HY2020

@ruima @violazhouyi I think calling it "STEM pool" still understates the scale. It a whole-society drive, coming from the recognition that our century of humiliation was mainly caused by falling behind in industry, science and technology.

Must read new piece from @violazhouyi, informative and entertaining. Some quotes: "In the software era, Chinese engineers played supporting roles. In the AI era, Qing said, they’re taking center stage." "The development of AI systems, it turned out, required the exact combination of mathematical reasoning and the relentless willingness to grind that they had developed in school. Chinese scientists thrived in the field." All those years of intense focus on math, physics, and chemistry, what Chinese parents often call 数理化, are now starting to pay off in a big way with the dominance of AI (which let's face it, is a mostly math & physics adjacent domain). I don’t think the rest of the world fully understands how deep China’s STEM talent pool really is (and also what's coming, because it's only gotten MORE obsessed with these subjects). And in this era IMO, the lesson should not be to move away from STEM, but to double down on it. But let's be honest, the discrimination is still rampant -- and worsening -- against this extremely talented group: "The paranoia around China has created invisible hurdles for Chinese talent, potentially making it harder for them to secure high valuations or take leadership roles. “With a Chinese face, you are only able to show a part of your true power,” she told me. “[But] you have to believe there will be a way out.”" Investors who can identify the talent, fund them, and steer clear of geopolitical landmines (and competitive sabotage) will find themselves with incredible returns.

@AngelicaOung 只付钱，不提货，250亿美元买了个临时的安全感，过几天老共再演习，就又烟消云散了。上一代台湾人含辛茹苦创下的基业，这一代人很快就败个精光。真是天道好轮回，命中没有的，有了也守不住。

PRAYING FOR PROTECTION Listening to what I call « like-minded democracy talk » these days gives me full-body cringe. Like…the ick. All the high-falutin talk of sovereignty, dignity, of the right of the Taiwanese people to decide that I used to dish up myself a few years ago just makes me want to hurl now. And of all the Boba-democracy NGO-speak, the word that triggers me the most is « agency ». As in…Taiwan should have the agency to decide its future. Well, what agency do we have now as Trump makes his way to Beijing to schmooze Xi? It probably won’t happen for a bajillion reasons but everyone’s thinking about it: Would China betray Iran in return for the US delivering Taiwan to it on a silver platter? Iran’s Aragchi was able to fly to Beijing and make his case to the Chinese in person. But what can Taiwan do? Neither side will be open for a meeting with the Taiwanese govt. No…wait! Taiwan has agency! We passed a US$25 billion bill to buy US weapons that has been languishing in the legislature for six months, less than a week before the meet. That’s all the agency we’ve got. Make sure America get its protection money before the big meet. Sorry sir it wasn’t US$40 billion like you wanted but it’s all we’ve got right now. Is this freedom or dignity? Is this true agency? Or is Taiwan trapped in a twilight zone that is shrinking by the day and in denial about it?

@FurkanGozukara Sounds to me like he is threatening China with AI. Maybe Palanthir already has something on the Chinese leadership?

Massive panic in Tel Aviv. Major Garrett confirms China is actively providing highly advanced military support to Iran. Benjamin Netanyahu is visibly terrified, desperately begging Beijing to stop arming Tehran. Zionist regime realizes their regional dominance is collapsing.

@Jueshengshenlan 自干青。有人用这个词吗？我没看到过。

我打赌，这个民进党的青鸟级别一定很低，根本不知道方恩格的真实身份😂 如果他知道，方恩格是: 美国共和党亚太区主席，港独，台独，亚洲地区ngo总负责人，対华舆论战教父。。。 他现在估计紧张的连一口凤梨都吃不下。 但我估计，他恐怕要被穿小鞋了，毕竟，方是数位发展部的幕后大老板😃

@NikkiHaley Get a bomb, sign your name on it, and drop it on women and children in Beijing. That's a Christian thing to do, according to your religion, is it not?

A Christian pastor has been imprisoned in China since October. He committed no crime. He was jailed for worshiping God. Trump is right to raise his case with Xi. The contrast couldn't be starker: one nation guarantees the freedom to worship, the other jails you for it.

@shen_shiwei The Japanese thinking is like: OK I have to do this today, but just wait for the day when we regain our top position...we won't forget.

Just curious. 😅 Why did Japanese PM office pick this photo to describe PM Takaichi's visit to Australia and #Japan-#Australia ties?

