IridentDefender

3.5K posts

IridentDefender

IridentDefender

@IridentDefender

Soon to be dead

Katılım Ekim 2023
157 Takip Edilen89 Takipçiler
IridentDefender
IridentDefender@IridentDefender·
@matthewswspence @Noahpinion To be fair the failure to couple up issue is more prevalent at the low end of the socioeconomic ladder than the high one. The mismatch between men’s abilities/status and women’s needs/expectations at that level are stark enough to have actual ramifications
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Matt Spence
Matt Spence@matthewswspence·
@Noahpinion The women I know are mostly the same way, and yet the men I know (many of whom are quite eligible by most standards) can’t get dates. It’s odd.
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Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion·
This. Most women I know just want a chill dude to keep them company and have sex with them sometimes and help take care of the kids someday. They don't need a looksmaxxed rich guy.
alexandra@ptichushka

maybe i am delusional or maybe it is the company i keep, but i never seem to encounter women in real life whose standards are "too high" despite everyone online saying it's so prevalent it will cause civilization to collapse

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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
The yield on the UK 30-year gilt is at its highest level since 1998
Joe Weisenthal tweet media
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IridentDefender
IridentDefender@IridentDefender·
@alexolegimas @ben_j_todd @benleo_econ Most economists I’ve seen seem to have little concern that any sizeable amount of people will be worse off. Usually they just spend all their time saying people will still have jobs.
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Alex Imas
Alex Imas@alexolegimas·
@ben_j_todd @benleo_econ Would be curious to hear your take. I think most economists predict large changes/displacement, just slower than what technologists predict ( ie not 6-12 months).
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Benjamin Todd
Benjamin Todd@ben_j_todd·
AI job displacement: Overrated by technologists, underrated by economists.
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IridentDefender
IridentDefender@IridentDefender·
@davidshor Crazy how little his overall approval his moved in spite of everything else downshifting
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IridentDefender
IridentDefender@IridentDefender·
@conorsen Higher inequality (people feeling like they're falling behind their peers even if better off in absolute terms) and post-materialist politics for those who are well off explains most of it I think
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Conor Sen
Conor Sen@conorsen·
20 years ago I wouldn’t have thought that an electorate generally getting more educated and wealthy would lead to a less professional, less restrained, and more anxious politics. On some level I still don’t really get it.
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Ben Carlson
Ben Carlson@awealthofcs·
Everyone is waiting for AI to take all the jobs but it's not happening yet The unemployment rate was higher than the current level (4.3%) from March 1970 to March 1998 Prime age labor force participation ratio is essentially at the all-time highs of the late-90s
Ben Carlson tweet media
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IridentDefender
IridentDefender@IridentDefender·
@alexolegimas I’d be skeptical on using indeed job postings for the SWE market. BLS, a more reliable indicator imo, is showing no signs of a recovery yet x.com/josephpolitano…
Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈@JosephPolitano

The US tech sector continues losing jobs—overall, employment decreased by 10k last month and is down 53k over the last year That's not as bad as the worst of the 2024 tech-cession, but extremely bad compared to the 2022 boom or even pre-2020 norms

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Alex Imas
Alex Imas@alexolegimas·
This is consistent with elasticity of consumer demand being a key statistic for predicting AI driven layoffs. Overall SWE market looks to be picking up if anything; companies that announced “AI layoffs” were facing headwinds to begin with. Demand won’t absorb increased productivity if it was tanking in the first place.
rohit@krishnanrohit

One bearish sign of all the AI layoffs is that the companies couldn't figure out how to produce even more by keeping the people and adding AI. I'm not entirely sure how to think about this.

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Guy Berger
Guy Berger@EconBerger·
“The world already has all the software it needs” Not sure if I believe that but the companies laying off employees seem to believe they do!
Alex Imas@alexolegimas

This is consistent with elasticity of consumer demand being a key statistic for predicting AI driven layoffs. Overall SWE market looks to be picking up if anything; companies that announced “AI layoffs” were facing headwinds to begin with. Demand won’t absorb increased productivity if it was tanking in the first place.

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IridentDefender
IridentDefender@IridentDefender·
@JosephPolitano Joey why do you think people keep pointing to indeed job listings reports instead of the clear numbers you put out from the BLS here? It seems like your chart is more indicative of trends
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Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈
Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈@JosephPolitano·
The US tech sector continues losing jobs—overall, employment decreased by 10k last month and is down 53k over the last year That's not as bad as the worst of the 2024 tech-cession, but extremely bad compared to the 2022 boom or even pre-2020 norms
Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 tweet media
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Gregory Brew
Gregory Brew@gbrew24·
"Reparations" or "compensation" is a very important talking point for the Iranian leadership, as it gets at how they are going to frame this conflict: namely, as an illegal war of aggression by the US and Israel. More relevantly, however, it speaks to how the regime will require the monetization of the strait--in some way--as a condition of any agreement.
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hope hopes hoping
hope hopes hoping@hopes_revenge·
gf has been getting into “reading” . i think she is going to leave soon
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IridentDefender
IridentDefender@IridentDefender·
@Merridew__ Yea but I’m not seeing any more Dubai influencer videos so hard to say if it’s a net good or not
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IridentDefender
IridentDefender@IridentDefender·
@Birdyword From what I've seen of the Russia/Ukraine war I wasn't getting the impression they were creating highly specialized drones that China's lower level manufacturing couldn't retool and mass produce. And those things seem *very* effective en masse. But yea its a spectrum for sure
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Mike Bird
Mike Bird@Birdyword·
@IridentDefender I'm not saying you're making that case FWIW. I don't think that argument is anything like as strong as it was in the '30s because the level of specialisation is very different. But there's a spectrum of preparedness at various costs
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IridentDefender
IridentDefender@IridentDefender·
@Birdyword My point isn't that you need a permanent reserve war economy though - its that the benefits of having an industrial base tooled to consumer goods that can be transformed into a war economy is often understated. It's exactly what the US did in WWII!
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Mike Bird
Mike Bird@Birdyword·
@IridentDefender Yeah I would put security as the highest concern personally, but partly because it's so amorphous in terms of the goal, which makes it very slippery to measure. If the ultimate requirement is constant military supremacy the logic means maintaining a permanent reserve war economy.
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Keşfet

@matthewswspence @Noahpinion @jdcmedlock @TheStalwart @alexolegimas @ben_j_todd @benleo_econ @davidshor