
Henry Andrew
724 posts

Henry Andrew
@HenryAndrewCDA
Seeking a Canada that is True, Strong and Free. Ephesians 6:10





If UK deal does not have any stipulations around trade with China then my thesis is severely impaired. Could be that they are attempting to hide motivations but the probability that I am plain wrong goes up drastically. No equivocations. I’m wrong all the time.









Ah, great man theory. There's a reason most remotely competent historians abandon this model of reasoning by the end of their first year of graduate study.








Careful Trudeau. The Texas economy is larger than Canada’s. And we’re not afraid to use it.





Insightful commentary as always, and I agree with your analysis of how the threat of tariffs or their actual imposition would play in Canadian politics. I initially concluded, when there was no mention of the subject in the President's inauguration and post-inauguration speeches, that he had decided to pause implementation while Canada had an election, rather than give the Liberals the opportunity to run on the narrative of fighting back against the evil American regime. It seems they have seized that opportunity quite happily, taking the country even further down a dangerous path strategically, including by doing their best to frame the issue in terms of unjustified trade measures that will harm consumers, and not a demand for radical re-alignment of Canadian approaches to migration and national security. After the President's impromptu comments about tariffs yesterday afternoon, it seems more likely that he just does not think about Canadian politics very much, if at all. His team has probably already considered the costs of tariffs and potential Canadian retaliation to the U.S. economy and determined that those costs would be worth paying, if necessary, especially as their impact will be, over time, greater domestic investment and economic independence for the U.S. However, I think the administration's preference would be to have a more cooperative northern neighbour, with whom to explore the full potential of developing our shared strategic space, rather than engage in a trade war. Not clear to me that Poilievre will have the courage to state clearly that the President, actually, is right about migration and fentanyl and quite a few other things, and embrace deeper cooperation with the United States. Canadians might respond well, especially if he and people like @shuvmajumdar can articulate the larger geopolitical context in compelling terms. Otherwise, Poilievre will be trapped in a political box where his platform is to fight back against Trump, just like the Liberals, but not quite as hard. That could be a losing platform, even with the strongly negative sentiment that most Canadians have about the Liberals (but especially about Trudeau). Otherwise, the longer term beneficiary of these dynamics will be @MaximeBernier, but perhaps not until we are on the other side of a pretty miserable time economically, not to mention a national unity crisis.














