Lon Lon Ranch Intern

@prophet_notes @TheMindScourge Not a major risk. Nordstream was under the ocean. Totally different. Drones etc can’t reach that far and Iran isn’t firing may missiles anymore.

@InternLon @TheMindScourge East west pipelines as well as Red Sea infrastructure is well within reach of Iranian missiles. Also nord stream 2 showed how easy it is to render such an investment null…

Hormuz is a weapon that can only be fired once No one should expect a quick resolution to the current crisis, but across the next decade, even the next 3-5 years, the choke point of Hormuz will be massively substituted for The Gulf Arab states are all very rich, with high per capita GDP - the best single measure of relative state capacity - easy access to global markets, especially financial, and have the favorable backing of the US Everyone has known about the Hormuz vulnerability for decades. The Iranians have continually hinted around closing it, but never did. Now they have, but Hormuz is a gun that cannot be reloaded. Deterrents work only up to the point of use. Once used, they have failed. The purpose of a deterrent is to *not* be used Many analysts have made this basic mistake. They think that Iran is now in a position of strength, having exercised its Hormuz option. But the opposite is true. A state is weakest after it has used its deterrent. The cost of that deterrence is now priced in. The worst having been done, the targets of the deterrent are now free to make other arrangements. Before, they were reluctant to do so because of the switching costs. Now, they have no choice; they will not allow themselves to be controlled in this way again Hormuz may never reopen. But the importance of this is a depreciating asset.

@Colon_David Honestly the Europeans deserve to be insulted. They’re useless.

Before insulting Japan, Trump insulted Germany, France, Denmark, and, in short, almost all of the United States' historical allies. The one country he has never insulted and probably never will is Russia...

@PaulFisch1 @tojen1981 @TheMindScourge Sure Paul.

@tojen1981 @TheMindScourge yes, they have been intentionally not completing their bomb for over 8 years. Now they will.

@prophet_notes @TheMindScourge To a degree, but the main gulf countries are already investing in bypass capacity. If Iran can only block 1m barrels per day, it’s not much of a deterrent.

Clearly it was beyond your ability to think why Hormuz was a deterrent. Even further out of reach is its use as a negotiation tool. If Iran manages to keep the Strait effectively closed despite US actions and escort operations, they will win this confrontation and will be able to extract concessions far beyond what they could get in a deal arrangement before the war. They are also in the process of collapsing the global economy which has its own wide set of consequences... some of them potentially good for Iran.

@ramez Don’t care. Couldn’t care less.

A complete self-own. And entirely foreseeable. The damage done might be reperable, but not easily or quickly. It'll take very large and clear steps in the US, including some substantial constitutional and legal reforms to limit the power of a crazy President.

@OJoelsen Europeans are morons. They think the us was about to sneak attack Greenland but don’t care that Iran was close to acquiring nuclear weapons. Completely unserious people unworthy of being a dependable ally.

Denmark prepared for a possible U.S. attack: Flew blood supplies to Greenland and planned to blow up runways Key sources in Denmark and Europe are now revealing for the first time what happened during the most critical days, when Donald Trump threatened to take Greenland “the hard way.” When Danish soldiers were rapidly deployed to Greenland in January this year, they brought explosives with them. The plan was to destroy runways in Nuuk and Kangerlussuaq to prevent American military aircraft from landing troops on the island, should the U.S. president ultimately decide to seize Greenland by force. They also transported blood supplies from Danish blood banks so wounded personnel could be treated in case of combat. This is reported by DR, which over the past year has spoken with central sources in the Danish government, top military officers, and high-ranking officials and intelligence sources in Denmark, France, and Germany. All sources have played—and continue to play—key roles in the international crisis triggered by the United States’ demand for control over Greenland. Together, the sources describe an unprecedented year marked by sleepless nights. None of them had concrete intelligence of specific American attack plans against Greenland. Still, many feared in January that the historically important ally, the United States, could attack at any moment. At the same time, Denmark reached out to its European allies, leading to closer cooperation. “With the Greenland crisis, Europe realized once and for all that we must be able to handle our own security,” said a French senior official involved in the intense period. A rapid-response force consisting of Danish, French, German, Norwegian, and Swedish soldiers was first deployed to Nuuk and Kangerlussuaq. Shortly after, a main force followed, including: -Soldiers from the Danish Dragoon Regiment in Holstebro -Elite troops from the Jaeger Corps -French alpine troops trained for cold and mountainous warfare At the same time, Danish fighter jets and a French naval vessel were sent to the North Atlantic. According to several sources, the goal of having multinational troops on the ground was to ensure that any U.S. attempt to take Greenland would require a large-scale hostile action—thereby deterring such an attempt. “We have not been in such a situation since April 1940,” said a Danish defense source, referring to the days before Denmark’s occupation during World War II. Unlike in 1940, when Denmark chose not to resist militarily, the government and defense leadership this time decided—after extensive confidential discussions—to take the opposite approach: If the U.S. attempted an attack, Danish forces would be armed and ready to fight. Danish F-35 fighter jets deployed north were also fully armed. All this despite the understanding that Denmark could not realistically withstand a U.S. military attack. “The cost for the U.S. had to be raised. The U.S. would have to carry out a hostile act to take Greenland,” said a senior Danish defense source. Source: DR

