Huan
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Visa reports today after the close. 24 straight beats. The longest streak in our database. 91.7% lifetime beat rate. Stock -11.7% YTD. Street EPS: $3.09 Street Revenue: $10.74B Alphatica Estimates: EPS: $3.15 Revenue: $10.80B OUR CALL: BEAT ✅ This is the most bullish signal profile we've published this earnings season. Three green circles. 24 consecutive beats with an average surprise of +$0.06. Visa doesn't miss. OUR FOUR SIGNALS: Earnings Quality: 4/6 BULLISH: One of the cleanest businesses in the market. Revenue compounding every year ($29.3B to $40.0B). Net income $20.1B. OCF $23.1B running 1.15x net income. SBC at 2.25% of revenue. Op margin consistently above 60%. Textbook earnings quality. VA building from a low base is the one thing keeping this from 5 or 6. Disclosure Signal: BULLISH: Visa rewrites 55% of its risk factor language every year. That sounds alarming, but it's structural. Payment regulation evolves annually and legal updates for compliance. The tell: 10-K uncertainty is among the lowest in our universe at 0.003 despite the rewrites. Tone locked at -0.016 for four straight years. Quarterly filings confirm stability. Management sentiment is unshaken. Prediction Model: BEAT (High Confidence): 24 straight beats. 100% rate over the last 4 quarters. Model point estimate at $3.01 is conservative. We override to $3.15 based on the beat pattern. Earnings Risk Signal: HEDGING DEMAND: Expected move ±2.8% ($8.76). ATM IV at 48% vs 8% realized vol. Options are pricing earnings vol but Visa barely moves on prints, average PMIE is only 1.53% over 3 years with a range of 0.1% to 4.0%. IV spread at -1.34 shows puts at slight premium. The market is hedging, not speculating. Q2 GUIDANCE FROM THE CALL: Management guided Q2 adjusted EPS growth at the "high end of low double digits." Full year adjusted net revenue growth still low double digits. OpEx stepping up to mid-teens (Olympics/FIFA marketing). Pricing contribution stepping down from Q1. Incentive growth stepping up. Volatility assumed to remain at current low levels. Last quarter was strong: $10.9B revenue (+15% YoY), payments volume grew 8% to nearly $4 trillion, processed transactions up 9% to 69 billion. Cross-border volume strong. Value-added services grew 28% CC and represented ~50% of overall revenue growth. SEASONALITY: Fiscal Q2 is Visa's worst seasonal quarter (#4 ranked). Average 5-day post-earnings drift is -1.43%. Even a beat typically doesn't produce a big move, this stock has moved more than 3% on only 2 of the last 11 earnings prints. The numbers should beat. 24 straight says they will. But this is a stock that absorbs good news quietly, the market knows Visa beats, so the beat is priced. Watch cross-border volume trends and value-added services growth for the forward signal. $V $MA $SPX $SPY Not Investment Advice.

OpenClaw 2026.4.26 🦞 🎙️ Google Live Talk 🦙 Better Ollama/local models 🧳 Bring over Claude + Hermes setups 🔐 One-command Matrix E2EE Big release. Local models eat well. github.com/openclaw/openc…





Now entering the GeForce Garage ring...it's @Hali! 🟡🔵 To celebrate Wrestlemania weekend, 2x NBA All-Star and Olympic gold medalist Tyrese Haliburton builds his first PC and gets a surprise worthy of a big gold belt. Watch the full build: nvda.ws/4ctWPuy



⚡ Meet Qwen3.6-35B-A3B:Now Open-Source!🚀🚀 A sparse MoE model, 35B total params, 3B active. Apache 2.0 license. 🔥 Agentic coding on par with models 10x its active size 📷 Strong multimodal perception and reasoning ability 🧠 Multimodal thinking + non-thinking modes Efficient. Powerful. Versatile. Try it now👇 Blog:qwen.ai/blog?id=qwen3.… Qwen Studio:chat.qwen.ai HuggingFace:huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3.6-3… ModelScope:modelscope.cn/models/Qwen/Qw… API(‘Qwen3.6-Flash’ on Model Studio):Coming soon~ Stay tuned










Big GPU Giveaway coming this Monday Which GPU do you think it will be?

100K a day keeps the doctor away? Got my OpenClaw set up and oh boy, is it a sight to see. $SPX








