Ryan Ricci

We recently shot a video for HedgAI Signal subs breaking down how each one of our trading algos has performed. The algos have done very well, so I highly recommend checking out this video for yourself. You can sub to see these signals daily here: accounts.hedgeye.com/products/hedga… Disclaimer in the video

@porngenerator4 @FarmerPhil83 @KeithMcCullough

@FarmerPhil83 @HedgeyeAI @KeithMcCullough I think you might be suffering from Stockholm syndrome. Why do you let these guys walk all over you with a fricken Chat GPT response to your reasonable inquiry?

If only there was a company telling people to buy the dip in Oil yesterday... If only there was a company long oil BEFORE the conflict started. Who is your adviser? Are they doing the hard work?

Got it, your tweet isn't saying what it is actually saying and you have perfect positioning. 🫡 Chat GPT on your tweet: Phil A’s tone comes across as pointed, skeptical, and slightly confrontational, with an undercurrent of frustration. He’s not just asking a question—he’s: Challenging credibility (“would love to know how the process got it wrong…”) Highlighting short-term underperformance (down 7% in a week) Using a bit of sarcasm (“If only there was a company…” mirroring the original post) Ending with a rhetorical jab about gold hitting $5000 Overall, it reads like a public call-out framed as a critique, rather than a neutral inquiry.

@HedgeyeAI @KeithMcCullough I wasn’t whining. Gold is at my minimum. I didn’t add when it went below 4975. But Keith did say on a recent MS gold should be your #1 position in quad 3. And the RTA supported that. The question is now what does the process say.

@FarmerPhil83 @KeithMcCullough If only there was a company that had a gold position +75% and was building this before all metals crashed to the upside. Creating what would be one of the best starts to a year you could possible have.

@HedgeyeAI Good morning @KeithMcCullough If only there was a a company that put out an RTA to buy Gold and now that position is down 7% in a week. Would love to know how the process got it wrong on a core asset allocation in Quad 3. When will we see gold at $5000 again.

Are they on the Macro Themes presentation? Or are they on the golf course?

It's Macro Themes day!

@felipevarg2000 In the product there is slide 21. But here it is here. Then we also have allocation summary on slide 5 that changes daily.

@HedgeyeAI Is there a manual or similar on how to use it? Like allocations etc

Our AI Signals (HedgAI) closed its long on 30yr Yields Friday. Right on time with yields down this morning. Our product tracker is up +11.3% Ytd vs SPY -3.2% See the signals daily here: tinyurl.com/3w2nv8u8

Catch me on the latest episode of @Hedgeye NexGen podcast where @HedgeyeAI and I discuss inflation as a consequence of the Iran conflict hedgeyetv.com/m/eCKkTGUA/hed…

Always a fun time with @HedgeyeChips on Hedgeye NexGen. This week we dug into all things Inflation and the impact of an oil shock to consumers. hedgeyetv.com/m/eCKkTGUA/hed…

@j49576 @KeithMcCullough My favorite kind of work!

@KeithMcCullough @HedgeyeAI Been making some progress on my naïve toy model to the point where when I get the RTAs for buying or selling a stock, I am able to run the model alongside the recommendation, and it has provided confirmation on a number of them . . . about 75% of the time thus far. It does have more trouble with the ETFs, though, particularly the metal, currency and bond ETFs, but I understand why. Took a bit of time to set up the API automation for the online broker site but it is much faster rather than having to download manually the ticker history and save it to a .csv file. I do not trust it enough to trade it alone, but it is nice to go through the process of seeing how a real hedge fund works in using the mathematical models to underpin the decision process. It really takes the emotion out of the equation. The current model process is the following: PVV data ↓ state estimation (HMM) ↓ stochastic simulation (Kou + Heston) ↓ probabilistic risk ranges

@HedgeyeAI Great job this morning! TY

Some good content from Ryan and Sam this morning regarding the risk mitigation process during this challenging investing environment. Looks like Keith has been working on Ryan a bit. I think this is the first "on-air" f-bucket I have witnessed from Ryan . . . @KeithMcCullough @HedgeyeAI @SamofAmerica @Hedgeye To provide proper credit, video clip taken from the Macro Show airing on 3/13/2026 hosted by Ryan Ricci and Sam Rahman and Ryan Ricci.

US Fertilizer Cost have gone to the highest level since October 2022

Process > Narratives

2/2 My answer: “I’ll do $BNO.” Reasoning: Mainstream media knows nothing about Iran. They’re just going to overblow Trump’s narrative. Creating a buying opportunity. Since then: $BNO is up +50.8% (from ~$33.81 → ~$51)

1/2 On 2/26 on the Macro Show Keith asked me: “If you could only buy one on the open; India ($GLIN), Oil ($BNO), or Housing ($ITB)?” At the time the headlines around Iran looked like this: “Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi says ‘close’ to US on many issues, both sides ‘more serious’ about reaching settlement than in the past.” Markets were leaning toward de-escalation.

2/2 I wrote: "The actual geopolitical risk. Iran." The only risk mattered at the time. At the time the probabilities were: • 42% chance Israel strikes Iran by March 31 • 51% chance the US strikes Iran by March 31 • 59% chance by June That was the geopolitical risk to manage. Oil +13% this morning. Worth revisiting the 1/21 Early Look.

1/2 Oil is up +13% this morning. Back on 1/21 in the Early Look I walked through the geopolitical probabilities and what was actually worth risk managing. At the time the headlines dominating markets were: • “US acquiring Greenland” panic • “China invading Taiwan in 2026” • constant “world ending” geopolitical takes Noise.

@MutnHedDigest @Polymarket Correct, that's what I'm trying to point out. The absurdity of politics.

@HedgeyeAI @Polymarket declare war

Wait, I don't understand why everyone is talking about this war thing. There is only a 10% chance that the US will declare war on Iran by the end of the year 😂🤡 @Polymarket