@BonaldTrosby @johnkonrad @Pelasommayurek Sure, guy.

@johnkonrad @Pelasommayurek Veterans, farmers and anyone under 55 seems awfully detested by him so I guess we’ll see at the box

Dear Europe, I know you feel outrage. I have talked to many of you on the phone. I know politicians and media on both sides of the Atlantic are furious. I attended a conference with mostly Europeans. The worry and frustration was palpable. I get it too. You are dependent on Middle East oil and aluminum and fertilizer and shipping and LNG. Dubai is a vital travel hub for you. Vital. But don’t worry. Trump will lose the midterms and Congress will flip and side with you. Or maybe not… I live in the bluest town in the bluest state, where protests are practically a seasonal sport. I drove over eight hours across New England this week past the usual corners where outrage normally lives. This time? Nothing. Left, right, center. I’m hearing almost no one talk about this war. MAGA doesn’t even care. Ask someone and you’ll get the expected talking points. But in coffee shops, kitchens, real life? Silence. Hard truth: most Americans just don’t care. And since the weather warmed, not a single keffiyeh in sight. So when Trump says you need to go protect the ships and airports that are vital to YOU, I think he means it. Because the vast majority of Americans don’t care. And it’s not that we want to see you spin into an energy and food shortage. It’s that even the most TDS-inflicted liberal American is getting tired of your BS. Hating Trump is one thing. Almost half of America is OK with that. But your anti-American vitriol and arrogance and weakness is exhausting. Nobody likes a needy person who is angry and thinks they are better than you. It’s literally the worst combination in a person. And you might not want to admit it, but you are needy. You need us to reopen Hormuz. You need our banks and our markets. You need a lot. “We will not participate in this war” is fine. Nobody is asking you to bomb civilians. What’s weak is you won’t surge defensive missiles and planes to protect European-owned ships and property. When exactly did defense make you a participant? Defense of innocent life and property isn’t a “war crime.” And you DO own the majority of ships getting attacked. Ships that you are unwilling to defend maybe because you outsource the labor to Indonesia, the Philippines, and Ukraine. You are the wealthy lords who abandoned the mansion but told the help to stick around and defend it. So you might want to send a few warships and missile defense units to protect YOUR property. Or at least leave them at anchor and send the innocent crews home. You want us to defend the Strait because we started this mess? That’s reasonable. Problem is the reaction from most of America to your demands is: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

@LemegetonClavi2 @MitziHeffner @johnkonrad @Pelasommayurek Until the us puts export controls in place, and then Europe is on its own. China has export controls. The US doesn’t, but only because it chooses not to. That can change.

@MitziHeffner @johnkonrad @Pelasommayurek 1) >USA doesn't get oil from the Straights Almost doesn't matter, and you can see that from how they avoided destroying Kharg Island's infrastructure. It's an interconnected international market where supply disruptions make it more expensive for everyone, including the US.

@LemegetonClavi2 @johnkonrad @Pelasommayurek The us gets none of those things from the Middle East. No nitrogen fertilizer in the us comes from the gulf. Supply and demand for commodities sometimes works on a global level, until the self-sufficient countries put export controls in place (as China has done for many years)

@johnkonrad @Pelasommayurek >farmers don't care about the strait or hormuz You do know what fertilizer is made with and what tractors run on, right? and where gulf countries get their food from, and that supply and demand for commodities works on a global level, and how tight the profit margins there are?

