland offense needed to be intentional in feeding their big men of Mobley and Allen, who are each averaging over 15 PPG for CLE in the last 5 games of this series. However, Mobley is the only one that I would expect continued success for as a release valve from the new backcourt defense DET is bringing. On that same note, Duren is allowed to stay on Allen and not get caught in actions. In the 2H of Game 6, Allen scored zero points off non-putbacks. 7) Cade Cunningham will seemingly face increased pressure as the game progresses, as Atkinson noted, "[Doubling Cade] is a feel. I wish I could say when he hits 32 points we're going to start trapping. It's a feel... you have to know when to go to it and when not to". Unhelpful. CLE has had success with this strategy throughout the series as well, in Games 3+4 DET only generated 0.6 PPP when Cade-Duren PnR got two on the ball. Expect a 42min floor here for Cade and 8 assists as a floor.

@a1fantasy23 Lotto?

Should have a Game 7 play later today, then back fresh tomorrow with new series. Will mean the return of breakdowns, potentially some spaces/streams 🤝

@ChefsBestBets I already went outs, am I good?

Daily FREE PLAY (Day 18/365) Free Play YTD: 92-30, +58.24u 1u: Zach Wheeler U 2.5 ER -140, DK Under in 3/4, only over finishing on 3, low ER ceiling. Faces PIT who rank middle/low quartile in BB/WRC+/OBP vs RHP L20. .175 career BA vs PIT batters on a massive 120 PA sample. Rarely see 2.5 lines for aces like Wheeler, let alone at <-150, system play here. Sanchez went 9 yesterday, PHI have a fresh pen and no reason for Wheeler to pitch deep here Lets make it B2B2B sweeps

@tyvansb I mean you gotta be insane to put coin on him right now, he’s checked out

The people were right🤣 ❌

Sweet revenge is coming. MLB Prescription Play #2 ⚾️ Shota Imanaga u5.5 Ks (-130 FD) I get my revenge today against a much stingier lineup than last time. Only threat of Ks is his putaway pitch which this lineup has not shown too much trouble dealing with historically. Show love if you want another play ❤️

@ChefsBestBets Sonny under 4.5 K’s -115 seems a bit off no?

Really like Max Fried O 17.5 PO -145, B365, expect this to move a ton overnight

@a1fantasy23 Great breakdown, let’s get this lotto going 😈

CLE/DET Game 4 Breakdown 🏀 It took a couple games, but Cleveland's guards finally showed some fight in Game 3 with both having elite moments that propelled them to a win. With that being said, Detroit's comeback cannot be ignored and I think the 2nd half of that game as well as coachspeak has set up a really interesting Game 4 that's critical to both squads. Let's get into it: 1) Cleveland's role player dilemma. Kenny Atkinson after G3: We just got to feel this one out and find a rotation, find the players, the five guys that are going to help us win. I'm usually pretty strict about staying on point with that and trying to distribute minutes. But tonight was like, you got to go get this one. Got to put your best players on the floor. Even if that was 15 minutes straight, doesn't matter tonight. Last game, Strus: +16, Merrill: +9, Tyson: +7, and somehow Dean Wade was the sole negative on the team at -6. This series simply isn't his as his offensive output does not match what the Cavaliers need and both Tyson/Strus can provide the defense he can on Cade. Ran his u9.5 PRA earlier, don't mind 8.5 either if you have. Don't think he's a lock to get benched after a win, he may start, but I don't think he gets to the 22+ min upside we've seen. Just 17 minutes last game, should hover around that range, and that line is too high if so. Max Strus is also a huge beneficiary, but we'll get into him later. 2) JB Bickerstaff vs Kenny Atkinson postgame. Bickerstaff after G3: "They started to attack switches more, and then their guys went to more of their iso game. So again, we got to do a better job being in position to help one another. Well, we just got to shrink the floor more. We were just a little hugged up to our man too much because of their ability to shoot. We just didn't do a better job of being in tighter, and then when the ball moves, we can fly and close out to our guy." Essentially, he wants to crowd the paint and force CLE to give the ball to their shooters. However, Atkinson when talking about his bigs: "We aren't rewarding those guys enough. I know on film tomorrow we're gonna have five where they got deep seals or we have the pocket. We got to involve them more. I want the open threes, no doubt, like open ones, but there's probably five tonight where you're like, man, get to the rim or throw it to our big guys who got a deep seal." The takeaway: feed the bigs inside the paint and reduce their overall 3PA if possible. This sets up an interesting battle and it's worth noting in the 1H that Mobley/Allen had 21 pts and 21 FGA+FTA, but in the 2H, they had just 10 pts and 11 FGA+FTA. This wasn't just a lack of emphasis though as their 2H 3PA also went from 11 --> 19 from the 1H. DET specifically took away the pocket passes and Donovan himself mentioned that when talking. Detroit wanted to remove the bigs from the game in the P&R and funnels shots to the perimeter which they successfully did and it almost propelled their comeback. 3) Who to back from the coaching ideology feud? Well, I think despite Atkinson's desire to give the ball to his bigs, it may just happen in a moderate fashion. If you believe in his coaching (I do not), Mobley 18.5 PA or PRA is one of the best buy lows in the game, but for me, it's hard to get on board that Cleveland is easily going to get this done. I think the more likely scenario is that DET crowds the paint more and forces kickouts yet again from Cleveland testing their spotup shooters. My favorite of Tyson, Merrill, and Strus would be Max himself and combining that with his minutes uptick, his o7.5 pts/o13.5 PRA is very much in play to me. With that said, Harden o6.5 assists also becomes interesting as I think he'd be the better distributor in comparison to Mitchell and his isolation scoring that DET is aiming to stop killed them down the stretch. He finally found ways to beat defenders off the dribble and get going in ways which he hadn't been able to do prior. Merrill himself would be interesting too, but playing through injury is the sole stopper of me wanting to get down on his props. 4) Donovan Mitchell's rebounding. 6 & 10 rebounds the L2 games and this is not by coincidence. He talked about it postgame: "There's so many examples — like tonight, when JA and Ev — Ev had six, Jay had three [rebounds]. The reason why is because he was trying to keep Duren and Stewart and those guys off the board. So somebody's got to come in and grab the rebound, right? That for me was kind of the biggest adjustment. And then when you get the rebound, now you can push in transition." He is emphasizing crashing the glass and his rebounds last game were a large part of his effort. Guard rebounds are always tricky, but he's guarding off ball and the Cavaliers need to be better on the glass, o4.5 rebounds is just too good of a number at + money. 5) Cade's increase in touches. We discussed this before: in G1 & 2, Cade saw extreme pressure with full court pressing and was essentially denied the ball decreasing his touches. He only averaged 77 through the first two games, but had 100 in G3 including 49 in the frontcourt. The reason for this was less pressure by CLE and instead a more concerted effort to slow him down in the halfcourt. Cade got a lot easier LG with way more time on the shotclock and that increased his usage back to normal with 27 FGA and 10 assists. However, Kenny Atkinson did mention that they need to make it tougher on Cade and I think that'll be done with what they introduced throughout. That would be more hedging on screens, showing backside help, and really forcing Cade to make decisions. 8.5 assists is a GREAT number with the number of touches and passes he's now getting, played that one with confidence. Also think it helps other guys on the team including Ausar Thompson who is being forced the ball in some situations to make plays. He won't initiate the offense as much but he will be deferred to and if 11.5 PA becomes available, that's a line I can get behind. At some point, he will avoid foul trouble and if there's more help on dribble drives by guards, tonight could be that game. Summary: - Dean Wade minutes 📉 , Strus 📈 - Detroit wants to help on drives/force perimeter shots, Atkinson wants their bigs to get more touches - Donovan Mitchell's rebounding uptick should stick - Pistons have found ways to get Cade the ball better, his usage will continue to rise --> 8.5 assists is value Overall, expecting a good game here, really excited for this one. Cleveland still has a lot of work cut out for them in terms of the possession battle and will need to fix it tonight if they wanna pull this one off.

