Iran Analytic

Islamic governance is un-Iranian.

The decisions being made right now about Iran will shape the safety of America and the world for a generation. We must win the Battle of the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz: gingrich360.net/p/president-tr…

@Osint613 At some point, what the Islamic regime thugs say is not newsworthy anymore. What Ghalibaf is saying is propaganda and should not be propagated.

Iran Speaker of Parliament, Ghalibaf: So you are financing Hegseth, a failed TV presenter, with rates that have been unprecedented since 2007, so that he can play the role of "Minister of War" in our backyard in the Strait of Hormuz? You know what's crazier than $39 trillion in debt? To finance this war game, you pay the same interest rate as before the global financial crisis in 2008, and in the end, you only get a new global financial crisis

Hey Araghchi, Iranians demand the identification and prosecution of every perpetrator, decision-maker, and official who ordered or carried out the slaughter of 42,000 Iranian protesters in January 2026. You and your fellow thugs will be brought to justice one way or another soon. @araghchi

Iran Foreign Minister, Araghchi: In clear attempt to sow discord, Kuwait has unlawfully attacked an Iranian boat and detained 4 of our citizens in the Persian Gulf. This illegal act took place near island used by the U.S. to attack Iran. We demand immediate release of our nationals and reserve right to respond.

@Osint613 What is bred in the bone will not come out of the flesh. The Islamic Republic cannot be negotiated with. It must be overthrown.

In May 1986, the Reagan Administration dispatched Robert McFarlane, the former National Security Advisor, to Tehran alongside Oliver North, a National Security Council staffer, CIA officer George Cave, and others. The delegation carried physical gestures of commitment (a Bible signed by Reagan and a cake decorated with a key symbolizing a new relationship). McFarlane understood that Khomeini held ultimate authority, and his calculation was that by traveling to Tehran in person and meeting directly with the Speaker of Parliament, Rafsanjani, McFarland could convince Rafsanjani to intervene with the Supreme Leader (Khomeini) on the hostage question and broader diplomatic opening with the United States. McFarlane did meet with Rafsanjani and other senior officials. Yet despite these direct meetings, Rafsanjani proved unable to persuade the Supreme Leader Khomeini to grant his blessing to the negotiations or commit to hostage releases. Khomeini’s refusal stood as an impenetrable barrier. The McFarlane delegation, therefore, departed empty-handed, their mission having foundered on the immovable opposition of Supreme authority. Today, the Trump Administration undertook similar outreach to Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the Speaker of Parliament, engaging him in Islamabad to explore diplomatic ground.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ Yet the Supreme Leader and the IRGC swiftly rebuked Ghalibaf for exceeding his mandate on nuclear matters. Forty (40) years after McFarlane’s visit to Tehran, the structural constraint within the Islamic Republic remains unchanged. The Islamic regime is irreformable. The only reasonable Islamic Republic is a dead Islamic Republic.

@Osint613 It is a sad state of affairs when Democrats and the Islamic-Republic thugs share the same talking points.

Trump: When the Fake News says that the Iranian enemy is doing well, Militarily, against us, it's virtual TREASON in that it is such a false, and even preposterous, statement. They are aiding and abetting the enemy! All it does is give Iran false hope when none should exist. These are American cowards that are rooting against our Country. Iran had 159 ships in their Navy - Every single ship is now resting at the bottom of the sea. They have no Navy, their Air Force is gone, all Technology is gone, their "leaders" are no longer with us, and the Country is an Economic Disaster. Only Losers, Ingrates, and Fools are able to make a case against America! President DONALD J. TRUMP

@RobertoHere53 @Osint613 Correct. The Islamic Republic should be overthrown. x.com/irananalytic/s…

@IranAnalytic @Osint613 Are we to understand from his analysis that the recommended course of action is to put an end to the Islamic Republic?

Iran says it will not discuss its nuclear program with the U.S. unless five conditions are met: an end to the war on all fronts, full sanctions relief, release of frozen assets, war reparations, and recognition of Iran's sovereign right over the Strait of Hormuz. - Al Jazeera

Iran will not discuss the nuclear issue with the US before these conditions are met -Al Jazeera - War ending on "all fronts" - Lifting all sanctions - Releasing Iran's frozen assets - Paying war reparations. - Recognising Iran's sovereign right over the Strait of Hormuz

@OSINT_Strong Thanks for the recommendation. :)

@IranAnalytic The Portuguese fought over, and eventually established a base on an island in the Persian Gulf for trading purposes. I'm just realizing if may have been one that's been in the news lately. Read Conquerors: How Portugal Forged the First Global Empire

