I’m very glad this piece with @YesolaKweon on old age dependency and policy preferences is out and in print. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ss…
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Tim Hellwig
97 posts
Tim Hellwig retweetledi
This paper was first presented @ECPR Joint Sessions in Nicosia sponsored by @HellwigT & @BartleProfessor & w/author like @MattSingerPOLS @PME_Politics @xaviromero @Bernardi_L @fravisc0 @hakhverdian @iguinaudeau @TSchnatterer @zeynsom & Xless others
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
📢 Welcome to the Journal of Politics Blog!
A new space to highlight path-breaking research from the JOP and make it accessible to a wide audience.
Start reading here 👉 ubwp.buffalo.edu/jopblog/
#PoliSci #AcademicTwitter #JOP @SPSAnews @ChicagoJournals
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
'From Borders to Pathways' offers a comprehensive reflection on the complexities of migration in Europe, signalling a paradigm shift towards cooperation, inclusivity, and shared responsibility in global mobility.
Register your interest doi.org/10.22459/FBP.2…
@mattzagor
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
Nice work @MouraRomer0 & Eddie Madden @Pollitik_Lab!
Pollitik@Pollitik_Lab
🌐📈 Based on Dec 2023 data, our long-range Fundamentals Forecaster predicts DR’s Pres. Luís #Abinader to win 62.1% of the vote share & gives him a 96% chance (93-99%, 90% c.i.) of re-election in 19 May 2024 #election! 🗳️🇩🇴 #RepublicaDominicana
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@LaronKWilliams @The_JOP @VETroeger @CameronThies @SPSAnews @UBCAS Thanks Laron! I know where to find you!
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@HellwigT @The_JOP @VETroeger @CameronThies @SPSAnews @UBCAS Congrats Tim! Good luck wrangling reviewers!
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I'm happy to announce that, along with Tim Nokken and a stellar team, I will be serving as @The_JOP editors beginning Jan 1. We aim to build on the excellence of @VETroeger @CameronThies and the current team. Send us your best work! @SPSAnews @UBCAS spsa.net/the-spsa-and-t…
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
If you’re looking for an excellent data source for executive approval data, check out the Executive Approval Database!
Executive Approval Project@ExecApproval
Habemus EAD 3.0! 📈📉👉 osf.io/kmw7q/. Huge thx to EAP Country Leaders, @NSF & @Pollitik_Lab for supporting this project. Please spread the word to colleagues, students & non-academic partners! Stay tuned for news of our data viz tool...
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
Now out in @JPSE_Editors ! My new article details a constitutional convention simulation that exposes students to real political conflict with big stakes... Without harming the classroom environment! Welcome to "Genovia," a fake country with real problems
doi.org/10.1080/155121…
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A signature piece from @ExecApproval !
Executive Approval Project@ExecApproval
We've finally published the study that drove the creation of @ExecApproval: "Executive Approval Dynamics in Presidential and Parliamentary Democratic Regimes" by C Martínez-Gallardo, GJ Love, J Hartlyn, @RyanECarlin1, @HellwigT & @MattSingerPOLS 🔗👇📈📉 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00…
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
Nice analysis @yoonyoung_1140 and @Pollitik_Lab!
Pollitik@Pollitik_Lab
Gender, ideology, or both? Pollitik examined the polarized presidential approval among Gen Z in South Korea. The graph, based on data from @ExecApproval , shows the difference in approval ratings between young men and women in South Korea. @Politicx_
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
Very much looking forward to this workshop as it will bring together so many different perspectives on the rise of the far right!
I will present some of my research on whether accommodating the far right is a losing strategy for both center-right *and* center-left parties.