@DoctorProfit @1PropPlug So do you like ant’s asts?

Collab Play for the Spurs vs Wolves game👀 NBA Prescription Play #1🏀 Ayo Dosunmu o1.5 3PM (-102 FD) Labbed w/ @1PropPlug 🔌 100 likes if you want the lotto❤️Write-up⬇️ Spurs are basically doubling Ant the second he puts the ball on the floor and its opening up shooters. With no DDV, Ayo has picked up some of the slack. He started the 2H ahead of Conley who got 0 minutes in the 2nd half last game. He took 8 FGA with 6 of them being from deep and in the corner. he is a 48.4% 3P% shooter in the playoffs and 44% on the season. We should be able to lean on efficient shooting from him.

@a1fantasy23 The fact this looks so doable at these odds. Let’s get it A1 🫡

NBA Playoffs Bora Bora Lotto 💎 Oubre 15. Maxey 8. Jaden 20. ANT 8. The annual longshot, absolutely love this lotto, ❤️ if you’re tailing!

@a1fantasy23 MY GOAT

NBA May 8th Recap 🏀 Kelly Oubre Jr. o11.5 points ✅ Jalen Brunson o25.5 points ✅ Jaden McDaniels o14.5 points ✅ Lotto (+958) 💎 Man LFGGGGGGGGGG 🏄‍♂️ FINALLYYYY 🔥

@sacstim @jaybetz__ what you got to say you bot 🤣🤣

🏦 MLBSZN 72 - 30 ( 71% Hit Rate ) 🔥 6 - 0 MLB RUNNN 👨🏻‍🍳💨 Nolan McLean o17.5 PO ✅ #LGM Connelly Early o15.5 PO ✅ #DirtyWater Shota Imanaga u18.5 PO ✅ #Cubs Paul Skenes o17.5 PO ✅ #LetsGoBucs Sonny Gray u4.5 Ks ✅ #DirtyWater Zack Wheeler o17.5 PO ✅ #RingTheBell

@sacstim The best kept secret 🐐🐐🐐

@a1fantasy23 @Playbook

NBA Playoffs Lotto of the Day 💎 Also ran Jaden o14.5 points straight 🤝 ❤️ if you’re tailing tonight!

@a1fantasy23 Let’s cashhhh

@champ29999 @tyvansb Do you think there’s a possibility Mitch Rob starts tonight?

@HIM109372 @tyvansb i need embiid news to come out before 6 tbh. high on vj if he sits. maxey low production. we get barlow bona mainly against kat. just so much surrounded by his availability

Timberwolves vs Spurs 1. Why I am high on Jaden Mcdaniels(Official bet) 2. Mike Conley(Lean) Quotes by: @tyvansb

@a1fantasy23 are you gonna have a NY/PHI breakdown tonight?

If you cap the WNBA and are looking for an opportunity, shoot me a DM! Couple requirements: - Must have a spreadsheet/evidence of fully tracked results - Use a variety of books when capping/focusing on availability. Always looking to find talent, @ anyone who you think might be interested 🤝

@JG4President I mean, it’s pretty known harden sells in the playoffs time and time again. Backing anything that has to do with him in the slightest is not a smart idea in the playoffs, especially vs one of the best defenses in the league

@HIM109372 Tbf they win this game if Harden is even just a Tyler Kolek level player tonight or Detroit doesn’t shoot 55% from 3

Investigate James Harden