@Hamalisk @johnkonrad @Pelasommayurek The us doesn’t need the strait open. None of those ships are us ships.

@johnkonrad @Pelasommayurek If MAGA don't care about the strait, why are they whining about it being closed and think that the West should initiate a divorce because Europeans don't send troops there on a whim?

@RadkaH2 @johnkonrad @Pelasommayurek Oh please. We’ve defended impotent Europe for decades, spent $200 billion in Ukraine, for what? Sneering from midwits like you.

@johnkonrad @Pelasommayurek To put it in your president’s words, you scammed us BIGLY. You sold us the illusion of a Big Brother umbrella, used that to drag us into your global blunders—Iraq, Afghanistan, you name it. You cashed in on the promise, but now that it's time to pay up, you’re playing dumb🤷‍♀️.

@realcopeaganda @BrandonStraka Good, then those banks won’t be affected by the new rule.

@InternLon @BrandonStraka Not all banks will open accounts for undocumented immigrants

Democrats ERUPTS as reports say Trump may require banks to verify citizenship for ALL customers—including existing accounts. A major immigration crackdown could be coming.

@Voice0fReason16 @groovyedu @PopularLiberal Sure, except there’s still no evidence. It’s not a matter of opinion.

@InternLon @groovyedu @PopularLiberal Agree to disagree, pedophile.

MASSIVE BOMBSHELL: DAN GOLDMAN UNLEASHES TRUTH! Congressman Goldman just went live with FBI 302 receipts. Evidence shows Trump unzipped his pants, forced a 13-year-old’s head down, and when she bit his p*nis in self-defense, he punched her and called her a "B." The FBI interviewed her FOUR times while the case was buried. Pam Bondi lied to Congress, claiming “no evidence” of these crimes while sitting on files describing this exact assault. This is perjury and a cover-up for a predator. You don’t get to "save the kids" while your AG hides files of a child being beaten for fighting back. History will remember the enablers. We stand with the children who bit back.

@Voice0fReason16 @groovyedu @PopularLiberal There’s no credible evidence, moron.

@InternLon @groovyedu @PopularLiberal You don’t need to look hard. You’re going to be crying like a bitch when he’s hung or assassinated. Why are you so hellbent on defending this guy? Who the fuck are you? You love rapists, that much is clear.

@Voice0fReason16 @groovyedu @PopularLiberal Lady, show me any credible evidence. Just one piece. One! Anything. Idiot.

@InternLon @groovyedu @PopularLiberal “Idiot” says the guy who goes on a social media mission to defend child rapists.

@DarkFelisC @MrVasireddi @GlobeEyeNews The point of the war is to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons and thousands of ballistic missiles it can arm with nuclear weapons. Maybe you didn’t understand that. Now you do.

@MrVasireddi @GlobeEyeNews They are pussies....All caving in to bow and lick Trump's fat ass. No respect for any of them.

BREAKING: France, Germany, the UK, Italy, the Netherlands, and Japan say they are ready to join efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

@ATAV01342060 @MrVasireddi @GlobeEyeNews Yes, they should’ve gone a week ago.

@MrVasireddi @GlobeEyeNews So, if they don't go the US should walk out of NATO but if they do go, the US should also leave NATO. Hmmm I noticed the pattern of the US under Trump blaming Europe for everything, even when they aren't really involved.

@cheekz0819 @MrVasireddi @GlobeEyeNews Iran was developing nuclear weapons and had enriched uranium to 60%. “Everything was fucking fine” You are a shortsighted moron.

@MrVasireddi @GlobeEyeNews Well Trump started it!!! Everything was fucking fine. No one had to go and die for this !!!! They still shouldn’t

@cooperbay @MrVasireddi @GlobeEyeNews Why would it cost the us more if it left nato?

@MrVasireddi @GlobeEyeNews You mean bleed the American public dry. Spend all our money. Drive up the the debt even more. Great idea. You must be a MAGA material

@Voice0fReason16 @groovyedu @PopularLiberal There’s no evidence, idiot. None.

@InternLon @groovyedu @PopularLiberal 😂 what do you think I’m in the fbi or something? You can see thousands of posts on here with literal evidence for yourself. You just refuse to believe it. And that’s on you