Kiel Institut@kielinstitute
📢Next week in Berlin: What are the best research-based strategies to counter the rise of populism? Our Kiel-CEPR @cepr_org workshop will draw lessons for German policymakers by pooling research expertise. 23rd - 24th April at our Berlin office, hosted by Thiemo Fetzer @fetzert and Moritz Schularick @MSchularick. Program highlights: Panel and plenary discussion on “Putting defensive democracy into practice” with Sebastian Pittelkow @sepikow (NDR Investigative Unit @NDRrecherche) and Justus von Daniels (Correctiv @correctiv_org editor in chief), moderated by Franziska Klemenz @FreieReporterin (TableMedia @Table_Media_ editor). Online keynote and Q&A with Karin Prien @PrienKarin (Minister of Education, Science, Research and Culture of the Land Schleswig-Holstein, Deputy State Chairwoman of the CDU Schleswig-Holstein) Keynote by Catherine de Vries (Bocconi University @Unibocconi ) followed by a panel discussion on “How to stop dancing to the far right’s tune – programmatically and rhetorically” with her and Mark Schieritz (@schieritz ZEIT political section editor @zeitonline_pol ) moderated by Moritz Schularick. Research presentations by Heike Klüver @HeikeKluever , Vicente Valentim @ValentimVicente , Christoph Trebesch @Ch_Trebesch, Tommaso Nannicini @TNannicini , Werner Krause @krause_we, Laurenz Günther, Théo Konc, Jacob Edenhofer @edenhofer_jacob, Evelyne Hübscher @EveHubscher and Robert Gold. Full program here 👉 ifw-kiel.de/de/institut/ve…
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
Reposting w/o external links - please help out @Pollitik_Lab by liking and sharing 🙏💪
Pollitik@Pollitik_Lab
Using inflation & presidential approval, Pollitik’s Fundamentals Forecaster predicts #Biden will win 53.3% of the vote share.📈🗳️While this may not guarantee his victory, no candidate has garnered this many votes and lost. 🇺🇸🦅🧐 @Election2024 #Biden #Trump
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#Milei has trained the eyes of the world squarely on #Argentina 🇦🇷. H/t to @yoonyoung_1140 & @JoelKolagani for their 💪 work on this. 📈📉
*🙏please like & r/t to support @Pollitik_Lab!
Pollitik@Pollitik_Lab
New Honeymoon Tracker out now! Pollitik's Honeymoon Tracker examined the new president of Argentina, @JMilei. You can read a full story on Substack. open.substack.com/pub/pollitik/p… #Argentina #JavierMilei #EAD
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
Fueled by our Executive Approval Database 😉
Pollitik@Pollitik_Lab
The numbers speak volumes! 📈 Using #AMLO aggregate approval from January, Pollitik’s Fundamentals Forecaster predicts a Sheinbaum vote share of 48.1% and a 68.28% chance of victory in Presidential election 🗳️ in #Mexico🇲🇽 #Sheinbaum2024 #ElectionForecast open.substack.com/pub/pollitik/p…
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
Europe's two largest powers are facing a deepening rift over Ukraine, and it won't be easy to solve. Here's why, according to one academic
Opinion | @HellwigT
trtworld.com/opinion/france…
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Excited for this and a big kudos to @RyanECarlin1, the @Pollitik_Lab and the whole EAP team
Ryan E Carlin@RyanECarlin1
After much blood, sweat, and tears...it's finally here! Lucky to work w/a great EAP core team of Jonathan Hartlyn, @HellwigT, @Rwillh11, Greg Love, Cecilia Martinez-Gallardo & @MattSingerPOLS. I'd be remiss if I didn't mention the EAP Country Team leaders NOT tagged in the pic 🧵
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Tim Hellwig retweetledi
We're very excited to welcome Mr. William Bowe of @PollBludger to our trajectory talk next week! If you're interested in joining, please DM us. Thx & pls re-post!
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The world is worse without humble people like @FranciscoCantu in it. Nunca te olvidaré, amigo Francisco, y siempre te querré. Rest in peace and, as you always said, "te mando un abrazo"
CienciaPolítica ITAM@CPoliticaITAM
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