@D162Michele These women grew up marinated in the decadent American culture of the last few decades. It's a good thing they only want to date white men. Asian men better seek mates with traditional family values back in home countries. I am an Asian father and that's my main wish for my son.

Why do these Asian women have a fetish for white men? Do Asian men have a fetish for white women?

@AngelicaOung This is a good book to read to gain (or reinforce) a long term perspective on these matters.

To tell the truth I the the ppl having a cow about birth rates now are over worrying as much as the ppl who worried about the birth rate being too high. It’s fine. Automate. Hold the line against excessive immigration. With AI and robotics you lot of labor supply destruction is probably also baked into the cake. Having less mouths to feed might ultimately end up being a blessing. We don’t know.

@DanCollins2011 Some Americans still remember Pearl Harbor, but most don't know Corregidor and Bataan Death March. Why are these events hidden from our consciousness? Chinese use their sufferings as national glue and driver, we'd rather forget anything that would cause us any discomfort.

Peak Japan Empire WW2. Interesting “what if” of history. Japan invaded China in 1931. The U.S told the Japanese to not invade Indochina. They did anyway. The embargo happens, we get Pearl Harbor. You know the story. But what if Japan didn’t over-expand and stopped with the consolidation of NE China? Similar to Hitler if he had stopped in Ukraine and just consolidated Europe. The war to liberate China would have gone on for many more years. How long would it have taken to push Japan out? Assume America and Russia was not fighting Japan.

Rubio did the meme!

@AngelicaOung Very likely since they fired all those Chinese researchers. The business model for foundation LLM has been destroyed by open source Chinese models.

Xai throwing in the towel?

@LinQingV 喝白酒不升糖。

@HY202014 糖人能喝白酒吗？

昨天晚上跟朋友吃饭喝了点茅台。好久不喝白酒，现在感觉实在难以下咽，换成麒麟一番榨，感觉好舒服。请问，白酒还有什么出路？还有，我为什么还持有茅台？😇

@Kubota_Yoko @WSJ Americans don't trust you either. The problem is you, not them.

I left China after eight years. Here's what I experienced as a Japanese person reporting for an American outlet, at a time when a distrust of foreigners has come to permeate everyday life in China. wsj.com/world/china/im… via @WSJ

I didn't even know the human body could move like that

@AngelicaOung We all know God has a second son born in China and his name is Hong Xiuquan. As far as we know God doesn't have sons born in India.

Iowa is not ready to hear Jesus Christ is the 9th avatar of Vishnu

挺有意思的研究。 闭源实验室都对模型规模讳莫如深，但他们其实藏不住模型"知道什么"。而模型知道什么，恰恰就是参数量的指标。 核心逻辑：推理能力可以靠蒸馏压缩到小模型里，事实知识不行。一个模型记得多少冷门事实，直接跟它的参数量挂钩。 知乎博主李博杰为这个写了一篇小论文，构建了一套叫 IKP（不可压缩知识探针）的数据集：1400 个问题、7 层稀有度，扔到 27 家厂商的 188 个模型上跑了一遍，只看事实准确率。 结果在 89 个公开参数的开源模型上，准确率 vs log(参数量) 的拟合 R²=0.917，基本是一条直线。把闭源模型投影上去，规模就估出来了： GPT-5.5 ≈ 9T Claude Opus 4.7 ≈ 4T GPT-5.4 ≈ 2.2T Claude Sonnet 4.6 ≈ 1.7T Gemini 2.5 Pro ≈ 1.2T （90% 置信区间：0.3-3 倍规模） 另外两个发现也挺反直觉： 一是引用数和 h-index 不能预测一个研究者是否被前沿模型认识。两个引用数相近的人，模型给的回答可能完全不一样。它记的是有影响力的工作，不是论文数量。 二是事实容量不会被时间压缩。跨 3 年的 96 个开源模型，IKP 时间系数统计上为零（p<10⁻¹⁵），直接拒绝了 Densing Law 预测的 +0.0117/月衰减。benchmark 在饱和，但事实容量还在随参数继续扩张。 来源：知乎博主 李博杰 侵权联系删 arxiv.org/pdf/2604.24827

这是什么仇什么恨，连主人都拉不住😂

@congqianman1994 啊这...我给你反向翻译一波😆 “吾十有五而志于学，三十而立，四十而不惑，五十而知天命，六十而耳顺，七十而从心所欲，不逾矩。” “朝闻道，夕死可矣。” “子在川上曰：逝者如斯夫，不舍昼夜。”

别的不说，就跳上去的那一下，全世界没有几个能披敌的！👍