Humpty
1.5K posts


@paxtrader777 Oo yes. I do my own thing man. Ive had cash for a while. Just more of it in the past few weeks. I
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@Humptydumpty714 Remember-I am a trader not a licensed RIA. This is just my opinion and why I am doing.
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This is the best business in the world. It requires us to constantly be the best version of ourselves. This business requires us to do better, be better every day. The level of self-assurance, self-possession, self-knowledge & control is beyond what most will ever experience in life. The intensity this requires is incredible. Every day-take care of your mind, body & spirit.
NinjaTrader Live@NTLiveMedia
"Trading is still, even on the screens, incredibly intense. It requires every ounce of your character and strength and integrity and everything. Pit trading was times that by a 100." @paxtrader777
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@paxtrader777 Ok thank you that’s kind of what I thought based on past comments. I went 100% cash as I’m older. I did that weeks ago. I don’t mine my 3.7% I get right now.
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I have thought the market has been way over inflated for a while. These prices are unsustainable given the amount of debt we have and all the changes taking place. The war only adds to my concerns. I think we are going lower. Now if we rally, I will be long in my trading accounts but not in my investments
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@DVSignals Dollar ain’t going anywhere they been saying that for 40 years
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@DVSignals I’m mostly cash I’m Buffett like right now. Come to daddy
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@paxtrader777 More that we could see much more downside given the geopolitical situation and so many unknowns with Iran etc. seems. Like we are in a different place then even 10 years ago. I don’t know anything about geopolitics but my gut says this may last a while
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Note to self, Battle Bank has NO exposure to private credit.
unusual_whales@unusual_whales
US financial institutions exposed to private debt, per Bloomberg:
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Girlfriends family heard I was doing well in trading so her dad and uncle gave me $20k each to trade with. Went from $40k total to $67k total in a few months so they invested another $20k each. Now I’m down to $6k total after a few bad months. Haven’t told them I’ve lost their money yet, what should I do?
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I agree with you, I re-hedged everything today. I’m sure I’m early, I usually am, but I’m not as confident as many that if we put boots on the ground, it’s gonna be positive for markets.
It’s certainly could be 1991, or something akin to 2003, but both those instances we were already down a lot, especially a lot more than we are now
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$QQQ another reason why I am still cautiously pessimistic....you really should check out the substack where I am able to write much longer thoughts on the market ...(still free for now);
annualizethis.substack.com

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@ThierryBorgeat Block young dick heads like this. They offer no value
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Warren Buffett said it best.
"Be fearful when others are greedy.
Be greedy when others are fearful."
This chart shows exactly why.
Every orange circle = Daily Sentiment Index hits extreme fear (below 15)
Every orange circle = S&P 500 was at or near a local bottom
2023: Sentiment crashes → market bottoms → rips higher
2024: Sentiment crashes → market bottoms → rips higher
2025: Sentiment crashes → market bottoms → rips higher
2026: Sentiment just hit 15 again ✔️
Every. Single. Time.
Fear is not a reason to sell.
Fear IS the buying opportunity.
The most reliable signal in markets isn't an earnings report.
It isn't a Fed meeting.
It's the moment when everyone around you is convinced the world is ending.
That moment is now.

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@ThierryBorgeat Not according to Buffett this is not really great r:r
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@bluechipdaily In the current climate I’d disagree yes strong close but no one can say if this is bullish or not. Too many factors at play right now. I prefer my cash. And see what happens
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