Hormuz: The Recurring Weapon The Strait of Hormuz has been strategically weaponized five (5) times in recorded history. (1) Sassanid Persia, sixth century CE: The Persian Empire functionally blockaded Byzantine trade, forcing Eastern goods to sell at coercive prices and draining Roman currency into Persia in what became known as the “Drain of Gold.” (2) Medieval Kingdom of Hormuz (1000–1515): Local rulers systematized toll extraction on all transiting vessels, establishing fixed annual levies that turned geography into predictable state revenue. (3) Portuguese Empire (1515–1622): After capturing Hormuz, the Portuguese institutionalized the Cartaz System, a mandatory licensing regime that compelled routing through Portuguese Customs and generated roughly two hundred thousand cruzados annually (equivalent to five million dollars in today’s currency) for the Crown. (4) Iran-Iraq Tanker War (1980–1988): The Islamic Republic attacked oil tankers and mined portions of the Strait in retaliation for Iraqi strikes on Iranian vessels, thereby disrupting commerce without achieving full closure. (5) Operation Epic-Economic Fury (2026–present).

Ali Akbar Velayati, senior advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader to Trump: “First of all, learn the alphabet of the new geopolitical order in the Middle East.” “We defeated you on the battlefield; do not imagine you will come out victorious in the diplomatic arena.”

@clemycali @Osint613 No boots on the ground would be necessary. Trump should do the following instead: x.com/irananalytic/s…

@IranAnalytic @Osint613 Both require boots on the ground. Some might even be suicide missions.

NEW: President Trump says Iranian negotiators told him the U.S. would have to remove the nuclear debris from Iran’s destroyed nuclear facilities because Tehran lacks the technology to do it.

@Osint613 Trump is dead wrong and will be forced to change his position on “regime change” soon. The Islamic regime is an ideological death cult and will not capitulate to Trump. The Islamic Republic of Terrorism must be overthrown. That is the only viable option.

President Trump told Fox News that Iran’s hardliners “are going to fold,” adding that he will “deal with them” until they agree to a deal, while emphasizing he is not seeking regime change.

Without the Strait, the Islamic regime has no cards. Trump should (1) Re-open the Strait with overwhelming force (2) Re-start Operation Epic Fury (3) Keep the naval blockade in place (4) Remove from power Mojtaba, Vahidi, Zolghadr, et al. (5) Use drone strikes against IRGC & Basij thugs (6) Ask Iranians to take to the streets and overthrow the regime.

According to Al Mayadeen, Iran’s proposal to the U.S. includes: • Ending the naval blockade • Restoring full freedom to export oil • Lifting U.S. sanctions • Unfreezing Iranian assets • Securing a ceasefire in Lebanon • Maintaining Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz

The Iranian regime spends $404M/year on state propaganda (IRIB & state media) — and just $67M on its entire Ministry of Foreign Affairs, including its embassies around the world. That's a 6-to-1 ratio of propaganda over diplomacy. The regime's priority isn't diplomacy with the world, it's controlling what Iranians hear inside it and influencing audiences outside.

@Osint613 Trump should re-start Operation Epic Fury and Project Freedom and finish the job. The only reasonable Islamic Republic is a dead Islamic Republic.

U.S. President Donald Trump: "Iran has been playing games with the United States, and the rest of the World, for 47 years (DELAY, DELAY, DELAY!), and then finally hit “pay dirt” when Barack Hussein Obama became President. He was not only good to them, he was great, actually going to their side, jettisoning Israel, and all other Allies, and giving Iran a major and very powerful new lease on life. Hundreds of Billions of Dollars, and 1.7 Billion Dollars in green cash, flown into Tehran, was handed to them on a silver platter. Every Bank in D.C., Virginia, and Maryland was emptied out — It was so much money that when it arrived, the Iranian Thugs had no idea what to do with it. They had never seen money like this, and never will again. It was taken off the plane in suitcases and satchels, and the Iranians couldn’t believe their luck. They finally found the greatest SUCKER of them all, in the form of a weak and stupid American President. He was a disaster as our “Leader,” but not as bad as Sleepy Joe Biden! For 47 years the Iranians have been “tapping” us along, keeping us waiting, killing our people with their roadside bombs, destroying protests, and recently wiping out 42,000 innocent, unarmed protestors, and laughing at our now GREAT AGAIN Country. They will be laughing no longer! President DONALD J. TRUMP."

@Osint613 As long as the Islamic regime believes that regime change is not Trump’s objective and as long as economic collapse is not imminent, the rump regime will not capitulate. Trump & Netanyahu must finish the job.

Iran President Pezeshkian: “We will never bow our heads before the enemy, and if talk of dialogue or negotiation arises, it does not mean surrender or retreat…”