Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن

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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن

Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن

@HTAlhasan

Senior Fellow for Middle East Policy @IISS_org | Foreign policy & economic statecraft | Gulf & S Asia | PhD @KingsIndiaInst | Formerly @BahrainPMO

Bahrain | London | दिल्ली Katılım Nisan 2010
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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن@HTAlhasan·
Ironically, the main countervailing force here would probably be Israel’s determination to stay the course. The double irony, however, is that Israel is intent on destroying the Iranian regime and its capabilities no matter how high the cost to the Gulf states in the process.
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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن@HTAlhasan·
Consider this nightmare scenario: Trump keeps at it for few more weeks/months, fails to dislodge IRN regime and works out a deal instead: a partial restoration of shipping & side payments to IRGC. The global economy adjusts, but the Gulf states stay held to ransom by Iran.
Al Jazeera Breaking News@AJENews

BREAKING: US may ‘unsanction’ Iranian oil to ease pressure from US-Israeli war roiling energy markets 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/fs4nzb?update=…

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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن@HTAlhasan·
Yet, the Gulf states cannot afford to live under constant Iranian blackmail where the IRGC decides who gets to transit the Strait of Hormuz or produce oil and gas. The Gulf states, like the rest of the world, have a vital interest in denying Iran this massive leverage.
Becky Anderson@BeckyCNN

Arab and European nations are scrambling for a path out of the Strait of Hormuz crisis. @HTAlhasan tells me Gulf states “cannot live under constant Iranian blackmail” — as pressure grows to secure one of the world’s most vital shipping lanes.

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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن@HTAlhasan·
I told @BeckyCNN that the US & Israel have shown ‘blatant disregard’ for the Gulf states’ security by starting this war and breaching red lines - the Qeshm desalination plant, Bushehr and South Pars - that generate predictable Iranian blowback against Gulf states’ interests.
Becky Anderson@BeckyCNN

. @HTAlhasan says the U.S. and Israel have shown a "blatant disregard for Gulf security" as they continue to cross Iranian red lines.

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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweetledi
Emile Hokayem (@emile-hokayem.bsky.social)
Emile Hokayem (@emile-hokayem.bsky.social)@emile_hokayem·
So you want to understand risks and options in the Strait of Hormuz? The @IISS_org has brought together - a retired fighter pilot who has designed and conducted air campaigns - a former officer who knows everything about ground operations and weapons systems - a naval specialist who has studied every major maritime deployment - a shipping industry analyst who understands maritime risk - a Gulf specialist who studies Gulf economies and supply chains iiss.org/events/2026/03…
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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweetledi
Lloyd's List
Lloyd's List@LloydsList·
Iran is setting up a 'safe' corridor for the transit of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. At least 9 ships have already used the corridor, routed close to Iran’s Larak Island for visual checks by IRGC Navy and port authorities
Lloyd's List tweet media
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CMEAI
CMEAI@CarlaMariaIssa·
@HTAlhasan Hasan, hope you’re keeping well. I missed this unfortunately. Any material you could share?
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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن@HTAlhasan·
Join us at 13:00 GMT / 16:00 AST today for a discussion on what a military operation to secure the Strait of Hormuz would look like, its risks and implications for the shipping industry.
IISS News@IISS_org

The war in Iran has precipitated the largest shock ever to global oil supplies. This webinar will explore the options and challenges associated with a military effort to secure the flow of maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. 📆 Weds 18 March ⏰ 13:00–14:00 GMT 🌐 Online 💬 Bridget Diakun, Nick Childs (@ChildsNJ), Air Marshal (Retd) Martin 'Sammy' Sampson, Sascha Bruchmann, Dr Hasan Alhasan (@HTAlhasan) Join the discussion: go.iiss.org/4buYL5M

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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن@HTAlhasan·
This is highly significant but not entirely surprising. As I wrote in my latest piece, the Gulf states have a vital economic interest in resuming maritime transit through the Strait of Hormuz, and possess considerable military capacity to help do so.
Al Jazeera Breaking News@AJENews

UPDATE: UAE could join international effort led by US to secure Strait of Hormuz, says adviser Anwar Gargash 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/zt6qcd?update=…

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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن@HTAlhasan·
@arieladmoni Not intent but interest. Intent will differ based on risk appetite, perception of Iran and the US, capability, etc. That said, I'd expect some other Gulf states to follow suit.
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Ariel Admoni
Ariel Admoni@arieladmoni·
@HTAlhasan In all honesty, is it possible to speak of a collective 'Gulf' intent given that each country reacts differently, and this specific report refers only to the UAE?
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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن@HTAlhasan·
For the Gulf states, no choice with respect to Iran is risk-free: do nothing, and Iran has no incentive to stop; retaliate and you run the risk of inviting further Iranian escalation. My latest 👇🏽
IISS News@IISS_org

Impatient with Iran’s attacks, the Gulf states have multiple options if they wish to increase the costs for Tehran, but they would run the risk of escalating the conflict. ➡️ Read the latest analysis by Dr Hasan Alhasan (@HTAlhasan): go.iiss.org/4lxrhIl

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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن retweetledi
Al Jazeera English
Al Jazeera English@AJEnglish·
BREAKING: The US has deployed 10,000 interceptor drones to the Middle East to counter Iranian drone attacks, says US Army Secretary Dan Driscoll. 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/lkgitr
Al Jazeera English tweet media
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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن
Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن@HTAlhasan·
Interesting that China and Russia abstained on, but chose not to veto, a Bahrain-led resolution at the UN Security Council that condemns and demands the 'immediate cessation' of attacks on the GCC & Jordan by Iran. Bahrain's draft apparently made no mention of the US or Israel.
UN News@UN_News_Centre

BREAKING: The UN Security Council has adopted a Bahrain-led resolution on the escalating crisis in the Middle East. RESULT In Favor: 13 Against: 0 Abstain: 2 (China and Russia)

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Keşfet

@BeckyCNN @IISS_org @CarlaMariaIssa @blondearabist @MohammedSudairi @wiley_inc @KimGhattas @arieladmoni